Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/16

Meet Stats: 657 - 1977 / $3,290.40 (-$679.80)

Best Bets: 102 - 187 / $341.00 (-$33.00)

Spot Plays: 47 - 189 / $313.30 (-$64.70)

Best Bet: WESTERN WISH (9TH)

Spot Play: KEEP WATCHING (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4/6,7/1,4,8/1,3,4/2,6 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 5,6/2,8,9/3,5,8/4/1,3,7,8 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 1,3,4/2,6/5,6/2,8,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 2,8,9/3,5,8/4/1,3,7,8 = $7.20

Race 1: NW $2,000 L3 or NW1 in 2022 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) ROSE RUN XCENTRIC set some solid splits last week and she was overtaken by two class droppers. She fits well vs. these ands she should have a big shot tonight. (1) HAWAII is another that fits well here but veteran driver Zeron has clicked at only a 3.5% win rate so far this year so I couldn't take a short price. (3) HESOHOT HANOVER should rally late again for a share. (8) MAGIC WANDA is usually a fringe player. I could see her filling out the Super at a price.

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Race 2: NIAGARA Series 3YO Fillies

(6) ACRIMONY, a strong winner in Leg 1, should prove tough to beat here. (7) J ONE TWENTY led, then got shuffled back to 3rd and lacked room until mid stretch last week. She rallied well once she got clearance and she could turn the tables if she can ride in the choice’s pocket tonight. (4) BABY BONITA had a clear shot at the choice and she couldn't gain. She is an obvious exotics player here. (1) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN, first up last week, likely sits and rallies tonight.

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Race 3: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L8 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(8) TRAFALGAR should make front leaving the gate tonight and she could prove hard to catch at this level; top call. (4) KOUNNIS comes off a long break but she qualified well and she should be an exotics factor in this spot. (1) A BLACK DIAMOND can be a threat dropping and moving inside; using. (7) MACH MY KISS was 2nd in a fast race and she can get position early here and ride a trip to a share.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 4

(4) LOCK BRIDGE fought off a dead game (1) BEYOND THE SEA last week and these two will likely hook up in battle again. Nod to the former who should be even sharper in this second start back. (3) BAD ROSSA was airborne late but she was too far back. She is possible here but I think she'll get overbet relative to her chances of beating the top two. (9) JM BETONSIX got stung early and she still hung around for a share; price look.

Race 5: Popup Consolation

(2) KEEP WATCHING raced great in defeat last week and she is strictly the one to beat tonight. (6) SHOW ME SOME MAGIC draws best after racing first up and she should be the main threat here. (5) SOUTHERN MEMORIES should get more aggressive here starting from a better post and she is another in with a shot here. (4) SHES A GUNSLINGER typically finishes on the edges and she can land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: NW $3,000 L5 or $10,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L4 AE” OPT CLM $20,000 - Pick 5

This is a better spot for (5) RED OVERBACH, who won a few in a row at this track in the fall. I expect him to wake up tonight. (6) SHES GOT PIZAZZ dropped and improved but another dropper was much better. She rates highly in this field. (9) CREATINE STAR was 2nd at huge odds at this level two starts back and he could crack the exotics at a price if he stays flat tonight. (3) O NARUTAC PERFETTO should be good for a slice at this level.

Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

Tough race here. I'll take a shot with returnee (2) SHADOW OF ART, who flashed a bit of speed in her debut in the summer and produced a sub-28 kicker in the qualifier for this race. (9) J M SPEAK EASY shows improving form and gets a big driver change to Roy. A speed blast is very possible this time. (8) RIBBON RIDGE has some of the best recent form and she figures to be a threat racing on or near the front tonight; using. (3) PERFECT MIA continues to be one that is best used on the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $37,000 LT

Shipper (3) KILEE ROCKS fits well here, moves into the top barn which has been hot and gets the leading driver who continues to dominate; top call. (8) BIG LADY J is in easier here and she makes her second start off a sick scratch. She's capable vs. these and she will be on my multi-race tickets. (5) FIERY SHADOW is in terrific form and she might be up to this step up in class. She is another to consider for Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (7) MEILLEUR FROMAGE has been racing great at the 'B' tracks but this is tougher; small share predicted.

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Race 9: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,500 L8 AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(4) WESTERN WISH dropped and dominated as expected and I'll give her the call to repeat coming off that strong winning effort. (6) BETTER BE DONNA N drops and she should get more aggressive here; Exacta factor. (7) VOLUPTUOUS raced well after shipping in and fell just short and she is a logical contender here returning quicker. (2) TUGGINGONCREDIT continues to race well but I prefer to use her underneath tonight.

Race 10: Popup Final

I'll take a shot with (1) SOMETHING ROYAL who races off the Waxman claim and could get a great stalk-and-pounce trip. Veteran (3) E R RHONDA couldn't be any sharper right now and she is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (8) SHEPLAYSFORKEEPS was Macdonald’s choice over two others and she is another in the mix. (7) GREYSTONE TREASURE likely won't get the same trip as last week but I can't fault anyone that sticks with her after she led all the way from post 10. (2) GOLDEN LEADER was first up last week and that's not her trip. She should go better here likely taking an inside following trip.