Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/13/26

Top Pick Stats: 633/2044 (-$1,129.50)

Best Bets: 73/182 (-$61.00); Spot Plays: 38/186 (-$121.20)

Best Bet: CHANTILLY (Race 10)

Spot Play: MADAM X (Race 9)

Early Pick-5: 5,7,8/1,3/4,5/3/2,7 $4.80

Middle Pick-5: 2,8/5/6,10/7,9/5 $1.60

Late Pick-5: 6,10/7,9/5/8/2,5,6,9 $3.20

Race 1: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(5) ISLAND GIRL was a strong runner-up finisher on November 6. Combine that with her earlier Ontario Sires Stakes experience and you get a solid top pick to kick off the night. (8) BAIE JOLIE finished third in the same race and has demonstrated enough early speed and versatility to be dangerous again. (7) LULULEMON HANOVER should be respected on connections alone. She should improve on debut, but the question is how much?

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO FILLIES, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. LEG 2.

(1) BEACH WIGGLE comes off a sharp second-place finish against Harvest Series competition and should benefit from the inside draw. (3) HALF FAST has won two of her last four starts and possesses the tactical speed to secure a favorable trip. (4) MOLLYS ON FIRE has competitive efforts against stronger conditioned company make her a legitimate contender with a well-timed late move.

Race 3: FILLIES & MARES, NW $1,000 LAST 4 STARTS (W/O $7,500 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: N/A $700 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $15,000.

(4) MUKTUK ANNIE has finished first, second, and third in her last three starts at Mohawk and brings the most appealing recent consistency. (5) OH OPHELIA closed effectively for second on November 6 and could benefit from another contested early pace. (3) BIG NIPPER was a fourth-place finisher last time was better than it appears, and she has the late speed to threaten for a share.

Race 4: NW $1,000 LAST 4 STARTS (W/O $7,500 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: N/A $700 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $15,000.

(3) PESO HANOVER likely goes off an underlay in this spot but I can see him overpowering these with the class drop. (9) MUSCLE FASHION was a narrow second in his latest start and has the recent form to overcome the outside draw. (4) CAPTAIN WANIA has been competitive at this level and offers a favorable combination of post position and established recent form.

Race 5: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $76,000 LIFETIME.

(2) SWEET LAKE has faced solid conditioned competition and could work out a favorable stalking trip from post two. (7) FOX VALLEY REBA was an impressive three-length winner on November 6 makes her a major threat to repeat against this group. (3) ALWAYS BE EMMA has demonstrated competitive speed at this level and should benefit from an advantageous inside starting position.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS NW 2 RACES OR $15,000 (ON SIRED $18,750) LIFETIME.

If (8) SHADYS MOMENT is ready to roll off the sick scratch, she is the horse to beat. If not? It can open up a fair amount underneath. (2) GLAM ROCK owns a recent victory over Island Girl and Baie Jolie which gives her strong credentials against this field. (1) KISSEDBYASTRANGER comes off a runner-up finish behind Fox Valley Reba and should be prominent throughout from the rail.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONT SIRED OR BRED 3 YO FILLIES, NW $60,000 LIFETIME OR NW $30,000 IN 2026 (MIN 5 STARTS) AS OF SEPT 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. LEG 2.

(5) NO BETTER AIR cruised in her Harvest Series division and enters with outstanding recent credentials. (4) COLD CREEK CALI won her own Harvest Series division and appears capable of challenging the top selection. (3) COULD BE QUEEN was a runner-up finisher behind No Better Air gives her a solid chance to complete the trifecta.

Race 8: NW $2,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $6,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $25,000. AE: N/A $1,320 P/S IN 2025-26.

(10) DAHLQUIST HANOVER has competed against considerably tougher trotters and could make an impact with sufficient early racing luck. (6) SAY OUI comes off a front-stepping victory against similar competition and should be dangerous at a price if allowed to control the tempo. (3) LUKES BAR’s latest fourth-place finish provides a reasonable foundation for improvement against this group.

Race 9: FILLIES & MARES, NW $6,000 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $13,500 LAST 8 STARTS AE: OPT. CLM. $40,000. AE: NW $26,000 IN 2026 (MIN 10 STS).

(9) MADAM X’s latest victory demonstrates the speed needed to overcome the outside post and defeat this field. (7) MADRID A has been competitive against similar opposition and possesses enough tactical speed to threaten the favorite. (8) WICKED N SINGLE comes off a strong victory against lower-level competition and could carry that momentum into this tougher assignment.

Race 10: FILLIES & MARES, NW $27,000 LAST 4 STARTS.

Fine, I’ll pull the trigger now. (5) CHANTILLY is third back and took a decent jump in start two off the bench. I think she can get the best of a field that tends to scrap for wins at this level. (1) GLENBORO was a decisive victor in her latest which makes her a formidable contender, especially with the benefit of the rail. (3) GRIT N GRACE comes in following a winning effort and has the tactical speed to remain close to the leaders.

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Race 11: FILLIES & MARES, NW $9,000 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $18,000 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: NW 6 RACES OR $125,000 LIFETIME.

(8) TELLS ON A ROLL takes a major drop in class and could simply overpower these mares with a speed try. (7) HORSE WITH A PLAN has been a major factor against older mares for most of the season and appears to show no signs of slowing down tonight. (2) CENTURY JAMILA’s narrow second-place finish behind Madam X makes her a logical candidate against this company.

Race 12: FILLIES & MARES, NW $2,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $5,000 LAST 8 STARTS. (W/O $13,500 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: OPT. CLM. $25,000.

(9) SUPERIOR DELIGHT owns a recent second-place finish behind Glenboro which represents an appealing class angle in this softer assignment. (2) SWIFT TALKER is third back now and showed enough in her two prior outings to make her a main player tonight. (6) COLD CREEK ESPERO didn’t get her kind of trip last week and she paid for it late. She needs others to mix it up, and a horse like Swift Talker could tow her right into contention.