Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/16/26

Top Pick Stats: 586/1874 (-$989.90)

Best Bets: 67/169 (-$55.50); Spot Plays: 35/172 (-$114.00)

Best Bet: SUNDAY SHOES (Race 5)

Spot Play: WICKED N SINGLE (Race 12)

Early Pick-5: 1,3,8/2,4/4/3,9/9 $2.40

Middle Pick-5: 3,4/2,5/1/3,5,9/1,5 $4.80

Late Pick-5: 1/3,5,9/1,5/4,7/5,7 $4.80

Race 1: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $11,000 LFT. NO ALLOWANCES. AE: N/A $140 P/S IN 2026.

(3) JULIARD SEELSTER tracked the winner all the way around the track and should have plenty for these rivals tonight. (1) HILARYS HITLIST just missed in what ended up being a near four-across finish, but she added another silver medal to her collection in what is becoming a trend for her. (8) BET ON HER showed plenty in her lone morning prep and picks up a quality catch driver for her debut.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(2) LEDGENDARY WARRIOR was much better in his first start back and draws well tonight. If he gets away well again, he could pounce off a helmet. (4) D A VOLUSIA charged home late and missed by less than a length. He is coming into this race with the best recent outing. (7) MANKING could snag more than a piece in this spot if he minds his manners. He was unable to do so in the Gold final.

Race 3: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 RACES OR $76,000 LIFETIME.

(4) BETTER B SOMETHING appears to have the most raw speed in this group and could just overpower these. (3) MOLLYS ON FIRE just missed in her latest and could work out a decent trip in this spot. (1) HATCHLING has strolled in her last two outings and should bring a good amount of speed to the big track.

Race 4: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(9) JUST KEEP FLYING wound up best of the rest behind a runaway C Script. Assuming he gets involved from the outside again, he can fly past rivals late. (3) SAUBLE KOWALSKI has improved with each start and appears like a main threat from a good draw. (6) HP FOLLOW ME faded out of contention in the same race but the prior two starts make him a contender. We’ll see what version he brings tonight.

Race 5: NW $2,900 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $8,750 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $25,000.

(9) SUNDAY SHOES returns to Mohawk after a solid extended campaign in New York and PA. Despite what the recent miles show, he should more than hold his own tonight. (2) I GOT THE LOOKS trotted another quality mile last week and continues to deserve a long look. (3) MASSEDONIA draws much better tonight and should look to work out a mid pack trip and get a piece.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, NW $9,750 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $18,000 LAST 8 STARTS.

(3) CENTURY JAMILA had broken equipment last week and wound up a parimutuel refund. She was trending back to form before that happened. (4) ALWAYS DAWN finally gets major post relief and will look to be much more involved this week. (2) GRIT N GRACE has been unable to sustain her front-end bids but the gate speed is a fair reason to use her underneath.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

I would expect (2) SAVE YOU A SEAT to actually be put in play this week. He draws much better and has showcased enough speed. (5) ERINWOOD TRITON has been consistent at the Grassroots level and should have plenty late in the mile if he sits close enough. (4) RALLY KALLE produced a nice rally on debut which was much better than what he showed in the mornings. He likely looks for another late rally.

Race 8: FILLIES & MARES, NW $2,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $7,750 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $25,000. AE: NW $37,750 IN 2026 (MIN 10 STS). AE: NW $1,500 LAST 3 STS.

It’s a major drop and pop spot for (1) GLENBORO who hasn’t seen a level this low in three months. Maybe losing a touch on her fastball, but it’s been a relatively long campaign for her too. (6) ONEFORMYBABY held off a charging rival after making a power move to the lead down the backstretch. I can see that sticking again or an aggressive steer from this post. (4) WICKEDPACE makes her second start on Lasix off the heels of some much better efforts at the B tracks. She is usually a player at this level.

Race 9: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(9) CATTLE TORI TWO possesses more than enough speed on both ends of the mile to overcome the outside draw. (3) DAGGER ONE produced a nice rally last week and only lost by half a length. His versatility should allow him to work into the race regardless of trip. (5) THE DANCERS KING could throw a wrench into things if he can put it all together. We’ve seen the burst he can have in back-to-back races now.

Race 10: NW $1,000 LAST 4 STARTS (W/O $7,500 LAST 8 STARTS N/E). AE: N/A $700 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $15,000.

(1) BLACK BULLET dropped and popped for his first Mohawk win. That was a big jump in form last week. (5) SAY OUI makes her second start on Lasix after a visually much better effort. I didn’t quite pull the trigger, but she will add value to exotics if she improves off that mile. (2) MISTER MAGIC finds a softer field this week and shouldn’t have to work as hard. He appears to be feeling the effects of a long season.

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Race 11: FILLIES & MARES, 2 & 3 YEAR OLDS NW 2 RACES OR $26,500 LIFETIME.

(4) TENACIOUS possesses enough speed on both ends of the mile to make her an obvious win threat. The added positive of this post draw pushes her over the top. (7) KISSEDBYASTRANGER is second back after a much-improved outing that saw her make a middle move towards the lead. That time off may have been just what the doctor ordered. (1) SHOWME UR KITTIES surged between horses after appearing to be in a hopeless spot at the top of the stretch. That was her first Mohawk win; She’ll look to build off of it.

Race 12: FILLIES & MARES, NW $1,000 LAST 4 STARTS. AE: N/A $1,045 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). AE: OPT. CLM. $15,000.

Although (7) WICKED N SINGLE describes me perfectly, I lean towards her because speedball Mark Macdonald lands in the sulky for the first time since May. We could see an aggressive steer in tonight’s finale. (5) UNA MOMENTA appears in her third different class in as many starts as she looks for the right field to fit her current form. I think she’ll have more success against these mares. (6) BEACH WIGGLE was much better in her latest when she didn’t have to make two moves. This draw gives her plenty of options as she winds down her excellent season.