Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/25

Meet Stats: 634 - 1915 / $3,179.20 (-$670.60)

Best Bets: 99 - 181 / $332.80 (-$29.20)

Spot Plays: 44 - 182 / $300.70 (-$63.30)

Best Bet: COCKTAIL CAROL (3RD)

Spot Play: EMMY LOU HAYES (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 6,8/1,2,4/2/1,4,6/2,6 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 1,3,5/1,4/2,5,7/4,7,9/7,9 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 1,4,6/2,6/1,3,5/1,4 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,4/2,5,7/4,7,9/7,9 = $36

Race 1: NW $2,300 L3 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) P L OPPORTUNITY’s qualifier on 11/11 with the trainer in the bike showed she is ready for this return from a short break. Henry took the lines last week for an added tightener and this mare gets the nod starting from the best post tonight. (8) MYSTIC is an obvious contender on the class drop tonight and he should move up vs. these; using. (1) SAYLOR drops and returns quicker and he should be in the exotics mix this week. (3) HESOHOT HANOVER is another dropper that should be part of the Tri or Super here.

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Race 2: Pop Up F&M NW $35,000 in 2022 2nd Leg

(4) BAD ROSSA, a strong winner from the worst post in leg one last week, is the obvious one to beat here at what will be a short price. (2) A BLACK DIAMOND was closing on the choice and she should be a threat here again; using. (1) LITTLEBEARCAT was racing great for Desroche two and three starts back and he returns here. She will be in the mix here. (7) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY is capable of taking a small slice in this spot.

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Race 3: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,000

(2) COCKTAIL CAROL beat better than these in the Pop Up final last week and she gets the call to repeat. (4) KINDA LIKE ROYALTY is better than she showed last week and perhaps she will show it getting off the rail here. (8) THIS GIRL RULES just beat NW3 at Flamboro so she should be in the mix vs. these NW2; using underneath. (6) NOOTKA didn’t show much last week coming off her maiden score. I'll use her on the bottom here.

Race 4: NW $3,000 L5 or $10,400 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9,000 or less L3 AE: NW1 L5 or $2,650 L3 - Pick 4

(4) AUSSIE LOVER stretched his legs at this level last week after missing six weeks now he draws much better. I expect an aggressive try; top call. (1) ANDY OVER is another getting post relief that should improve sharply in this spot; using. Rideau shipper (6) COLD RAGE fits well here and he was a winner of two straight at Mohawk in the fall of 2021. Roy will put him into play early and he would be no surprise. (9) SO NOT COOL keeps falling short. I'll use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 5: F&M NW $14,500 L5 or $27,000 L8 AE: NW $80,000 LT

(2) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN should be the boss here getting away from So Much More for a week. (6) KARMA SEELSTER will be heard from here dropping for her second start back. She could end up being a pocket rocket; using. (3) SNOW SHARK is the other dropper that should be in the exotics mix, likely closing late for a share. (5) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON should be closer early leaving from a better post tonight and she can land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $48,000 AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $40K or NW1 L10 - Pick 5

(1) EMMY LOU HAYES' trainer is so hot right now that she gets top billing here on blind faith. (3) WILDCAT STAR raced better last week and she should be a threat here making her third start back. (5) RAPTORS WON was first up in a tough spot in her first start racing off the Gillis claim. She appears to fit well here; using. (6) BIG LADY J won well in a NW2 dash last week but this is tougher and I'll use her underneath.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $11,000 L8 AE: NW $1,300 L3 - Pick 4

(1) CARSONS GOUDA raced okay vs. better last week and she has a good chance to take her eighth win of the year on the class drop tonight. (4) TRAFALGAR is another dropper that rates highly here but she is 2 for 31 this year so I won’t take a short price. (7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N flashed good early speed last week and stayed for 2nd. She is in the mix here for another share. (9) MIA CULPA drops but faces others that are also in easier. She will likely close late for a slice.

Race 8: Harvest Series Final Ontario Sired 3YO Fillies

(7) IM ON THE EDGE was victimized by a slow opening 1/2 last week and she couldn't get close to the leaders. I think there will be more action up front in this series final here and she gets top call. (5) ARIZONA had to pace a 27-flat third 1/4 to just get close to the front and she predictably paid the price late. She is in with an upset chance tonight. (2) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE tripped out to win last week but she is well-spotted to get another good trip here. She is hard to toss. (3) BABY BONITA got a 59-flat opening 1/2 and she couldn't seal the deal. I'll use her underneath tonight.

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Race 9: Pop Up F&M NW $35,000 in 2022 2nd Leg

(8) MADDIGAL was facing tougher when last seen and I'll give her the nod here in a spot where she fits well. (7) TWIN B SUNKISSED paced a 27 1/5 second 1/4 making her move to the front and that took its toll late in the mile. She should be a threat here; using. (4) LA PETITE GRISE raced decently in the first leg against a razor-sharp winner and she is another in with a chance here. (5) MADDYS CREDIT is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics getting out of the second tier tonight.

Race 10: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $13K or less L3 AE: OPT CLM $45K

(9) TUGGINGONCREDIT is one of several sharp droppers in here and I can see her taking a seat near the front early and making a winning mid move tonight; top call. (7) BEACH MOMENT was close vs. better here two starts back then she went to Flamboro to take a win in their top class. She figures to be a big threat racing from close range tonight. (4) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is another dropper that figures to be more aggressive here but I prefer to use her underneath. (3) SAULSBROOK JESSIE has been right there for several starts in a row in Flamboro's top class and she is in the exotics mix. (5) TWIN B BETTY comes off a sharp win but she faces tougher here; small share predicted.