Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/4

Meet Stats: 606 - 1844 / $3,029.10 (-$658.90)

Best Bets: 93 - 169 / $312.10 (-$25.90)

Spot Plays: 44 - 170 / $300.70 (-$39.30)

Best Bet: MIA CULPA (7TH)

Spot Play: HEAVENSDOR HANOVER (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,7,9/1,2,4,9/1,5,7,9/4/1,2 = $25.60

Late Pick 5: 1,3,7,9/1,2/2,4,6,7/1,2/3,4,6 = $38.40

Early Pick 4: 2,4/1,2,9/1,3,7,9/1,2 = $48

Late Pick 4: 1,2/2,4,6,7/1,2/3,4,6 = $48

Race 1: Pop Up Series 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000 LT (Min. 5 starts) **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) BRING YOUR FIRE paced a sub-56 back 1/2 last week prepping for this series and he can beat these if he gets put into this race earlier. (1) BETTER SUNSET also paced a good back 1/2 and he had no shot from post 10. He should be closer starting from the rail tonight and he should be a threat. (7) DONT POKE THE BEAR was given a nice trip by Dunn last time but the late pace was just too fast. He is hard to love on top at this point having had 29 tries, but he seems to fit well vs. these. (9) JUJU HANOVER’s qualifier for this was good and he is worth using at a price for the exotics.

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Race 2: NW $2,100 L3

(9) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER raced well vs. tougher last time and I think Macdonald blasts with him tonight on the class drop; top call. (2) SO NOT COOL was trapped in the lane last week but he got free late and he couldn't get to a strong class-dropping leader. He is in the mix here. (1) VILLEFRANCHE AS should be in the hunt vs. this group if she stays trotting tonight; using. (4) ON THE ROPES should be close throughout and stay for a slice.

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Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $47,000 LT AE 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

Good betting race here with several options. I'll side with (1) BABY BONITA, who gets post relief after pacing a sub-54 back 1/2 last week when she had the 10-hole. (5) RAPTORS WON should get a better trip here after getting parked the mile when claimed by Moreau; using. (9) BEYOND THE SEA raced tough on the rim while taking a new life's mark and she should offer a good price stepping up and drawing widest here. She is another in with a chance. (7) GOT SEXY SCARS tripped out to beat easier but he tactical speed always makes her a threat.

Race 4: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $25,500 L8 or NW8 LT - Pick 4

(4) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON was best last week but victimized by bad cover. I'll stick with her in a spot where she is sure to offer a square price thanks to the presence of class-dropping (2) SHES NUN BETTOR N. The latter is the obvious mare to beat and hard to leave off multi-race tickets. Shipper (7) NEED TO BREATHE is in great form but she missed some time. I'll use her underneath and tab her for next week. (1) GOT THE GOLD is always in the exotics mix. She should take a share here.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(1) IPANEMA HANOVER has already won from this post in this class and I see her rallying past these tonight. (2) IM ON THE EDGE missed some time, but she gets a barn change and appears to be Macdonald's choice over two others. These are the kinds of races that the leading driver wins regularly by finding the best trip. (4) SOVEREIGN paced a big back 1/2 to break her maiden last week. She is in with a chance here despite facing tougher. (9) IVORY HANOVER was good here last week but she draws worse here and she likely closes late to take a share.

Race 6: Pop Up Series 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000 LT (Min. 5 starts) - Pick 5

(3) SAULSBROOK IAN raced decently when facing some tough 2YO in the Harvest series and this is a good spot for him despite facing older rivals; top call. (9) CONTROL THE SMILE has been put into play in two straight starts and this looks like and easier spot tonight. He could go a long way on the lead tonight. (7) THERSOMTHINGGOINON raced against some decent colts in the Autumn series in London. He can take a share here. (1) SERIOUS MOJO's qualifier for this was decent. Give him a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,600 L5 or $11,200 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 - Pick 4

(2) MIA CULPA should be tough on the class drop here and Filion is sure to put her into play early; top call. (1) TWIN B TIPSTER was buried for her life at this level two starts back. She could provide some value here on the class drop. (3) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD is in for a tag here and she qualified sharply on 10/28. She's worth a look coming in fresh. (5) MAJESTIC VIRGIN only has one win this year but she isn't impossible in this spot.

Race 8: NW $3,200 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3

(4) LUCAS NL fits well here returning from Flamboro and he gets the leading driver; top call. (6) TEXACO MAN won well here last week and took a new life's mark in the process. A repeat of that effort puts him tight there on the wire with these. (2) MR CONTESTANT tried hard racing uncovered a long way last week. His good tactical speed makes him a contender tonight. (7) SOMBRE can win this if the pace falls apart late; price look for the multis.

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Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(1) BROOKDALE MIKI has a much better shot in this spot because no one was closing on Camara Moment last week. (2) NIGHT SHADOW comes out of the same race and he gets post relief and a driver change to McNair. Sharp improvement is likely for this gelding tonight. (3) FULL DISCLOSURE finished ahead of the top two choices but he is 1 for 29 and best used underneath. (6) JJ TOMMY is another exiting that same race that should improve in this spot.

Race 10: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $15,000 L10 or NW $2,900 L3 AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(6) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER drops to a likely spot here and she could go right down the road vs. these. (3) MISS ROCKADALI comes back from London sharp and she could get a perfect trip following the choice here; using. (4) MYSTIFYING drops returning from a break and she is another possibility for late multi-race tickets. (9) KICKUPYAHEELS N is the other dropper but she has missed more than a month. I wouldn't take a short price considering that stale date. (1) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL raced tough on the lead until deep stretch on a night where only one horse that was leading at the stretch call won. She is in the mix here.