Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/19

Garnet Barnsdale|Nov 17, 2021

Meet Stats: 350 - 1028 / $1,868.20 (-$187.80)

Best Bets: 52 - 93 / $177.10 (-$8.90)

Spot Plays: 26 - 95 / $184.00 (-$6.00)

Best Bet: COUSIN MARY (9TH)

Spot Play: NOTHING BUT MUSCLE (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 6/4,5/5,9,10/3,6,7,8/4,5 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3/8,9,10/3,5,7,9/3/3,5 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 3,6,7,8/4,5/2,3/8,9,10 = $48

Late Pick 4: 8,9,10/3,5,7,9/3/3,5 = $24

Race 1: NW $3,850 L5 or $9,200 L8 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) SOMBRE is a drop and pop specialist and he should be hard to beat on the multi-level class drop tonight. (4) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE looked dangerous coming off the final turn last week then he hung a bit. He gets to drop again and he should be an Exacta factor tonight. (7) RYDGEMINT SON can be an exotics factor if he stays flat tonight. I prefer to use him underneath, however. (9) BUZZ will likely be an early pace presence here and stick around for a share.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $25,000 LT

(5) JUST CALL ME SONG faces elders tonight coming off a stakes series win where she capitalized on a good trip. This isn't the toughest NW3, however and she gets the nod. (4) ADASHIOUS HANOVER comes out of a much tougher NW4 race and she gets the leading driver, who steered her to a dominant win here on 10/14. She is the one to fear. (7) CLOVER got back on track at Flamboro Downs and her mark equals the choice's 1:53 2/5 best. She could get a good trip racing near the front tonight; using underneath. (1) LADY AKILA is 1 for 36 with 15 other shares taken. She is best used underneath at this point.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES FINAL Ont. Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings

(5) DUKE LAVICTOIRE was airborne late here on 11/5 to just miss and he could get the setup that he craves tonight; call to upset. (9) EMERALD WINGS and (10) MYSTIC both come off dominant wins in leg two of this series but they draw worst. Either is obviously capable but you have to wonder if one or both will be underlays. (4) URNTROUBLE HANOVER should provide his usual late kick to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 4: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,400 L10 - Pick 4

(3) DOCS HARMONY gets class and post relief here and she was a winner last time she raced this low. The barn has been hot lately and she should be tough to beat here. (8) NECTAR made up a lot of ground in the final 1/4 last week and she should be charging late again; Exacta factor. (6) AMASA ARION will likely be more aggressive leaving the gate tonight and that gives her a chance to hit the board. (7) CUSTARD LITE had clear sailing in the lane last week but she couldn't gain; small share predicted again.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL Ont. Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings

Good tilt here between (5) CONTROL HEAVEN and (4) TAKE A GAMBLE, both of whom were dominant winners last week. I'll side with the former only because I think he will be in the pocket turning for home ready to launch an attack on the latter. (1) LORD ANTHONY is capable of much better than he showed here last week and I see him landing in the Tri tonight. (7) HESINCONTROL should use his good late kick to make it into the Super.

Race 6: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or NW $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 5

(3) KENDALL SEELSTER is usually hard to beat when she drops out of the top class and she gets top billing vs. these. (2) BESTSELLER HANOVER is another dropper that should be right there tonight racing close to the front throughout. (1) SNOW SHARK is capable at this level and she could get the covered trip she needs starting from the rail; using. (6) WESTERN WISH should be forwardly placed early and I see her sticking around to take a share.

Race 7: NW $3,850 L5 or $9,200 L8 - Pick 4

(10) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE chased a leader that was unyielding and that one has already repeated vs. NW $9K L5 company. This gelding could go right down the road tonight. (8) WISHYOUDTELLME sat on the choice's back then came out and passed him in the lane to take 2nd. He should be the main threat. (9) VICTOR INVICTUS drops off a good effort and he is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (7) HIGH GEAR NO FEAR drops and if there is a spot where he is going to turn his form around, this is likely it; using underneath.

Race 8: F&M NW $9,700 L5 or $18,000 L10 or NW $75,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

This is a tough race with several options. I'll side with (3) MISS KITTY HANOVER who gets post relief while making her third start back since a sick scratch. (7) KICKIN COWGIRL has already shown that she fits well at this level and she should be heard from in the lane; using. (9) REALIZATION won at a similar level last week but this field looks tougher. I'd demand a price with this one tonight. (5) JUST MY SHADOW raced well off the Barrington claim and she is another in with a shot.

Race 9: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or NW $13,000 L10

(3) COUSIN MARY gets to dive a few classes here and she should be tough to beat at this level. Don't expect much of a price, though. (5) MIA CULPA is the other class dropper that should improve tonight and she is worth a look for multi-race tickets. (4) GOODNIGHT IRENE should get a decent trip racing near the front and she can be in the Tri. (8) TWIN B TIPSTER goes for a hot barn and she should be passing a few of these late; using on the bottom.

Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $61,000 LT

(3) BEST HEAD WEST raced better in her last two starts now she faces easier. I'll give her the nod over (5) SWEET PINK who can build off her comeback effort last week and should be sharper for this. (1) PAULAS BET HANOVER faced some tough ones down south and she should be good for a share in this field. (10) MY MOTHER PEARL is always passing horses and she should be a big price here. Give her a look for the exotics. (4) EMBLYNETTE raced okay here last week and she is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super.