Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/20

Meet Stats: 328 - 1064 / $1882.90 (-$267.10)
Best Bets: 52 – 95 / $169.60 (-$21.40)
Spot Plays: 17 - 97 / $137.40 (-$55.20)
Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (9TH)
Spot Play: SPRINGBRIDGEVISION (7TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,4/4,9,10/2,3,6/1,6,8/2,9 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 3,9/3,7,8/1,5,9/7,8/1,6,8 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 1,6,8/2,9/3,9/3,7,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 1,5,9/7,8/1,6,8/1,5,10 = $54

Race 1: F&M CLAIMING HDCP $10,000 to $15,000 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) VINES TO HEAVEN raced decently over a good track after missing close to a month now she races for Moreau off the claim and she gets the nod here. The last time Roy drove (2) FERN HILL BELLA she was an easy winner here at this class level and this isn't the strongest claiming handicap field. She should contend in this spot. (6) ERIKAS SHADOW hasn’t made it into the Exacta all year but she now drops into a claimer for the first time which gives her a chance to enter contention. (8) ZARCONIA SEELSTER beat easier conditioned claimer foes last week, taking advantage of a 59 4/5 back 1/2. I see her closing for a smaller share here.

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Race 2: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $19,500 L10

(10) THIS DRAGON ROCKS was a powerful winner last time she raced this low and she will be tough in here if she can work out a decent trip. (4) LANDRY SEELSTER raced okay when moved up to this class level last week and she draws better here. She has a decent chance tonight. (9) SPORTY TORI gets a big driver change for this and she fits well at this level. The only issue is the post draw, but that will help her price. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER should be good for another share in this spot.

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Race 3: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(8) CAVALIER GEORGE was conservatively driven last week perhaps with an eye to the final. He should get more aggressive early in the mile here and he gets top call. (3) MAGICS WIZARD produced good speed both early and late to win last week and he should be a big threat here in this final. (2) ANGELS NATION might be better when he takes a stalking approach which is likely here. He is another possibility in what should be a good betting race. (10) LEXUS MARKUS would be rated higher if he drew on the gate. From post 10, I'll tab him for a small share.

Race 4: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $27,500 L10 AE: NW 8 LT - Pick 4

(8) BETTER BE DONNA N’s 1:50 flat win at this level two starts back sticks out and she should get put into this race leaving the gate; top call. (6) SEX APPEAL just raced against some of the best three-year-old pacing fillies on the continent and she stacks up well in this field; using. (1) SYLPH HANOVER draws decently for the first time in three starts and she has upset potential here. (2) LADY ROCKNROLLA A was a good 2nd to a strong winner last week and she should take another slice here.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(2) BEYOND BETTER produced a big first-over effort to win last week and he gets the call to repeat here in this stakes series final. (9) NATIONAL SPORT was overbet last week considering he was mired in the second tier to start and he showed little. He should be blasting here and he is a contender. (1) DELIGHTFUL TERROR was good last week, too, but his chances of landing the pocket here decrease because of the rail draw; using underneath. (7) COLD CREEK CABO should be closing late again to take a share.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW 3 or $50,000 LT - Pick 5

(9) MAJOR BATTLE had too far to come last week but she stayed game. I'll give her a slight nod in a wide-open race hoping for a better trip. (3) WINGDING HANOVER exits a tough race from which the second place winner has already come back to win, beating NW8 at Yonkers. She is in with a shot vs. these. (6) KAT is always in the hunt but she rarely wins. I'll use her underneath tonight. (4) DOCS HARMONY can improve here if she avoids getting stuck out there first up again; consider for the exotics.

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Race 7: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or NW $10,000 L10

(7) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION had a good head of steam late in her mile last week now she draws slightly better. She should beat a couple of these off the gate and that can make the difference for her; top call. (3) POWERFUL CHRIS makes her fifth start back and she drops to a new low with McClure returning to the bike. You'd think she has to wake up in this spot. (8) COUSIN MARY fits better at this level and she should get put into play early by teamster Harris; using. (2) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN draws well and she has speed to get position early; consider for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - Pick 4

(9) VILLEFRANCHE AS drops again making her third start back since missing more than a month and I expect Roy to float her off the gate and continue on to the front. She gets top call here. (5) HIGHLAND DYNAMITE takes a multi-level class drop here and she should wake up with a much better effort in this spot; using. (1) DERF HANOVER was used harder vs. tougher and he tired late but that was still a better effort and he can contend for a share here. (7) GOLD EDITION should show speed again and hang around for a share.

Race 9: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

(8) SO MUCH MORE doesn't get beat in these races and she can win using a variety of styles. She should be tough here again tonight. (7) LIT DE ROSE was kept buried in the lane last week as there was no room at the inn with a $16K top prize on the line. She is the one that is most likely to turn the tables. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP was game in defeat and she's not out of this but a smaller share is likely here. (1) MAJOR LEAGUE N can show speed and hang around to round out the Tri or Super.

Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $87,500 LT

(6) FURIOSA flew late to blow up the tote board last time and she figures to get another good set up here with some quick leavers lined up on the farthest outside posts; call to repeat. (1) QUESO RELLENO's three-year-old form is good enough that she should contend here and she is another who could get a great trip; using. (8) THE BANDIT QUEEN N had a sub par effort for her on 11/6 then she took a week off which could help her rebound here although she may have to contend with a blasting (9) LYONS GIRLHANOVER. There's a chance these two could cancel each other out in the first 1/2 if they both have designs on the lead.

Race 11: CLAIMING HANDICAP $10,000 to $12,000

(5) COOL ROCK is 0 for forever, but I liked the way McNair got more aggressive with him early last week and this might be a winnable spot for him; top call, but I wouldn’t take a short price for obvious reasons. (1) DARKEST SECRET finished just behind the choice in his first start for Moreau now he gets Filion and he has a decent chance against these. (10) NO TIME AT ALL qualified well for this finishing second to an Open pacer and he is in with an upset chance. (6) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is a tough veteran that is always capable in this class if he fires his best shot and he is hard to toss. (4) BEACH BABY BEE should be good for a minor share in this spot.