Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/15

Top Pick Stats: 588 - 1750 / $3,223.30 (-$276.70)

Best Bets: 83 - 160 / $265.00 (-$55.00)

Spot Plays: 39 - 157 / $342.10 (+$28.10)

Best Bet: VOOM VOOM (10TH)

Spot Play: GRAMBLING HALL (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,5,9/1,4/4,6,7/3,4/4,5,7 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3/1,3/1,6,7/2,4,9/2 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 3,4/4,5,7/2,3/1,3 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 1,6,7/2,4,9/2/6,7 = $3.60

Race 1: NW $2,800 LAST 5 OR NW $9,550 L10 STARTS (W/O $12,500 L10 N/E). AE:N/A $1,390 P/S IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $20,000. AE: MARES NW $1,500 L3 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

This is a field that (4) MISTER MAGIC can beat if he stays flat and I’ll take a price swing with him to kick off the early Pick 5. (9) COLLECTOR S got hammered at the windows last week then he jumped it off at the start. He keeps Macdonald and he will surely offer a better price tonight; using. (5) DERF HANOVER is in easier here and he drew better. He is a contender, but he may get overbet; your call. (6) IMPRESSIVE DUDE frequently takes shares, and he can be part of the exotics tonight.

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Race 2: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $50,000 (OS $87,750) LIFETIME

(1) BETTERWITHGLASSES gets away from streaking Stonebridge Halo tonight and I can see her tripping out here and getting the job done. (4) MIKKI SIXX was better in her second start back and she could be even sharper for this third start off the layoff. She will have to be caught. (5) ALLSMOKEANDMIRRORS was game in defeat to Mikki Sixx last week and she is in the exotics mix again. Maritimes shipper (2) WOODMERE DELTA goes for Auciello with the leading driver in the bike, but she comes off a break in stride and I prefer to watch her once.

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Race 3: FILLIES & MARES, 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS NW $24,250 (ON SIRED $29,250) LIFETIME

(4) OH A LEGEND fired home quickly in both if her last two starts and she draws better here. I think she gets a more aggressive steer and gets the job done tonight. (6) ROSE COLORDGLASSES closed quickly from far back and shaded (7) DIRTY DIANA for 2nd last week. Both are contenders that are capable if they get a trip closer to the front tonight. (3) OCEANSIDE MAGIC made a middle move to the front and was quickly overtaken then she had a clear shot out of the pocket in the land and was one-paced. I prefer to use her underneath here.

Race 4: FILLIES & MARES, NW $18,000 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $70,000. AE: 3 YEAR OLDS - Pick 4

(3) STONEBRIDGE HALO couldn’t be any sharper and Macdonald stuck with her over two others in here. She’s in tougher, but she gets the nod to notch the threepeat. (4) LYONS BETTORDAY likely needed last week’s start now she drops one level and Roy will likely put her into play leaving the gate; using. (9) ANGOSTURA HANOVER drops but she has missed four weeks and because of that stale date I’ll use her underneath tonight. (6) YODA QUEEN flew home last week, and she can land in the bottom of the exotics again.

Race 5: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 5) RACES OR $50,000 (OS $62,500) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YEAR OLDS OPT. CLM. $60,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(4) GRAMBLING HALL draws inside this week which is key for him, and I think he gets a good trip racing close to the front; top call. (7) SATURDAY was on a good roll prior to the sick scratch, and he will be formidable here if he is fully recovered; using. (5) R PEAKY BLINDERS was driven very aggressively last week, and it didn’t work out. He could do here if he gets an easier trip, which is likely. He is another possibility for multi-race tickets. (2) OH BROTHER will likely sit a following trip and close for another small slice.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, NW $4,000 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. AE: N/A $1,640 P/S IN 2023 OR 2024 (MIN 10 STS). AE: NW $24,000 IN 2024 (MIN 5 STS) - Pick 5

(2) SPORTS DUCHESS produced a strong effort in defeat last week, the winner simply got the jump on her. She will likely get more aggressive here and she gets the nod over (3) ELLAS REASON A, who finally draws a good post this week. She should be a threat racing much closer to the front this time; using. (1) GOUDAWON got a start in vs. a salty group at Flamboro and she fits well here, but she is no lock, and she will probably get over bet with the leading driver taking over. I’ll play to beat her out of the multis. (4) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL should be good for a share dropping one class level tonight.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2024 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2024. NO ALLOWANCES. LEG 2

(3) DEFININGTHE MOMENT looked best of any in Leg 1 and Macdonald sticks with her; call to repeat. (1) LANESIDE INCONTROL lost all chance when she blew up before the start, but she did manage to salvage 2nd. She can be a threat if she behaves tonight. (7) RESILIENCE got an easy trip on the engine after the only real threat broke before the start. I prefer to use her underneath this week. (6) ROCKS SHADOW tripped out to finish 2nd to the choice and she can take another share here.

Race 8: FILLIES & MARES NW 3 RACES OR $33,500 (OS $48,500) LIFETIME - Pick 4

(7) PERFECT ANGEL went a big trip to win at this level two starts back then she broke last week. If she behaves, she has a big shot vs. these. (1) GO HAVE FUN was a close 2nd to the choice in that race that she won, and she should be the main threat here; using. (6) EXCITING MIA passes rivals every week, and she is in with a chance in this field. (5) SUE ANNE ships in from London in great form but these are tougher; using underneath.

Race 9: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 3) RACES OR $27,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/A $1,205 P/S IN 2023 OR 2024 (MIN 6 STARTS)

(2) QUICKERTHANTHEYE gets key trainer and driver changes for this, and he can improve sharply; call to upset. (9) STEAMER comes off a good effort where he closed into an accelerating late pace, and he is worth a look at a price for late multi-race tickets. (4) FASHION CONTENDER already won at this level three starts back and he will likely contend if he stays flat tonight. (7) TEMPTATION DEO steps up after crushing maidens. A smaller share is likely for this two-year-old filly this time.

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Race 10: FILLIES & MARES: NW $18,000 IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: NOT AVERAGING $1,610 PER START IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS)

(2) VOOM VOOM blasted, took a shuffle, then re-rallied last week and this is a good spot for her; top call. (1) BETTER BE DONNA N wasn’t far behind the choice, and she was a winner at this level two starts back. She should be the main threat here. (6) FLIGHT CREW N comes off a decent effort and she could get brave if she gets left alone on the lead tonight; price look. (5) SILENT CROSSING has taken shares at this level recently. She should be part of the exotics tonight.

Race 11: FILLIES & MARES, NW $8,000 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000. AE: OS NW $96,750 LIFETIME. AE: N/A $1,855 P/S IN 2023 OR 2024 (MIN 10 STS)

(6) SORCHA SEELSTER paced a sub-55 back 1/2 last week chasing tough Stonebridge Halo, now she draws best in a good spot, and she gets top billing. (7) GLENBORO will take a lot of action on the class drop tonight and she will likely be the one to catch. (2) HOW MUCH gets McNair back and she returns quicker, and she is another that should be a threat here; using. (9) BLINDED BY DELIGHT raced tough in defeat last week, but I prefer to use her underneath starting from a wide post tonight. (1) HES EXPRESS arrived ready from Buffalo and got the first-time McNair boost, but she loses that driver now and draws the rail now; small share predicted.