Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/13

Meet Stats: 318 - 1033 / $1838.00 (-$228.00)
Best Bets: 52 - 91 / $169.60 (-$11.80)
Spot Plays: 16 - 93 / $131.10 (-$53.50)
Best Bet: HELLO LOVE (9TH)
Spot Play: MAJOR BATTLE (10TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,5,6/4,5/3,7,10/10/4,5,8,9 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 2,4,7/4,5,8/2,7/2/2,4,5,9 = $14.40
Early Pick 4: 10/4,5,8,9/2,4,7/4,5,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,7/2/2,4,5,9/1,7,8 = $24

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) LEXUS MARKUS raced well enough to win last week but he was forced to move first and he provided golden cover for the winner which he could not hold off. He has a good shot in here. (1) LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO was cleverly driven to a win by Jamieson who engineered a perfect trip last week and he could get a similar good journey here so I'll use him in this Pick 5. (5) FRANKS ANGEL was a solid 2nd behind a strong winner last week and he certainly isn't out of this. (3) NORTHERN SULTAN can produce a nice late kick and he can better this placing if he lays a bit closer to the front this time.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(5) BEYOND BETTER is reaching peak form as the final of this series gets closer and with his nose back on the gate here, he should be tough. (4) WIND BLOWN went too fast too early last week and moving to a better post can result in an improved trip here. He should be the main danger. (2) PERSEUS SEELSTER parlayed a good trip into a close finish last week and a similar scenario is possible here; using underneath. (1) FEAR THE SHADOW finished with interest last week and he can sneak into the Super here.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(10) NATIONAL SPORT dominated last week in this series and while he might have a tougher time here starting from post 10, he gets the nod to repeat. (7) COLD CREEK CABO was a solid winner last week, too and he can probably find some cover again in this spot; using. (3) BEACH DEMON predictably left hard last week and worked out a nice trip. He could repeat here because he likely has a good chance at sitting another good following trip racing near the front. (8) DELIGHTFUL TERROR couldn't seal the deal as the odds-on chalk last week. From a wide post, I'll use him underneath.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW 2 or $15,000 - Pick 4

(10) CLASSICA came ready to play last week racing off a break and while she faces tougher here, she has a good chance to repeat. (2) LAINIE HANOVER drops back to the NW2 level but she has missed more than a month. She is capable, but I'll demand a price. (1) LA BELLE REBELLA has drawn several 10-holes in a row and showed little. She may crack the exotics at a price here. (5) LATTE SEELSTER should last for a small share again here.

Race 5: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(4) JUST MY SHADOW hasn't drawn well once since moving up to this class three starts back and she hasn't raced poorly. I can see Macdonald sending her for position early here and working out the winning trip. (9) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION has come to life in her past two starts and she paced several races here last year that would win this race; upset chance with McNair in the bike. (5) BIDFORA HUG is usually in the hunt at this level but she is more likely to take a share than a win. (8) SPRINGBRIDGE SASSY does better when she rallies and she will likely deploy a stalking style here; using.

Race 6: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 5

(2) OXFORD HALL almost pulled off an improbable win despite breaking at the start last week and he'll be tough to beat here if he stays trotting. (4) RJS INVICTUS' chances improve here because he doesn't have to chase Cavalier George around the track and he will be on my multi-race tickets. (7) MAGICS WIZARD has a similar profile and he should improve in this spot. (5) RAISING RUSTY has shown that he is capable of a good effort when he stays flat and he has upset potential here.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(4) NO WHERE TO HIDE has caught fire in her past two starts and this is a good spot for her tonight; top call. (5) BIG MYRTLE went too fast too soon last time and she paid for it late. I can see her being more conservatively driven here and she is dangerous. (8) SMILING DIALING gets a barn change here and faces easier so she is one that I'll use in the late Pick 4 in this spot. (1) SUNNY SICILY was flying late last week and she should be passing rivals to take another share here.

Race 8: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

(7) CAVALIER GEORGE set more even fractions last week and he was never seriously threatened as he had plenty left in the tank for the stretch drive. He may not lose in this series. (2) ANGEL NATION produced a strong late rush to get up last week and he is the obvious threat to the choice in what looks like a two horse race. (4) TYMAL RIGGS had a bit of an eventful trip last week then was shaded by a rival that rode the pylons in the lane. If you are looking for a colt to knock off the top two, he is probably your guy. (6) MOON BRIDGE should be on the pace early and stick around for a small share.

Race 9: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $35,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(2) HELLO LOVE had zero room to race for the entire stretch drive last week and she finished full of pace. She takes a big drop here and she should be tough. (6) MAJOR LEAGUE N set some big splits last week and hung on reasonably well. She should be the one to catch again. (10) SWIFT ALLY is always close at this level but she is still stuck on one win and the second tier post likely makes it tough here; using underneath. (1) FREE FLYIN TICKET fits okay in this spot and I can see her making a late charge to finish in the Tri or Super.

Race 10: F&M NW3 or $58,500 LT AE: 3YO who are NW1 in 2020

(9) MAJOR BATTLE continues to fire home quickly every week and post 9 should boost her price here. I'll give her the nod looking for some multi-race value. (4) E L CITADEL keeps improving and it isn’t out of the question that she takes her fourth straight win here. (2) DOCS HARMONY steps up off a sharp win for a barn that appears to be getting hot and she is a legitimate threat here. (5) AMERICAN TOUR N might find this group easier and she should be in the hunt for at least a share.

Race 11: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(7) KNIGHT ANGEL has been close at this level several times recently and I'll give him the nod in a race with a few possibilities. (8) MAJOR MUSCLE drops and will likely be blasting again and he should be the one to beat. (1) SOMBRE is also in a better spot here and he is unlikely to be first up again this week. If he finds a live helmet, he might vault past the leaders in the lane. (9) ESQUIRE has raced well here several times in the past and picking up Roy to drive he is worth a look for the exotics at a price. (2) ALEXUS EH has been driven aggressively the past few starts. If she takes a trip here, she should be in the mix.