Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 11/1

Top Pick Stats: 563 - 1665 / $3,103.00 (-$227.00)

Best Bets: 79 - 152 / $249.60 (-$54.40)

Spot Plays: 37 - 149 / $332.10 (+$34.10)

Best Bet: TWIN B TIPSTER (5TH)

Spot Play: COLD CREEK ESPERO (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,6,7,8/3,8/2,3,5/4,7/2,5 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 1,2,5,6/5,10/5,6,7/1,7/3,6 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 4,7/2,5/1,2,5,6/5,10 = $6.40

Late Pick 4: 5,6,7/1,7/3,6/3,4,10 = $7.20

Race 1: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 5) RACES OR $50,000 (OS $64,250) LIFETIME **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) BRONZER took all the action, and he converted last week, and he gets the call to repeat facing similar tonight. (1) MRSTERY DEAL followed the choice through three opening quarters in 29 and tried him late, but he was a victim of pace. He could turn the tables with a different trip. (7) GRAMBLING HALL’s winning effort in the Grassroots Final a month ago would be good enough to win this if he could replicate that mile. He is the third one that I’ll use in the Pick 5. (6) P L RAINBOW DASH kicked in 26 3/5 last week and he should be in the exotics mix here.

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Race 2: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 RACES OR $30,250 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME AE: PROSPECT STARTERS

Six-time winner (3) KIERA SEELSTER looks like a faster filly in Merner’s barn, and I’ll give her the nod to knock off another returnee, unbeaten (8) MIKKI SIXX. The latter looks ready to roll and it would be no surprise if she took a fifth win in as many starts here; using. (7) OH A LEGEND was bet down to 2 to 5 last week and she converted, taking a narrow win vs. easier. This is a tougher spot. I’ll use her underneath. (6) ALWAYS B MERRY typically lands in the exotics and she can take a slice here starting from the best post.

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Race 3: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $55,300 (OS $90,300) LIFETIME. AE: OS 3 YEAR OLDS

(5) BLAZING BELLE was facing some good sophomores in Kentucky and only three starts back she beat Its A Love Thing here in a Gold race. McNair sides with her over (2) HOW MUCH, and so will I. The latter beat a good field two starts back but she loses McNair now. Still, she can be an Exacta factor. (3) SORCHA SEELSTER took care of business as the chalk last week and she also took a new life’s mark. She should be a threat right back. (4) BLINDED BY DELIGHT will likely be kept covered up to the lane then close for a share.

Race 4: FILLIES & MARES NW 3 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $51,750) LIFETIME - Pick 4

(4) BILLIE JEAN QUEEN is razor sharp, she has been a winner or right there on the wire in five of her last six starts. Last week, she took a new lifetime mark. She is the one to beat here. (7) P L RACHEL was a winner here two starts back but then she got stuck racing first up. She gets Borth now and probably better positioning leaving the gate. (2) EXCITING MIA hasn’t missed the board in a while and that streak should continue here. (8) PERFECT ANGEL is worth a look for the exotics moving into Beaton’s barn tonight and picking up the leading driver.

Race 5: FILLIES & MARES: NW $18,000 IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: N/A $1,645 P/S IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: STARTERS FOR A PURSE $9,000 OR LESS LAST START

(5) TWIN B TIPSTER gets more aggressive when she races at this level, and she gets top billing on the class drop here. (2) GETTING EUCHRED races better with McNair in the bike. She is worth using on multi-race tickets getting that driver back tonight. (6) BETTER BE DONNA N lost by only a neck to the choice on 10/11. She will likely set the pace again and hang around for a share. (8) VAL VICTORIAN has won four straight for Team Cullen but this is tougher; using underneath.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, NW $8,200 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000. AE: NW $16,750 IN 2024 - Pick 5

(2) MS QUICK SAND will surely get a more aggressive steer on the class drop tonight and she gets the nod. (6) MYSTIFYING is capable at this level racing off the shelf and McNair chose her over another; using. (1) ELLAS REASON A raced much better last time in an easier class; price look for the multis. (5) CAVIAR N CRACKERS drops, and she is logical in here, but her typical racing style often makes her a victim of pace and trip. I’d be careful to not take a short price here.

Race 7: FILLIES & MARES, NW $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS. AE: NOT AVERAGING $1,110 PER START IN 2024 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: N/A $755 P/S LAST 5 STARTS

(5) STONEBRIDGE DRAMA tripped out to win at this level last week now she gets the leading driver and post position advantage on the rival that she shaded last week; call to repeat. (10) MENDING FENCES got picked off by the choice and the driver change tonight could compensate for drawing widest; using. (2) ULTRA, 3rd to the top two last week, likely closes for another slice here. (1) CODYS MOMENT should improve returning quicker this time; small share predicted.

Race 8: CLAIMING $20,000 TO $25,000 FOR NW $56,250 (OS $82,500) LIFETIME AE: N/A $840 P/S IN 2024 - Pick 4

(6) KYLES ART was a comfortable winner last week with Drury in the bike and he gets the call to repeat starting from the best post. (5) KEYSTONE DORAL drops and gets J Mac back and those changes will likely make him a threat in this spot. (7) MANHAWK was 2nd to the choice, and he could get a more aggressive drive with the driver change tonight so I’ll toss him on multi race tickets. (3) MIKRON gets off the rail here, but he is still likely to take only a small share.

Race 9: FILLIES & MARES, 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS NW $15,000 (ON SIRED $18,750) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YO NW $13,250 LAST 10 STARTS

(7) COLD CREEK ESPERO paced a big middle 1/2 to get in contention last week, but the leader (1) VENDETTA BLUE CHIP enjoyed a soft pace and had too much left. I’ll take the latter to turn the tables this week but use both on late multi-race tickets. (2) JOB HUNTER finished 3rd despite missing close to two months last time. She should be part of the exotics again. (5) ONTOP RAINSTORM frequently closes late for shares and that scenario is likely for him tonight.

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Race 10: HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED FOR A PURSE OF $9,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS

(6) IM ABOVE AVERAGE tried the front from a tough post last week and that didn’t work. Two starts back he was closing for what looked like a win when he broke. He can rebound here deploying a closing style again and I’ll stick with him. (3) ETERNALLY HANOVER raced great from the 10-hole when finishing ahead of the choice and he should be the one to beat here; using. (10) LIKE CHAOS tried to bottom out the field in that same race and stayed for 3rd. He gets saddled with the worst post here and I’ll use him underneath. (1) ANDY OVER raced okay last week, and he can pass some of these and land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 11: CLAIMING $20,000 TO $25,000 FOR NW $30,000 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME

(3) RUSTYS BETT produced a big late kick to close in on leader (10) ARAGONITE, who already had the race wrapped up. Henry will likely look to get better position with the former tonight, and I’ll call him to turn the tables. (4) ACEFORTYFOUR ZEUS is another that closed well, and he has an outside chance in here if the leaders mix it up early. (1) MR FAHRENHEIT faces tougher coming off a win, but he picks up J Mac. He can take a slice here. (7) MAE LOSE CONTROL regularly finishes on the edges and I’ll use him on the bottom.