Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/8

Meet Stats: 288 - 833 / $1,568.20 (-$97.80)

Best Bets: 43 - 76 / $151.60 (-$0.40)

Spot Plays: 22 - 77 / $161.00 (+$9.00)

Best Bet: MAPPOS LION (2ND)

Spot Play: CHELSIS CHOICE (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 8,9,10/6/4,5,9/6,9/1,2,5 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,5/8,10/2,3,4/6,10/1,4,6 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 6,9/1,2,5/2,5/8,10 = $24

Late Pick 4: 6,10/1,4,6/5,6,8/2,6 = $36

Race 1: 2YO NW1 or $10,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) GREATEST ENDING chased home a monster last week and if he brings that same effort tonight, his rivals will be racing for 2nd here. (10) HES STALKING YOU paced a 55-flat back 1/2 in a race where he was carefully-driven after missing a month due to sickness and coming off a break in stride. He could be an overlay here due to post 10; using. (8) ST LADS STERLING gets back to the big track and he is a threat to take at least a share in this field. (6) DON'T POKE THE BEAR has improving form and he can land in the Tri or Super tonight racing from close range.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $54,000 LT

(6) MAPPOS LION figures to get tested here tonight, but from what I've seen from him so far, I think he's up to the challenge; top call. (1) BEACH PARTY has been flying around the Red Mile, but who doesn't? Regardless, he is the obvious threat. (8) TWIN B HEART THROB was less than five lengths behind mighty Powertrain in OSS Gold action. He should be close vs. these. (5) CONTROL HEAVEN was no match for the choice last time and he figures to take another small share here.

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Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) ACE BI hasn't won yet this year, but last week's race was good and he gets post relief here. I'll side with him hoping to get a square price. (4) HOLDIN ACES was first up as the pace accelerated last week. With that sharp winner gone he rates highly vs. these; using. (9) WESTFIFTYSECOND should find these easier and he picks up the leading driver. He's the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (6) INTENSE JUSTICE should be good for another small slice in this spot.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $19,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) THATLL BE SPORTY flew home to take a new life's mark here last week and he looks good to repeat vs. this group. (9) GLOBAL CRUSH comes off a nice effort and he gets McNair back. He is worth using from out there because his price should be decent. (5) MR CHARISMA obviously faces easier but he could be over bet based on his final time in his most recent race. I'll play to beat him in this spot. (1) CHANTEE is worth a look being sent out by a high-percentage barn.

Race 5: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or $29,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: 3YO

This is a very tricky race with four talented sophomore fillies entered who will all likely be in the Gold Super Final next week. You know none of these are likely to get overdriven. I'll settle on (1) DABARNDAWGSWATCHING who has tripped out in two straight and might do so again starting from the rail. (2) SCARLETT HANOVER returns from a triumphant trip to Delaware with a Jugette win in her pocket, but, she doesn't need to win this race so I'd pause before I took a short price. (5) COUSIN MARY has upset potential in a race where she should get an aggressive steer, using. (10) LAURAS LOVE can pass a few of these late and land in the exotics at a price.

Race 6: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $14,000 L10 or NW $50,000 LT - Pick 5

(5) BET ON BECKY didn't beat much last time, but she looked like a facsimile of her two-year-old self and she gets the call to repeat tonight. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER was first up racing against tougher and that's not her trip. She can win this with a slightly better trip. (1) JIMBELINA was fancied by many last week and she showed nothing. She drops now and she could wake up here; using underneath. (4) FLOSSIE N is worth a look for the exotics moving into the Marfisi barn.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(8) CHELSIS CHOICE is in a much easier spot here and she should get a good setup for her powerful late kick; top call. (10) JUST DAISY dropped several seconds winning here on 9/28 and she will be a threat to repeat despite drawing widest. (5) RACING FOR THE MARK couldn’t seal the deal after stealing a slow middle 1/2 last time. I'll use her underneath here. (6) MY ONLY SUNSHINE is right there every week. She has upset potential here.

Race 8: F&M NW $26,500 L5 or NW $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(2) TREACHEROUS REIGN’s 53-flat back 1/2 and 26-flat kicker could get her no better than 3rd vs. the mighty So Much More. With that one not eligible for these conditions, she gets top billing here. (4) LIT DE ROSE was closest to So Much More and she is an obvious player here, likely racing on or near the lead. (3) KENDALL SEELSTER is another one with a big late kick that could get the job done here is she stays covered up to the lane. She is the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (7) MACHNHOPE will likely last right to the front again but I don't see her lasting in this spot; using underneath.

Race 9: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $80,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) SETTN A PRECEDENT should get another nice pace setup here and slingshot past these late; call to repeat. (10) TWIN B SUNKISSED exits a Grand Circuit race and she should contend here. Drawing post 10 should mean that her price will be viable; using. (9) REALIZATION exits some fast races at The Red Mile, but there typically are no other kind there. This is no easy spot and I'll use her underneath. (2) NICE KITTY HANOVER can pass some of these late and finish in the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $31,000 LT AE: NW3 LT Who Are N/A $1,250/Start in 2021

(1) SOUTHWIND SANDOR has been flying under the radar most of the year racing at B tracks, but he has recorded several nice wins, including the blowout victory at Flamboro on 9/28. This doesn’t look like the toughest spot and I'll give him the nod. (6) TWIN B POWERBALL fits well here and he draws best. He's hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (4) RAU RU is a bit sneaky here coming out of the Mappos Lion race where no one was closing late; price look. (7) KODIAK SEELSTER reversed his form and took a new life's mark here last week and he is worth a look for the exotics coming off that sharp effort.

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Race 11: F&M 4YO and Younger NW 2 or $15,000 LT

If (8) MY MOTHER PEARL produces another 27-flat kicker tonight, she might roll past all of these late; call to upset. (6) ADASHIOUS HANOVER raced well considering she was coming off a sick scratch and racing in a monsoon; using. (5) BROKEN steps up off a sharp win but this isn't a tough NW2 and she must be considered. (4) LADY AKILA figures to take a small share again tonight.

Race 12: F&M NW $11,100 L5 or $23,500 L10 or NW5 LT AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP won last time she raced in a similar class and she should be tough on the class drop tonight. (2) LADY ROCKNROLLA A brings it every week and she is probably unlucky to not have notched a recent win. She could trip out in the choice's pocket tonight; using. (9) SNOW SHARK should be winding up with one big late brush and that's when she gets the best results. Give her a look for the exotics. (8) I WISH YOU WELL is worth using underneath considering the excellent form she brings in from the B tracks. (3) THIS DRAGON ROCKS figures to pass a few of these and finish in the bottom of the Super or High-5.