Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/18
Meet Stats: 623 - 1883 / $3,136.70 (-$629.10)
Best Bets: 96 - 177 / $321.80 (-$32.20)
Spot Plays: 44 - 178 / $300.70 (-$55.30)
Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (9TH)
Spot Play: BABY BONITA (7TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,4,7/1,2,3/2,6/4,8,10/3,4 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 2,3,7/6,7/4,5,6/8/1,4,6,7 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 4,8,10/3,4/2,3,7/6,7 = $36
Late Pick 4: 6,7/4,5,6/8/1,4,6,7 = $24
Race 1: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,100 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) MASSIVE PROFIT closed nicely for 3rd vs. better on Monday night here and he should be closer to the front early facing easier and moving inside; top call. (4) SHOWME SOME MUSCLE is another that was flying late that gets post relief, too. He should be a threat in this spot. (7) NEVER MIND N was resilient on the lead and he is another that is in with a decent chance in a good betting race. (1) TEXACO MAN should rally for another small share here.
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Race 2: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $29,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: 3YO
(3) NEED TO BREATHE found a clear lane at the 1/8th pole last week and she flew down the middle of the track to finish a clear 2nd. She fits well here and she should get pace to chase here. (2) TUGGINGONCREDIT is on a roll with McNair in the bike and she should be the one to catch again; using. (1) RAPTORS WON took two straight wins as the odds-on chalk and she gets into this race because she is three. She is another live contender. (7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP adds Lasix and she can close for a share in this spot.
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Race 3: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,500 LT
(2) NOOTKA made an amazing recovery last week after breaking to beat easier, pacing a sub-55 back 1/2 after breaking before the start. Off that sharp score, she gets the call to repeat. (6) BIG LADY J was good vs. NW3 and she should get involved earlier on the drop tonight; using. (8) SOVEREIGN will be closing late as usual and she is another Pick 5 possibility. (7) CHELSIS CHOICE should improve on the drop, but she is 1 for 22 this year and more likely to take a slice than a win.
Race 4: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $14,650 L8 AE: NW $70,000 LT - Pick 4
(4) SETTN A PRECEDENT gets needed post relief here and I can see her working out the winning trip in this spot tonight. (10) WESTERN WISH drops again and she should be a threat despite drawing wide; using. (8) BETTER BE DONNA N is another dropper that will likely get put into this race early and she is another that could do here if she gets a reasonable trip. (2) MY MOTHER PEARL will likely sit and rally for a small slice tonight.
Race 5: Pop Up Series F&M NW $35,000 in 2022
(3) LA PETITE GRISE ships in from Ottawa in sharp form and she moves into the top barn for tonight's start. I'll give her the nod in a good betting race. (4) TWIN B SUNKISSED fits well here and she will probably head to the front early and play catch-me-if-you-can; using. (9) HIGH ROLLING A, winner of three of her last six starts, is fast enough to go with these and she can overcome her wide draw; using. (10) BAD ROSSA was really good last week and she would be rated higher if she drew better.
Race 6: Pop Up Series Final 4YO and Younger NW1 or $5,000 LT - Pick 5
(7) SERIOUS MOJO has been razor-sharp since returning from a six month break and he could get a nice setup here with the favorites lined up to his inside and likely to battle at some point in the mile; call to upset. (2) BETTER SUNSET would not be denied last week and he produced a sub-27 kicker to get the job done. He is the one to beat. (3) THERSOMTHINGGOINON is an obvious contender being two-for-two in the preliminary legs and another that could do in a race that will likely be decided by trip. (4) BETTOR THAN PRIDE will likely mix it up early and stick around for a share.
Race 7: Harvest Series Ont. Sired 3YO Fillies 2nd Leg - Pick 4
(6) BABY BONITA has an impossibly long parked-out trip last week now she draws best. A better trip could see her in the winners circle at a square price. (7) IM ON THE EDGE looked good swallowing up the leaders in midstretch last week and she is the one to beat here. (3) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE was overbet last week and Sorrie tried to wire the field at 1 to 2. I think she sits a trip here and stays for a share. (1) ARIZONA is sharp and she should be in the exotics mix again.
Race 8: NW $2,100 L3
This looks like a race that class dropper (4) SOMBRE might be able to control on the front end; slight nod. (5) LOOK AT DAT KAT gets post relief coming off a decent closing effort at this level and he will likely be the one to fend off late. (6) DEAL WITH LUCUS was first up chasing a strong leader last week and he couldn't keep up in a 27 4/5 kicker. He has a better shot here; price look. (3) SWAN BY LAND should be good for another small share in this spot.
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Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED
(8) SO MUCH MORE gets assigned the widest post here but that shouldn't stop her. (7) GIAS SURREAL took a win at this level when the choice was given a week off following her taxing effort in the Breeders Crown final. This mare should be the main threat tonight. (1) VOELZ DELIGHT has earned close to $100K chasing the choice most of the year and she should get another good share here. (5) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN should pass a few of these late and land in the bottom of the Tri or Super.
Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $10,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000
(4) COME ROLL WITH ME is in much easier tonight and she will likely get put into this race early by Macdonald; top call. (1) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD was good at this level two starts back and she should contend here dropping back down this week; using. (6) TWIN B BETTY produced a nice late charge in her local debut now she returns quicker. She is in with an upset chance. (7) TWIN B TIPSTER is a hit-and-miss type that typically needs a perfect trip. I'd need a price. (5) NAUGHTY LADY B is capable of taking a small share at this level coming back from a rest.