Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/20

Top Pick Stats: 498 - 1477 / $2,665.60 (-$288.40)

Best Bets: 78 - 139 / $274.90 (-$3.10)

Spot Plays: 24 - 141 / $150.20 (-$131.80)

Best Bet: THE MOMENT AROSE (10TH)

Spot Play: FLYING FORMATION (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,4,8/4,5,6/3/4,7,9/4,10 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 1,6/4,6,8/1/5,6,8/1 = $3.60

Early Pick 4: 4,7,9/4,10/1,6/4,6,8 = $9.60

Late Pick 4: 1/5,6,8/1/1,4,9 = $1.80

Race 1: 2YO colts and geldings NW1 or $5,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) ICACO HANOVER faces earlier here returning from Kentucky and Drury should put him into play early in this race; top call. (1) GEISHAS TREASURE got aggressive last time, and he ended up with a better result. I can see him tripping out starting from the rail here and he is worth a look at what should be a good price. (3) SOUTHWIND CIRCUIT is in an obviously easier spot, but he has some risk attached having missed a month. Your call but I wouldn't take a short price here. (4) B SONNY closed well last time, and he should be good for a share here, too.

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Race 2: Pop Up Series Ont. Sired 3YO colts and geldings NW $20,000 in 2023 AE: Leg 1 and Leg 2 starters

(4) DOWS UP raced well in defeat in leg 2 but he went too fast early in the mile. He can win here if he gets a breather. (6) TF ROCKETMAN tried an early wide move on the final turn, a move that rarely works at this track. I think he gets more aggressive early here and he can get a good trip racing near the front; using. (5) URIEL BLUE CHIP will be heard from late if he stays flat this time. He is another in with a shot. (7) UGOTTALOVEBLUECHIP can get a decent trip racing near the front and stick around for another share.

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Race 3: 2YO and 3YO fillies NW1 or $5,000 LT

(3) SILENT LUCIDITY gets needed post relief here and I see her landing in (7) PAM's pocket and getting past that rival in the lane. (1) STILTON GOLD fired a fast kicker last time and she should be closer early here. I see her closing for a share. (6) INTENSE LADY closed in 27 3/5 in her qualifier and that late speed can get her a share in this spot.

Race 4: Horses that have started for a purse of $9,000 or less in 1 of L3 - Pick 4

This is a good spot for (9) MYSTIC with no Overkill Halls to chase; top call. (7) R PRECIOUS PEARL moves into Moreau's barn, and this isn't the toughest spot. She is in with a decent chance. (4) RADIO LAB elected to stay in then re-rallied for a share after getting shuffled. He is another that is worth a look. (2) CLASSIC MAGIC closed a gap last time and he should be good for another slice here.

Race 5: Pop Up Series Ont. Sired 3YO fillies NW $20,000 in 2023 AE: Leg 1 and Leg 2 starters

(4) TRE TA TA took a new life's mark in a sharp effort in Leg 2, and she gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (10) SIS paced a big final 1/4 to win and she should be the main threat despite drawing widest. (8) RED SKY TONIGHT was a distant 2nd to the choice last week. She will likely close for another slice here. (7) ST LADS DARK ANGEL was 3 to 5 vs. the choice and was no match. Another small share is likely for her tonight.

Race 6: NW $2,000 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000 - Pick 5

(6) FLYING FORMATION moves into Budd’s barn and adds Lasix here. I'll take a price swing with him. (1) SOUTHWIND ONCORE takes a big drop, and he is the obvious one to beat. He is hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (7) TESLA SEELSTER is in sharp form, but this is tougher, and she will likely take a slice this time. (4) ALL GAS NO BRAKES is another dropper that figures to improve but I prefer to use him underneath in this spot.

Race 7: NW $15,000 in 2023

(6) SWAN DIEGO and (8) DELGADO both looked like winners in the lane and got picked off late at this level last week. They will likely battle for the win here. (4) FINAL CLAIM showed big late speed in his qualifier that can play well here. He is the third one that I’ll use on late multi-race tickets. (1) SOUTHWIND CAESER gets needed post relief here. He can close for a share.

Race 8: NW $2,000 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000 - Pick 4

(1) KEVIN ANTHONY is typically driven aggressively when he drops to this level, and he should be tough to beat here. (5) KATKIN MORGAN raced okay after starting from post 10 last time and he can last longer here starting from the middle of the gate; Exacta factor. (3) MY HOLY MOLEY is in good form is in good form and he can work out a trip near the front and land in the Tri or Super. (4) STARLIT ELMO is worth a look for the bottom of exotics adding Lasix tonight.

Race 9: F&M NW2 or $40,000 LT

(5) MATCH MEIF YOU CAN moves to Gillis following a private buy where he purchased her for himself, and she adds Lasix. I'll side with her despite the missed time. (8) LUCY WHO is another that shows a stale date, but she faced tougher than these all year and she could win here even if not 100% tight. (6) DON’T TREAT ME BAD makes her second start for Moreau and she is worth using at a price here. (3) SISTER ACT is capable of better than she showed last time. She should be in the exotics mix.

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Race 10: Pop Up Series Ont. Sired 3YO colts and geldings NW $20,000 in 2023 AE: Leg 1 and Leg 2 starters

(1) THE MOMENT AROSE was patiently driven last week and he unleashed a furious late kick when show racetrack in the stretch. He gets the call to repeat in another good spot for him. (2) WISE THINKING gets Jamieson back and he will likely get an aggressive steer tonight. He can complete the Exacta. (5) THERSOMTHINGGOINON tripped out and rushed past the leaders late for a huge upset. He may find top two choices too tough here. (4) RYLENTLESS should be able to close for another share in this spot.

Race 11: F&M 5YO and younger NW 2 or $30,000 LT

(9) OCCASIONALLY SHARP has been facing tougher than these regularly and she should have a big shot vs. these. (4) GLENBORO had a clear run up the inside in the lane last week, but the pace scenario favored the closers that passed her late. She figures to be the main threat to the choice. (1) WARRAWEE YOKO is sharp, and she could fall into a great trip in this spot. She is the third one that I'll use in the late Pick 4. (7) HONEY LOVE comes in off a nice maiden win, but this is tougher. I'll use her underneath. (2) GOING YARD can sit a trip racing near the front and land in the bottom of the exotics.