Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/28

Meet Stats: 592 - 1802 / $2,936.80 (-$666.20)
Best Bets: 90 - 165 / $303.80 (-$26.20)
Spot Plays: 44 - 167 / $300.70 (-$33.30)
Best Bet: SPECIAL WAY (8TH)
Spot Play: INTOTHEMYSTICMOON (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 5,10/2,8/3,4,6/5/1,2,4,7 = $9.60
Mid Pick 5: 4,8,9/1,4,5/4/2,3,6,7/2,3 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 4/2,3,6,7/2,3/3,7/3,6 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 5/1,2,4,7/4,8,9/1,4,5 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,3,6,7/2,3/3,7/3,6 = $32
Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(5) BETTER SUNSET missed a month between starts and drew the 10-hole last week and he sat and rallied in 26 3/5. He will be sharper now and probably much closer to the lead early in the mile; top call. (10) ALLSTAR CHEDDAR's typical 1:54 1/5 mile puts him right on the wire with these, but he could get overbet from post 10 here. (1) IM HUNGRY flashed brief speed in his debut and he can be part of the exotics here. (7) PROFUNDO can pass a few of these late to land in the Super again.
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Race 2: Harvest Series Final Ontario Sired 2YO Colts and Geldings
Nice clash between improving colts (2) THE HAZLETON and (8) HE WILL. I'll side with the former who has shown higher speed late in his miles. The former will be the one to catch turning for home and he’s hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (4) ZIP ME UP gets Dunn tonight but I doubt that will be enough for him to topple the two choices; using underneath. (3) LOOKSLIKAGOODFELLA should be in the exotics mix here. I see him closing late for a share.
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Race 3: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L10 or NW 6 or $65,000 LT AE: Starters for a purse of $15,000 or less L5
(3) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON went an incredible parked-out trip to win here last week and she will offer another good price as she faces tougher tonight; call to repeat. (4) SPORTY TORI’s 26-flat kicker could only get her 2nd last time. She is in with a good shot vs. these. Sophomore (6) GOT THE GOLD was good in the Superfinal when 3rd behind two killers. She is an obvious contender here. (8) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is sharp and the wide post is probably better for her than last week's rail. She's not out of it.
Race 4: Harvest Series Final Ontario Sired 2YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 4
(5) WINMEBAK has been untouchable in both legs of this series and he should dominate this final as a big chalk. (1) SAUBLE ACE still has some upside but he will likely have his hands full with the choice tonight. I'll use him underneath. (3) SCRIBBLERS gets Gingras tonight, but he got a perfect trip and had a clear shot at the choice in the lane last week and he was easily rebuffed. I'll use him underneath. (7) BAR DOWN JIM will be coming on late and he can take a slice here.
Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $23,000 LT
(2) BEYOND THE SEA is rounding into top form and she can get a good trip here starting from the inside tonight; slight nod. (1) IVORY HANOVER finished with pace last week, but she was just too far back. She showed two starts back that she can leave faster than she showed last week; price look. There is a good chance that (4) QUEEN OF SOUL is fastest in here but I can't take a short price on her when she has missed more than a month. (7) UNIQUE ERA should be in the exotics mix again tonight in a spot where she seems to fit well.
Race 6: BREEDERS CROWN FINAL 2YO COLT TROT - Pick 5
(9) OH WELL was driven conservatively in his elimination and probably got exactly what he needed after missing close to a month. I'll give him the nod here expecting to get a square price from post 9. (8) WINNERS BET similarly didn't exert much energy at all last week. He is in with a shot and he could also be an overlay. (4) CELEBRITY BAMBINO is the 'now' horse and I can't argue with anyone that loves him off last week's mile. I just wonder if he will be an underlay tonight. (5) KILMISTER took a bye when he might have been better off to get a race in. He will be a fade for me in this spot.
Race 7: BREEDERS CROWN FINAL 2YO FILLY PACE
I've been driving (5) SYLVIA HANOVER’s bandwagon all summer and see no reason to jump off now. (4) MCSEASIDE paced a huge third 1/4 taking it to the choice last week in a big effort and she could turn the tables with a different trip here. (1) CHARLESTON only has two losses; one came at the hooves of the choice here in the Shes A Great Lady. She will be under the gun from the start from the rail, but she is obviously of high quality and a contender in here. (2) STRONG POISON is in the exotics mix here with her sharp tactical speed.
Race 8: BREEDERS CROWN FINAL 2YO FILLY TROT - Pick 5
(4) SPECIAL WAY looked tremendous here last week winning her elimination and her devastating late kick should be the deciding factor in this race. Local hope (7) RIGHTEOUS RESOLVE is razor-sharp and she should be the one to mow down turning for home. (6) WALNER PAYTON was no match for the choice last week but she can take a good share here. (3) INSTAGRAM MODEL took a bye and I don't see that working in her favor here facing two rivals that couldn't be any sharper after missing more than a month. I'll play to beat her out of the Tri.
Race 9: BREEDERS CROWN FINAL 2YO COLT PACE - Pick 4
(6) COMBUSTION was clearly driven with an eye to this lucrative final last week and he will be tighter and involved earlier starting from the best post; call to upset. (3) CONFEDERATE missed a month and still produced a strong winning effort. He could be even sharper here which would make him very tough. (2) HANDLELIKEAPORSCHE lived up to his name last week and he is another obvious contender in a good betting race. (7) STOCKADE SEELSTER raced back in six days following his Superfinal win last week and now makes his third start in 15 days in maybe his toughest spot yet; small share predicted.
Race 10: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED
This is a race that (3) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN and (2) VOELZ DELIGHT should dominate. Slight nod to the former who might be a bit sharper right now. (5) SHES GOT IT ALL is sharp and she gets Zeron. She should be an Exacta factor here. (6) SNOW SHARK steps up, but her strong late kick should get her a share tonight.
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Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT
(3) CAMARA MOMENT came off a break after being a vet scratch and paced his final 3/4 in 1:21 2/5. He gets post relief and a barn change now. He should be tough to beat. (7) CENTURY INSPECTOR was first up against Cold Creek Queso in the Superfinal which was mission impossible. He rates highly vs. these. (9) BROOKDALE MIKI looked good breaking his maiden but this is tougher and he draws wide; using underneath. (4) DELICATE SOUND comes in sharp from Ottawa and he should be in the exotics mix tonight.
Race 12: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $15,200 L10 AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(6) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL draws best and she gets a driver switch to Henry for this. She should be blasting and she could win this racing on the lead or in the pocket. (3) GOT SEXY SCARS keeps getting beat by the same mare but it won't happen tonight because that one is the top pick in race 3 tonight. She should be a big threat here. (1) MY MOTHER PEARL is typically close at this level. I see her rallying late for a slice tonight. (4) GOODNIGHT IRENE was moving well at the wire last week and she should close for another share here. (9) SETTN A PRECEDENT drops but she can be quirky. I don't trust her at a short price from the 9-hole.

