Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/22

Meet Stats: 307 - 890 / $1,651.30 (-$128.70)

Best Bets: 46 - 80 / $158.30 (-$1.70)

Spot Plays: 23 - 82 / $168.20 (+$4.20)

Best Bet: SAULSBROOK VICTOR (4TH)

Spot Play: WISHYOUDTELLME (9TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,5,9/4,6,7,8/6,9,10/5/3,7,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3,6/5,8/1,5/1,3,6/1,3 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 5/3,7,8/2,3,6/5,8 = $18

Late Pick 4: 1,5/1,3,6/1,3/1,2,9 = $36

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) KRYPTONITE exits the fastest races and he gets post relief tonight. He should be much closer to a slower pace and he gets the nod. (4) ILBENEEDINSTITCHES took plenty of support in his debut and he closed mildly in a back 1/2 that was three seconds faster than the opening one. He rates highly here; using. (9) CHICO MODERNO draws wide and he has had many chances already. I'd demand a price. (7) BETTINA HANOVER produced a nice kicker on debut but she was too far behind in a slow pace. I can see her closing for a share here.

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Race 2: 2 and 3 YO Fillies NW1 or $7,000 LT

$50,000 Lexington purchase (8) BOOM SAUCE showed enough in the back 1/2 of her qualifier to suggest she can beat this group at first asking; top call. (7) FEELITINYOURHANDS takes a huge drop out of the Gold Superfinal, but she has had a few chances at this level already and hasn't converted. I'd be careful to not take too short of a price here. I like the way (4) AWESOME HILL has been prepared for her return to the races and picking up McNair to drive here is a positive; using. (6) WIDSUN SHIRAZ is another debutante that paced a good back 1/2 in her lone qualifier. She is worth a look for early Pick 5 tickets.

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Race 3: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000)

(10) ITSTIMETOGOHOME was unlucky to get pinned in on the backstretch last week by the eventual winner who was pointing for the front, broke, then got back on stride. He had some traffic issues and closed gamely racing in a torrential downpour. He is the clear top pick here and he could offer some value starting from post 10. (6) MYSTIC will be happy to get away from The Prince who does nothing but win and he should be the main foe to the choice. (9) HARRY produced a nice rally in the same race while finishing ahead of the choice and he should be a threat tonight. (5) LIMOGES comes back from New Jersey in excellent form and she should be heard from here.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) SAULSBROOK VICTOR was well-meant last week and just got beat by a colt that paced a huge first-over mile. With that rival drawing wide here, I'll give this one the nod. (4) TAKE A GAMBLE took his best shot from post 10 vs. potential superstar Beach Glass. There are none like that colt in here and this one rates highly against these; using. (9) DATGUYNA GREENSUIT was relentless in pursuit of the choice and he eventually went by. Let's see if he can put two big efforts like that together in a row. (8) CODYS WATCHING can pass a few of these late and take a share.

Race 5: F&M NW $6,100 L5 or $14,000 L10

(3) MY BABY GIRL has been bet down in each of her last two starts and she has raced well but fallen short. She fits well vs. these and gets the nod. (8) WOODMERE SKYROLLER has won 19 of 46 in two seasons racing on the Maritimes and she appears to have enough speed to contend here; using. (7) NICE KITTY HANOVER has been in fast races in three starts in a row. This looks like a better spot for her and I'll use her on multi-race tickets. (2) KAT should be good for a small share taken off a following trip.

Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) MENSA blasted off from the 10-hole in a race that was called off at the 1/4 and deemed no contest due to a fallen horse on the track. She moves to the best post here so she should be leaving again tonight; top call. (3) ARLANDA trotted a sub-56 back 1/2 in the Grassroots Final to no avail. A similar kick plays well here; using. (2) R PRECIOUS PEARL should sit another good trip racing near the front and her sub-28 kick makes her a threat vs. these. (10) TREND might be rated higher had he drawn better. From out there, I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(8) SHES A SASSY BEACH has reached peak form and she should be able to secure another good trip racing near the front tonight; top call. (5) ESPRIT DEQUIPE drops and is likely to be the leader again, but I wonder if the choice will be breathing down her neck in the pocket when they turn for home. I'll use her in the late Pick 5. (4) BETCHA BABY is one of only two class droppers in here and she is worth a look in a spot where she should improve. (3) SUNDAY AFTERNOON should be part of the Tri or Super again tonight.

Race 8: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT - Pick 4

(1) BELINA already won in a class similar to this one in August and she qualified nicely for her return. She should convert here as the favorite. (5) BROKEN made a nice late move that is barely noticeable on paper because the late pace was so strong. She should be the main danger. (9) WITNESSINTHESHADOW gets notable trainer and driver changes and she is worth a look for the exotics. (6) LADY AKILA always looks good on paper, but she is 1 for 32. I'll be using her underneath.

Race 9: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(3) WISHYOUDTELLME got stuck behind a stopper in the third 1/4 then he closed willingly in the lane after finding some room. He can beat these with a better trip. (6) MUSCLE JACK got a needed clean line now he faces easier. He should be right there if he stays flat tonight. (1) SHES GOT PIZAZZ finished right with the choice last week. Give her a look for late Pick 4 and Pick 5 tickets. (2) ZEUS LIGHTNING lightning could improve in this second start back from a break in his final year of racing. He may sneak into the Super at a price tonight.

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Race 10: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $19,500 L9 or NW5 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(1) REALIZATION circled up from a tough spot and gamely chased down the leader last week. Off that effort, I'll give her the nod to repeat. (3) SHES GOT IT ALL had a good year racing against sophomores and while this is obviously a tougher spot, she is in with a chance here; using. (10) BESTSELLER HANOVER takes a big class drop here but I don't see her as a lock starting from the 10-hole. I'll be playing to beat her. (2) LAURAS LOVE will be flying late as usual but she needs a lot of things to fall the right way to beat these; using on the bottom.

Race 11: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $30,000 LT

(1) ADASHIOUS HANOVER never looked in danger of getting beat last week for even one step of the mile. She has improved and this isn't a tough step up; top call. (2) CARSONS GOUDA has ramped up her late kick but she had no chance from the 10-hole in the Grassroots Final. I'll use her in the late Pick 4. (9) MY MOTHER PEARL was beat only two lengths vs. much tougher. She is in with a decent chance here and drawing post 9 will help keep her price viable. (6) RACING FORTHE MARK should be part of the Super again tonight. (5) VILLAGE JADE should improve enough in this spot to be part of the High-5.