Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/17

Meet Stats: 404 - 1175 / $2,138.10 (-$211.90)
Best Bets: 59 - 106 / $203.10 (-$10.90)
Spot Plays: 29 - 108 / $198.20 (-$17.80)
Best Bet: MAJESTIC VIRGIN (5TH)
Spot Play: JIMBELINA (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 8/4,6/4,5,6,7,8,9,10/3,5/6 = $5.60
Late Pick 5: 1,2,4/6/1,4,6/2,3,7,8/2,5 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 3,5/6/1,2,4/6 = $6
Late Pick 4: 1,4,6/2,3,7,8/2/1,6,7,9 = $48
Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M5) or $25,000 (F&M $30,000) LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) COLD RAGE raced well last week but he was no match for the big favorite late in the mile. He should handle this group tonight. (2) JCS ROYAL TEASE produced his second good effort in a row racing well from the worst post and he should be right there again tonight. (6) ROSIES WAR BONDS produced his best effort in a while here on 12/3 and he can be an exotics player tonight. (7) NORTHERN BLIZZARD is capable of better and if he lays a bit closer this time, he should be in the Super.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: Niagara Pacing Series 2nd Leg 3YO Fillies
Red-hot (4) JUST DAISY is going to control this race on the front end and who is going to pass her in the lane? Likely none of her rivals here. (6) BELINA was a good 2nd to a strong winner and she has a shot if she can ride in the choice's pocket throughout. (2) JM BETONSIX was heavily backed last week but she was no match for the winner; small share predicted. (1) AHOY will likely ride the pylons this week and land in the Super.
Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW6 or $84,000 LT
This is a great betting race with several live options. (10) MY ONLY SUNSHINE is razor-sharp but she had excuses in her last two starts. If she can get into a live flow in the back 1/2, she could blow up the tote board tonight. (5) MY MOTHER PEARL was out a long way last week and she had no chance in a race where the final 1/4 was paced in 27-flat. Note she beat the choice three starts back; using. (7) TWIN B SUNKISSED was very good winning the SBOA stake now she has missed more than a month. Your call, but I wouldn't take a short price. (4) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL was good in the Harvest Series and she is another in with a chance here.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 4: F&M NW $4,300 L5 or NW $10,500 L10 - Pick 4
(3) JIMBELINA usually gets sent on a speed mission when she drops this low and she should be the one to catch here. (5) MACH MY KISS drops and picks up McNair and she should be heard from early in this mile; using. (8) CRANBERRY BRIE raced decently in the Popup series. I can see her landing in the Tri tonight. (2) WHISTYS PARADISE was better last week. She is likely going to take a stalking approach tonight and grab a small share.
Race 5: F&M NW $11,000 L5 or $21,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(6) MAJESTIC VIRGIN had one race back and that was a decent effort vs. some of the top mares on the grounds. She should convert as the heavy favorite on the multi-level class drop tonight. (3) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD has been racing her eyeballs out first up for several starts in a row and coming up just short. If she ever finds live cover, she will be tough to beat, but she will likely find the choice too tough tonight; using underneath. (10) LAURAS LOVE and (9) KENDALL SEELSTER both figure at this level but they are at the mercy of the post draw and I'll use them on the bottom of the exotics.
Race 6: Niagara Pacing Series 2nd Leg 3YO Fillies - Pick 5
When (2) AWESOME HILL gets put into her races early she is tough to beat and she should be sent forward leaving the gate again tonight; top call. (1) VILLAGE JADE had a good comeback race and she will likely get more aggressive now. She is another one that I'll be using on multi-race tickets. (4) BLONDE ONTHE BEACH returns quicker for this and she should carry her speed father. She is in the exotics mix. (5) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH raced decently to take a slice last week and I expect more of the same here.
Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10
(6) GLOBETROTTING drops and she should pop here. Expect an aggressive Macdonald steer. (2) TOCCOA FALLS was perhaps overdriven last week, but he did hang in for a share. He can land in the Exacta tonight if a more conservative approach is taken. (10) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE has zero gate speed so post doesn't really matter with him. I expect him to be coming on late to land in the Tri or Super. (4) HEMI SEELSTER blasted to the front as expected last week but he had nothing left at the head of the lane. He should last longer in this second race back; consider for the exotics.
Race 8: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000 - Pick 4
(6) CLODAM BAYAMA raced big in defeat last week now she drops in for a tag where she could dominate on the front; top call. (4) ERIKAS SHADOW is razor-sharp and hard to leave off multi-race tickets considering she fires every week; using. (1) BLINK AND GONE looked good flying off cover to win last week and she isn't out of this. (7) COUNTERCURRENCY rarely misses finishing in the top four; using underneath.
Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW4 or $30,000 LT
Good betting race here with several possibilities. (2) BEST KEEPSAKE has been facing some hot fillies the past three starts and she should have a good chance vs. these; top call. (7) PULL ME THROUGH faces tougher but she has been a win machine and she might be up to this; using. (3) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH was buried with no racing room for the entire stretch drive last time. She has upset potential tonight. (8) CEASELESS drifted way out in the lane last week but she kept on for the win. Claimed by a barn that has clicked 36% (4 for 11) of the time with fresh claims in 2021, she is worth using in the exotics.
Race 10: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $190,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000
(2) TRAFLAGAR has been racing great for several weeks and she even beat the best mare on the grounds two starts back. She should get the job done vs. these. (5) BET ON BECKY has also been hot and she figures to be the main danger tonight. (7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP comes to play every week and she should be in the Tri tonight. (8) GRACE ROCKS is a newcomer that leaves the F&M Opens in Indiana but this is no easy spot; small share predicted.
Race 11: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10
(7) SETTN A PRECEDENT looked like the best version of herself last week, coming with her patented late kick. With some outside horses expected to blast, she should get the setup that she craves tonight and she gets the nod. (6) MARY KAT gets J Mac back here and she could be lurking in the pocket at a price; using. (9) GREYSTONE NATALI O is on a roll, but she won't get a 59 opening 1/2 tonight. She can win but I won't take a short price. (1) JUST MY SHADOW was a victim of trip and pace last week. She could tune the tables tonight. (10) LADY ROCKNROLLA A should be blasting on the class drop and she has upset potential.

