Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/10

Meet Stats: 392 - 1145 / $2,092.50 (-$197.50)
Best Bets: 58 - 104 / $200.70 (-$7.30)
Spot Plays: 27 - 105 / $190.50 (-$19.50)
Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (8TH)
Spot Play: MY ONLY SUNSHINE (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 3,9,10/2,4,7/1,5,6/7,9/6,9 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 1,3,5/1,4,5/3/4,5/3 = $3.60
Early Pick 4: 7,9/6,9/1,3,5/1,4,5 = $36
Late Pick 4: 1,4,5/3/4,5/3 = $6
Race 1: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
In a race that appears to have very few that will be leaving hard, (10) HEMI SEELSTER should clear to the front if he stays flat and he gets the nod in his first start for leading trainer Moreau. (9) PROFOUND PARAGON drops to the bottom conditioned level here and he should wake up with a better effort; using. (3) LIFE IS A FEAST gets class relief and a driver upgrade here and he won one level higher than this here in September. He might get overbet in this spot, but he is in with a good chance. (7) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE will likely leave for position and land in the Tri or Super.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: Niagara Pacing Series 1st Leg 3YO Fillies
(7) JM BETONSIX had a nice tightener for this series facing elders last week and I expect and aggressive Filion steer tonight; top call. (2) JUST DAISY was sent on a speed mission and it worked as she beat the big favorite in the Harvest Series final. She should be the main threat coming off that big mile. (4) AHOY will likely blast to avoid being first up this time and she is another in with a chance here. (5) COME ROLL WITH ME paced a 55-flat back 1/2 in her prep for this series and she is worth using underneath.
Race 3: F&M NW $6,300 L5 or $13,000 L10 or NW $75,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $18,000
(6) MY ONLY SUNSHINE raced great to be beaten only 1 1/2 lengths last week, considering she was out every step. She gets post relief and Henry returns to the bike tonight; top call. (5) BETTER BE DONNA N, drops again, and she should be much tighter for this after being used hard early last week coming off a month break. She should be the main danger. (1) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD has raced tough uncovered in two straight races. She should be able to find a helmet to follow this week and that makes her a contender for the win; using. (4) SETTN A PRECEDENT tried moving earlier last week and the new strategy didn't work. Look for her to be passing horses late this week to land on the ticket.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 4: CLM HDCP $13,000 to $18,000 - Pick 4
(9) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ was picked off by a pylon skimmer last week when claimed back by trainer Johnson. He is razor-sharp and the one to beat despite drawing widest. (7) SPECTRUM SEELSTER shaded the choice in that race and he should be riding in his pocket again tonight. He is the main danger. (6) PRESTIGE SEELSTER wasn't far back of the two choices despite racing first up and he should be in the exotics mix again. (5) GOLDINTHEBADLANDS races well for Macdonald and I'll use him underneath tonight.
Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $22,500 (F&M $30,000) LT
(6) DEAL WITH LUCUS raced well enough to win last week, he was just out-tripped by one that took the inside route. I'll give him the nod tonight. (9) COLD RAGE has looked good her since shipping in from Chicago and he is the one to fend off as he shoots for a threepeat. (7) DRAVEN HANOVER has taken slices in 50% of his starts this year and I see him closing for another share here. (10) JCS ROYAL TEASE tripped out to beat the choice last week, giving trainer Christoforou her first Mohawk Park winner. From a wide post, he seems destined to take a small share this time.
Race 6: Claiming $17,500 for NW $80,000 LT - Pick 5
(3) JUSTA BANDIT was no match for the pocket-sitter late in the mile last week, but that was a strong effort and he is the one to beat tonight; top call. (5) RADLEY HANOVER, who closed to finish behind the choice last week, should be an Exacta factor in this field. (1) ROCK AND TWIST got hammered at the windows last week but he blew up before the start and lost all chance. He should contend if he stays flat tonight. (2) ROYAL SHIP can sit another following trip and take a small share.
Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $9,800 L9 - Pick 4
(4) MY BABY GIRL has raced well enough from outside posts in recent starts to suggest that she can get the job done here starting from a much better post. (1) CHELSIS CHOICE is a sneaky contender here coming in off an improved performance. As a 15 to 1 morning line chance, she could add some value to the multi-race tickets. (5) BETCHA BABY should get a more aggressive steer on the class drop here and she is another in with a decent chance tonight. (8) CLODAM BAYAMA is worth a look shipping in and moving into the top trainer's barn. Several Bayama Farms horses have had success in similar situations here.
Race 8: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000
(6) SO MUCH MORE was vulnerable last week after missing six weeks between starts, but she should be very hard to beat now coming back in a week. (4) TRAFALGAR is the "now" horse having blossomed in the Auciello barn and she looks to knock the choice off twice in a row. I think the choice turns the tables, but this mare wouldn't be a big surprise tonight. Price is likely gone now, though. (2) SNOW SHARK makes a great living taking shares in these races and she should be in the Tri or Super again. (7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is in sharp form and she should be good for another share tonight.
Race 9: Niagara Pacing Series 1st Leg 3YO Fillies
(4) AWESOME HILL closed in 54 4/5 in the Harvest Series final but she was a victim of trip and pace that night. She looks best here and I expect McNair to set sail for the front leaving the gate; top call. (5) BELINA followed the choice home in that race and she can complete the Exacta here. (1) RACING FOR THE MARK has missed some time, but she fits here and she can land in the Tri or Super. (2) MILLIES MILLION should be good for another small share in this spot.
Race 10: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $18,000 L8 AE: 3YO Fillies, NW 5 LT
It's hard to see (3) KENDALL SEELSTER getting beat on the big class drop here, but she won't offer much of a price. (6) BET ON BECKY has been in good form for several races now and she should be in the mix to round out the Exacta. (7) MY MOTHER PEARL is razor-sharp and she should close to take another share tonight. (4) THIS DRAGON ROCKS, starting from a better post, figures to be closer early in the mile tonight and that gives her a chance to land in the Super. (5) MIA CULPA figures to pass a few of these late and finish on the edges.

