Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/30

Meet Stats: 291- 941 / $1679.10 (-$202.90)
Best Bets: 48 - 83 / $155.70 (-$10.30)
Spot Plays: 13 - 85 / $108.50 (-$60.10)
Best Bet: ROSE RUN VICTORY (10TH)
Spot Play: WARRAWEE VICKY (9TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,7,8/7,10/2,5,7/3,6,9/3,7 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 4,8/4,6/2,6,8/3,4/7 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 3,6,9/3,7/4,8/4,6 = $24
Late Pick 4: 3,4/7/1,5,6,9/1,8,9 = $24

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) NECTAR got a clean line last week now she drops back to NW2 where Macdonald is likely to send her early; top call. (2) SMILE BY THE BEACH raced tough to just miss at this level last week and she should be a big threat here; using. (7) SMILING DIALING fits better here, but her typical racing style often puts her behind the 8-ball; demand a price. (1) E L CITADEL’s two easy wins from tough posts when facing lesser at Flamboro Downs stamp her as a contender for at least a share here.

Race 2: ONTARIO SIRED 3YO FILLIES NW $60,000 in 2020

(10) INTENSE JUSTICE's strong two-move win last week makes her a likely repeat winner if she can work out a reasonable trip after starting from the second tier. (7) YEN was given a break following the Grassroots final, and she fits here. The main question will be her fitness. (6) TH PRESENT was used up early last time and she stopped. Maybe returning quicker will help here and she should get a better trip this time; using underneath. (1) MAGIC WANDA should be charging late again; consider for Tri and Super bets.

Race 3: 3YO FILLIES

(2) PERFECT STORM has done well facing many of the best sophomore pacing fillies in North America and she should be tough in here. (5) ROSE RUN VICTORIA paced a big mile on the rim the entire mile to win the Gold Superfinal and she should be a strong contender here. (7) LAURAS LOVE was picked off by the one above who rode her cover for the entire back 1/2 and she is in the mix here. (4) SEX APPEAL stayed in and came on late in the Superfinal. She has some upset appeal here.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(9) JAYDENS PLACE takes a drop into claimers here and he might be able to clear these fairly quickly. If he makes front, he could be gone; top call. (6) EMPTYTHETILL comes off a nice two-move effort over an off track and he rates highly from a good post here. (3) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE raced better when dropped to this level last time and this isn't the toughest spot; using. (1) ARCANE SEELSTER is capable of a better result if he gets an easier trip this week; using underneath.

Race 5: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $25,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000 or NW $1K L3

(3) POWERFUL CHRIS takes a big drop to a spot where she should wake up with a much-improved effort and she gets the nod here. (7) BETTER BE DONNA N was a predictable winner on the class drop and she moves up but still fits at this level; using. (4) MAJOR LEAGUE N was game while beating easier and she isn't out of this race that could go a few different ways. (6) SWIFT ALLY will likely be closing late again for a slice.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 5

I don't think there is any doubt that (8) MISTER MAGIC is the best in here, his gait issued are the lingering question mark. Top call, but I won't take a short price. (4) WORTHYOURATTENTION goes for Moreau off the claim here and that makes her absolutely worth your attention and she's on my multi-race tickets. (6) MONTALBANO BI couldn't seal the deal when claimed but he should be at least a speed factor again here; using. (9) ZEUS LIGHTNING has the class to compete here but coming off a long break I'll use him underneath in this spot.

Race 7: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(6) COUSIN MARY drops and she stands a good chance to pop at this level leaving from the best post. (4) BETCHA BABY raced tough uncovered on the rim last week vs. a class dropping leader that was unyielding. She can win this with a better trip. (3) JIMBELINA should go better here on the drop and I'll use her underneath. (1) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY moves back up coming off a nice effort and she could better this pacing with a trip.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(6) SUNSHINES FINEST was taken out of his last race by trainer Gilmour for himself and he has a good shot to triple up vs. these. (8) E L WILD SPIRIT goes for Moreau off the claim coming off a game effort where he dead-heated for the win and he should be a player here despite his post. (2) EASY FLYER comes out of a very tough conditioned race in Ohio and he moves into trainer Auciello's barn. Sharp improvement would not be a shock here. (4) COOL ROCK hasn't won in forever but he did attract a claim from a trainer that does well with fresh claims and he should at least be in the exotics mix.

Race 9: 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(4) WARRAWEE VICKY was full of trot with absolutely nowhere to go in the Gold Superfinal. She should have a big shot against these. (3) P L NOTSONICE raced tremendous in the Gold Superfinal considering she never saw the pylons or cover and she should be the main threat. (6) SOPRESE brings good form up from the south and picks up Roy to drive. She's worth a look here. (7) SHAPE SHIFTER benefitted from a good trip to get up in a dead-heat for win in the Superfinal, but her form was decent leading into that race and she should be a player here.

Race 10: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000

(7) ROSE RUN VICTORY can improve sharply here making her first start for the Burke brigade following a private sale and I'll give her the nod expecting a better showing. (4) BRASSY BRITCHES brings solid form and good speed north from Kentucky and she can be an Exacta factor. (3) PATRICIA MAE was gaining on the leader even as the pace picked up last time and while she is a contender here, she is still 1 for 28, so I'd need a price. (6) BAYWATCHING is on a roll and she picks up both Jamieson and the best post here; using underneath.

Race 11: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $53,000 LT

(6) FURIOSA faced much tougher in her past two starts and she could be a square price here based on where she finished in those races. I'll give her the call to upset here. (5) LYONS TILT HANOVER is an obvious threat coming off several good performances but she could be overbet in this spot and she has missed a bit of time; your call. (1) SOPHIST is on a roll and although she faces tougher here, she isn't without a shot. (9) LYONSGIRL HANOVER faces tougher here after throttling weaker and from the widest post she is likely to finish on the edges.

Race 12: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(9) ROSE RUN VANTAGE faces elders here but she should have good chance if she gets put into the race this week; slight nod. (1) SASKATOON should improve in her second start back and I can see her blasting for position this time; using. (8) KLOOF STREET should be more effective at this level and she will likely be part of the High-5. (7) LYONS HEDGEABET is developing a nice late kick and she should come on late here again for another share. (6) SPRINGBRIDGE SASSY is a good one to use on the bottom of Supers and High-5s.