Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/16

Meet Stats: 274- 875 / $1583.30 (-$166.70)
Best Bets: 44 - 78 / $141.00 (-$12.60)
Spot Plays: 13 - 80 / $108.50 (-$51.50)
Best Bet: SPELLCHECK HANOVER (5TH)
Spot Play: VILLAGE JAMIE (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 6/2,4,10/1,2,4,5/3,4/7 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 2,3,4/8,9/1,6/2,8,10/2,3,7 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 3,4/7/2,3,4/8,9 = $12
Late Pick 4: 2,8,10/2,3,7/5,6,9/1,8 = $54

Race 1: NW6 (F&M7) or $70,000 (F&M $87,500 LT) **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) ONEY HALL was impressive winning here last week despite having missed a month now he gets a significant post position upgrade and he gets the call to repeat. (4) BABIDOU was no match for the mighty Pemberton last week in his first local start but he fits well here and he can be a threat. (8) DELILAH SEELSTER is as consistent as they come and she should be in the mix again here. (1) WHOSE BLUES is worth a look for the exotics dropping out of a Grand Circuit race but she does face older open company here.

Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(10) SOLID MAN got a clean line and he was closing late in that mile. He can chase these down if he is in a good spot at the 3/4 pole. (4) RETOUR AU JEU showed big speed last week in his local bow perhaps making a move too early that he couldn't sustain. If he gets a more even trip here, he could prevail. (2) BEACH DEMON was passed late by the horse he provided perfect cover for. That was a good effort and he is a contender here. (3) BEE TWO BEE tripped out to win last week and while he’s not out of this, I am inclined to play against him in this spot.

Race 3: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(5) VILLAGE JAMIE drops off a decent effort and Cullen has been winning with everything the past week; top call. (4) JIMBELINA is another class dropper that fits well in this spot and she's on my Pick 5 ticket. (2) SANDBETWEENURTOES is an obvious contender at this level but she's no lock and she may get overbet; your call. (1) ROLL WITH SPARKY is an infrequent winner but she drops, draws inside and she gets a positive driver change to Filion so she is in with a chance here.

Race 4: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(3) BETTER BE DONNA N tried it first up in the top class while making her second start in five days now she gets to drop to a logical spot and she should be razor-sharp for this. She gets the nod. (4) GIAS SURREAL finished just ahead of the choice and she looks like the logical alternative here. (9) KLOOF STREET finished ahead of both choices but she had the best trip. From the 9-hole, I'll use her underneath. (1) COUSIN MARY is worth including in Tris and Supers moving off post 9 to the rail.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(7) SPELLCHECK HANOVER will take heavy action here dropping out of a Grand Circuit race where she took a check and she should be tough to beat in this spot. (5) LARJON LEAH raced well last time considering she got a poor start leaving from the second tier. Her excellent form should be respected here. (4) HAPPY LOOKER is always in the exotics mix and she can take another share vs. this group. (9) KIT is typically more effective in this NW2 class. Give her a look for the Tri and Super.

Race 6: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(2) TREASURED TEE's try in this class was decent last time now he gets his nose on the gate from where he should get a more aggressive steer; top call. (4) WILD AND CRAZY GUY couldn't get past a 1 to 5 class dropping favorite last time and this is an easier spot. He has a good chance vs. these. (3) NOTHING BUT MUSCLE is capable of better and perhaps he will show it from and inside draw; using. (9) SHES GOT PIZAZZ is in decent form and she will likely get put into play from the outset; consider for the exotics.

Race 7: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

(8) LIT DE ROSE fell just short last week to (9) SO MUCH MORE now they switch post positions which could give the former a slight edge. It's hard not to use both on multi-race tickets however as they clearly stand out in this field. (10) BESTSELLER HANOVER has hot her vest stride and although she takes a big jump in class, she can close for a piece of this. (7) KENDALL SEELSTER is right there most weeks and she should be used in Tris and Supers in this spot.

Race 8: 2YO NW2 or $30,000 LT

(1) KOMODO BEACH, winner of three of his last four, is likely to go off at another solid price here facing rivals that raced in the Gold division of the OSS and he may trip out again; call to upset. (6) NO BETTER JOY will rightfully take action off his 4th-place finish in the $720,000 Metro Stakes and he is likely the one to beat. (5) MR CHARISMA figures to improve exiting Gold races and he should be a threat racing on or near the front. (2) LUCKY BENJI was no secret last week, closing at 3 to 5 off one qualifier that didn't go very fast. Tab the tote for clues with this one tonight.

Race 9: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(2) NEVER MIND N came close to beating non-winners of six last time and from an inside draw here he should be tough to beat. (8) CHEESES MURPHY exits a highly-rated race and he remains a viable contender in this spot; using. (10) SOLSBURY HILL takes on elders but she isn't out of place and she should be good for a share. (1) THE FIRST CHAPTER closed from a tough spot to get second at Flamboro and he won't get bet in this spot; consider for the bottom of the Super.

Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $38,000

(2) HP I GOT TOPLAY was passively driven in his local debut but he did pace his back 1/2 in 53 4/5 and he should be sharper now returning in seven days; top call. (7) MENLO PARK shows two excellent miles at this level and dropping back down to NW2 makes him a big threat. (3) WHITECOOKIE is a must-use for me in the late Pick 4 on the barn and driver change. (6) DEVIL OR ANGEL rarely misses the board and he's a good one to use underneath in this spot.

Race 11: NW3 or $52,000 LT AE: GRASSROOTS STARTERS

(9) POSEIDON SEELSTER made a nice sweeping move from the back to get third in his Grassroots final and I'll side with him expecting a price in a wide-open race. (6) ECLAT DE RIRE's local debut was good and he moves from the worst post to the best starting slot so the strategy will surely change here and he will be racing closer to the pace from where he has a chance; using. (5) THE WILD CARD should be a big speed threat here and he is hard to leave off late Pick 4 tickets. (10) DELIGHTFUL TERROR came close to exploding the tote board last week but the winner was too sharp. He can be part of the exotics here.

Race 12: F&M NW5 or $80,000 LT

This race looks like it will set up for a closer that makes one brush in the lane and I'll side with (1) PREEMINENCE who should be out in the flow and will be a good price. (8) THE BANDIT QUEEN N had no problem with the 8-hole in this class last time and although she may get stung early, she should be tough if she clears to the front. (4) MARY KAT took a shuffle in her Grassroots final and she is a good fit here. She's another in with a shot. (5) SOUND IDEA dropped and popped as expected but these are tougher and I prefer to use her underneath. (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N never misses the board and she may be rated a little low here. She is an almost sure bet to be in the High-5.