Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/27

Meet Stats: 343 - 1107 / $1968.50 (-$245.50)
Best Bets: 53 – 98 / $173.20 (-$22.80)
Spot Plays: 19 - 101 / $165.80 (-$36.20)
Best Bet: E L WILD SPIRIT (9TH)
Spot Play: SYLPH HANOVER (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 3,6/1,10/6,7/3,4,6/1,8,10 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 4,5/4,10/2,4,6/6,8/3,5,9 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 3,4,6/1,8,10/4,5/4,10 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,4,6/6,8/3,5,9/1,6,9 = $54
Race 1: F&M CLAIMING HDCP $10,000 to $15,000 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) FERN HILL BELLA was a strong second last week to a mare that isn't entered in this race and off that performance she gets top call here. (6) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE fits much better here and she should be coming on late this time; using. (1) MONEYMAKEHERSMILE is usually a good one to use underneath and getting her nose back on the gate this week should give her a decent chance to take a share. (7) KOUNNIS was used up early last time which should make her price go up sharply this week and she could land in the Tri or Super at a price as she should get a more conservative drive this time.
[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]
Race 2: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,200 L10
(1) BUZZ should be mighty tough here dropping to the bottom condition level and a front end win is likely in this spot. (10) VILLEFRANCHE AS was overbet last week considering she was starting from the worst post. She fits well here but gets mired in the 10-hole; demand a price. (2) FITZGIBBONS shows a win at this level three starts back and if he stays flat this week, he should enter contention for a share. (7) HOLDIN ACES is likely to be more conservative here after breaking while leading last time and getting a tough trip from post 9; using on the bottom.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10
(7) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION was a strong winner at this level last week and she gets the call to repeat having now reached peak form. (4) POWERFUL CHRIS improved but she was no match for the choice as the chalk. She should be a threat again but needs to bridge close to three lengths on the choice. (6) KLOOF STREET drops again but she comes off a poor performance and she has missed close to a month. I'd need a price here and she will likely get bet on the drop. (3) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE should be closing for another share here.
Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $50,000 - Pick 4
(6) WINGDING HANOVER earned a tough win the hard way last week, grinding it out first-over which is a tough way to win on this track; call to repeat. (4) E L CITADEL gets a critical driver switch back to Filion; check out how they did when teamed two starts back; using. (3) KAT was right there with the winner at the wire and she is another alternative to the choice here. (10) TOWN DELINQUENT should be passing horses late again for a small share.
Race 5: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $27,500 L10 AE: NW 8 LT
(10) SYLPH HANOVER paced identical 27-flat opening quarters on her way to setting big fractions that she couldn't sustain last week. There is no question that she's sharp and she should get a better trip this week; top call. (8) SEX APPEAL blasted then took a shuffle in a race that she may have needed and she can be a threat at a price here. (1) BETTER BE DONNA N was part of the contested early pace last week and she should get covered up this time after leaving from the rail. She's another in with a chance at what should be a much better price. (4) LADY ROCKNROLLA A beat the choice last week but she got a better trip. I'll use her underneath in this spot.
Race 6: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - Pick 5
(5) BAUTISTA gets to drop several class levels here and he can get brave on the lead vs. these; top call. (4) DERF HANOVER should be leaving again and he might sit a beautiful pocket trip following the choice this time; using. (6) ALEXUS EH is worth a look for the exotics facing easier and getting regular driver Drury back tonight. (9) RAMAS LAST SON takes regular shares and he will be a big price in here; consider for the bottom of the Tri or Super.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 7: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10
(4) CASIMIR RICHIE P couldn't clear when trying to move into a hot pace last week vs. better. Facing much easier here, he can wire these. (10) ISITFRIDAYYET is capable at this level if he is ready to fire his best shot. Tab the tote for clues here. (6) ROOTIN TOOTIN is another class dropper who should wake up in this spot, but he has missed four weeks; your call. (1) CYCLONE JOE can come on late to take another small share here.
Race 8: F&M NW $27.500 L5 or NW $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 4
(2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP looks best here after missing in the top class by 1/2 a length two weeks in a row but there are also other droppers that figure so I wouldn't take odds-on if she gets bet down. (4) KENDALL SEELSTER is sharp and dangerous, but she tends to be trip dependent. Any mid-race battling should benefit her. (6) SWEET HEAVEN is an interesting Indiana invader that moves into a top barn here but she qualified a month ago. She might need a start here. (3) MAJOR LEAGUE N should be a speed presence early and I see her sticking around to take a slice in this spot.
Race 9: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $12,000
(6) E L WILD SPIRIT drops back down to the claimed level where he is sure to improve and he projects to get a contested early pace in front of him tonight; top call. (8) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is in top form but he might get more early pressure tonight which could soften him up. (4) DARKEST SECRET tried hard last week but the winner was too tough; using underneath. (5) NO TIME AT ALL is worth a look for the exotics making his second start back.
Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $90,000 LT
(3) MARY KAT left for the front, yielded and sat a nice trip. She re-rallied but was nailed late by (9) THE BANDIT QUEEN N, who rode nice cover then rolled by. This race could come down to these two again; slight nod to the former who could get the jump this week. (5) QUESO RELLENO made a big middle move that she couldn't sustain. She can be closer with a different trip here; consider at a price for late multi-race tickets. (8) WESTBEACH's current form is good, but from post 8 I'll use her on the bottom in this spot.
Race 11 F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $17,500 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $18,000
(9) SPORTY TORI blasted and almost lasted in this class last week and I'll take a swing with her expecting a good price. There is no question that (1) SLY ELEANOR N is capable at this level and she looks ready based on her two qualifiers; using. (6) BETTOR TRIX N comes off two excellent performances at Flamboro Downs and she can enter contention in this spot. (10) VINES TO HEAVEN raced big off the claim last week and she is worth a look here despite facing what should be much tougher. (2) LYONS RIVER PRIDE steps back up after dominating lesser. I'll use her on the bottom in this spot.

