Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/7

Meet Stats: 547 - 1687 / $2,752.60 (-$621.40)

Best Bets: 82 - 154 / $280.00 (-$28.00)

Spot Plays: 42 - 157 / $288.00 (-$26.00)

Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (9TH)

Spot Play: CIEL BLEU (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 6,7,8/6,7,8/2,6/1,4/5,7,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 1,4/3,5,7/1,4,8/1/3,4,9 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 1,4/5,7,8/5,7/3,5,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 3,5,7/1,4,8/1/3,4,9 = $27

Race 1: NW3 (F&M4) or $40,000 LT AE: Grassroots starters **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) MAHONE SEELSTER was a no-doubt winner here last week and although he faces tougher here, his intent is obvious, while some other contenders is not. He gets the nod to keep his win streak alive. (7) KIPPER WHIPR SNIPR’s Grassroots final try wasn't bad and his good late kick should play well here; using. (6) THEWINNERTAKEITALL seems to fit well here and he is another in with a chance. (3) GAINES HANOVER is a very good two-year-old who comes off a Grand Circuit win and might be pointing to another stake. Don’t be shocked if he drops back and makes a late charge to take a share here.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(7) GOT SEXY SCARS was good last week but one rival was much better. She retains the leading driver here and she gets the nod over some sires stakes types racing between Gold starts. (6) I LOVE ONGAIT, stablemate to the choice, is certainly capable vs. these, but intent is a guessing game. I wouldn't take a short price. (8) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON is razor-sharp and she comes in off a nice effort vs. Gold company. (4) MORETHANMYHOMETOWN should pass a few of these late to take a share.

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Race 3: F&M Winners of 3 but not more than 6 races or $80,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $60,000

(6) RAPTORS WON came up against a rival who was ready to uncork a huge front-end mile last week and she raced well in defeat. She looks best here. (2) SPEAKER NANCY has made nice late gains in both of her last two starts but she was too far back. I think she will be closer early tonight leaving from the inside and she is in with a good shot. (1) DEWITT FOR JOSIE is right there every week and she should be in the exotics mix again. (8) GOUDAWON likely closes from far back and takes a slice here.

Race 4: NW3 (F&M4) or $40,000 LT AE: Grassroots starters - Pick 4

(4) CIEL BLEU improved by more than a second last week and he flew home to win. He gets the call to repeat here. (1) MAPLE LEAF BOUND was well-meant last week and he easily converted. He is an obvious threat right back. (9) CHAKE win her first seven starts this year then perhaps got in too deep class-wise. She is worth a look here moving into the Auciello barn. (5) WARRAWEE XALT was on a roll before he blew up before the start of the Grassroots final. He will be in the mix if he stays flat.

Race 5: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $11,000 LT

(5) IDEAL STAR has been solid in both local tries and she could get a great trip racing near the front tonight; top call. (8) TALL DARK BEAUTY figures to improve here and she is fast enough to beat these using. (7) SOVEREIGN faces slightly tougher coming off a nice maiden win and she isn't out of this. Her good gate speed makes her a threat. (4) FEEL ITINYOURHANDS takes frequent shares and she is a good one to use on the bottom of the exotics.

Race 6: F&M NW $6,800 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 AE: 3YO - Pick 5

Last time (5) TRAFALGAR dropped to a level this low, she jogged in 1:51-flat and she will be the one to beat here. (7) MISS ROCKADALI is the other dropper in this race and she beat the choice last week. These two will likely battle for the win here. (6) SPORTY TORI comes off a solid effort and she can close for a share in here. (8) BETTER BE DONNA N fits well in this class but she draws worst and will likely be in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT - Pick 4

(3) IVORY HANOVER has been close in recent Grassroots races and she should find this spot easier; top call. (7) SUNSHINE SALLY moves into the Auciello barn and she is fast enough to contend here shipping in from Ohio. Picking up the leading driver won't hurt. (5) IM ON THE EDGE has been in some tough fields recently. She can improve in this spot and she's worth a look for late multi-race tickets. All (4) PHENOM SEELSTER needed last week was some post relief and she used it to score a big upset in the slop. She should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 8: NW $2,100 AE: OPT CLM $15,000

(1) SO NOT COOL wins last week if he finds room earlier. Hoping for a better trip tonight, I'll stick with him. (4) TEXACO MAN got a needed clean line now he faces easier. He should be a big threat tonight if he stays flat. (8) TREASURED TEE didn't get the best trip when overbet to even money from the 10-hole. Slight post improvement here makes him a contender. (2) WISHYOUDTELLME should get a good trip racing near the front and take a share.

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Race 9: FILLIES and MARES OPEN

(1) SO MUCH MORE should rebound here after getting the worst of it in the Milton Stakes and she is always the one to beat when facing only locals. (2) LIT DE ROSE returns from a break and she typically contends at this level; Exacta factor. (4) WESTERN WISH has been sharp for several weeks and she should be in the exotics mix again here. (3) SHES GOT IT ALL likely sits and rallies for a share again.

Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(9) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL was live last week but her trip was impossible. She draws poorly again, but she will offer a big price because she drew poorly again. I'll take a swing with her. (3) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N is another that got a tough trip and she still almost won. She should be one of the main contenders here. (4) PLATINE ALPHA was placed in an impossible spot against aged males in her local debut and predictably she was well beaten. She has an upset chance facing only mares tonight. (1) LITTLEBEARCAT shoots foe a sixth straight win, but her price drops now and I don't love the 1-hole for her in this spot. I'll use her underneath tonight. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER should be good for a slice here if she stays flat.