Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 1/13

Top Pick Stats: 17 - 53 / $90.20 (-$15.80)
Best Bets: 4 - 5 / $16.30 (+$6.30)
Spot Plays: 1 - 5 / $5.20 (-$4.80)
Best Bet: NEED TO BREATHE (9TH)
Spot Play: PALLADIUM HANOVER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 5,6/1,2/7,8/6,7,8/3,5,9 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 1,4,5/2,4,7/3,6,7,8/5/4,6 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 6,7,8/3/1,4,5/2,4,7 = $5.40
Late Pick 4: 2,4,7/3,6,7,8/5/4,6 = $4.80
Race 1: F&M NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(6) ALWAYS B BEST paced a nice back 1/2 when 3rd to a repeat winner now she draws best. She should be more aggressive here and convert as the chalk. (5) KINNDER SPORT improved sharply on the barn change and finished ahead of the choice. She is the obvious danger. (1) REGIL IRISH took some shares at this level last fall and she can land in the bottom of the exotics coming off a rest. (2) ULTIMATE SPEED can close for another small slice in this spot.
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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000
(2) BEYOND THE SEA faces basically the same field that she beat last week and she gets the call to repeat. (1) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN was used hard in the third 1/4 and she couldn't repel the choice when challenged. I could see her turning the tables with a different trip tonight. (5) COME ROLL WITH ME races better when she stalks and she will likely revert to those tactics tonight. I see her closing for a share. (8) EMMY LOU HAYES can close for the back and land in the bottom of the Super again.
Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT
(8) TESLA POWER likely continues and early chalkfest in the Pick 5 by tripling up to start her career here. (7) ARIZONA looked good beating NW3 at Flamboro racing off the shelf and she is the other logical contender in this field. (1) JKS LIFESAVER rallied well in both of her last two starts but she will likely get far back early again from the rail post and come too late; using underneath. (4) IM ON THE EDGE is likely to take a small share in this spot.
Race 4: NW2 or $29,500 LT - Pick 4
(6) PALLADIUM HANOVER was a victim of pace last week when racing for the first time in six weeks. He should be sharper and more aggressively handled now and he gets the nod. (8) JACK PANIC was another that missed some time that should improve after racing well and finishing ahead of the choice; using. (7) FLIGHT ONEFORTYSIX would have won if he moved earlier and took the second-over cover that the winner grabbed. He is possible but it's hard to predict trip for him. (10) JUJU HANOVER is sharp, but likely to take a small slice starting from out there tonight.
Race 5: F&M NW $1,500 L3 AE: Starters for a purse of $6,000 or less L3
Missing a check last week allows (3) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N to drop into a much easier spot tonight and Macdonald sticks; top call. (9) FLOSSIE N is fast enough to beat these, but the breaks in her Jan. 6 qualifier are concerning; your call. (5) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN has raced well over this track many times and Cullen will likely put her into play from a good post tonight; price look. (2) WARRAWEE XPAT has been close in two starts at this track and she can take another share here.
Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $43,100 LT - Pick 5
(4) QUEEN OF SOUL raced okay in two stakes series now she faces a NW2 field that she should have a big shot against. (5) MEILLEUR FROMAGE got the job done at this level last week and her consistency should be respected; using. (1) KINDA LIKE ROYALTY was a frequent winner last year and she qualified well for this return. She is another in with a shot here. (8) MADDIGAL had designs on the front early last week but the odds-on favorite forced her to tuck into the three-hole at the 1/4. She got clear sailing in the lane but could do no better than 4th. I'll use her underneath here.
Race 7: F&M NW $3,300 L5 or $9,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $8,500 or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 - Pick 4
Interesting matchup of a couple of hot mares here. (7) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH’s racing style gives her a tactical advantage over (2) LITTLEBEARCAT, but the latter couldn't be any sharper. This race could go either way. (4) THIS GIRL RULES comes in sharp, goes for a high percentage barn and she gets first time McNair in the bike; price look. (6) ASKMYSECRETARY should be good for another share using her good tactical speed to get a trip.
Race 8: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $15,650 L8 or NW $35,000 in 2022 AE: OPT CLM $45,000
This race looks like it will set up for a stalker and (3) SLY ELEANOR N, making her third start back, fits that bill; top call. (8) MY ONLY SUNSHINE is obvious on the drop, but the two mares lined up to her left will be blasting off the gate with her, so she will likely need to be tactical. (7) MACH MY KISS is on a roll and hard to leave off late multi-race tickets. (6) MISS ROCKADALI comes in from London razor-sharp and she isn't impossible in this spot.
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Race 9: F&M PREFERRED 2
(5) NEED TO BREATHE is too good for these right now and she probably triples up here without much trouble. (4) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN strangely went off as chalk against the choice last week after getting beat handily by that rival the week before, but she did race well to be 2nd. A chalky Exacta combining these two is likely. (2) SNOW SHARK is hot but this is a big step up. I'll use her on the bottom. (6) SPORTY TORI should be good for another slice in this spot.
Race 10: NW $2,000 L3
(6) MAGNIFICENT SEVEN fits well here, draws best and picks up Roy; top call. (4) CREATINE STAR raced well vs. a repeat winner and he drops now. He should be prominent throughout and he has a good chance vs. these; using. (5) HOLDIN ACES lack of gate speed makes him a risky play on top. I see him closing for another small share. (2) PUBLICITY SEEKER has been facing tougher in Buffalo but he has missed more than a month. I'll use him on the bottom considering the missed time. (9) BEYOND KRONOS showed nothing last week but he probably needed the race after missing three weeks. He can land in the High-5 tonight.

