Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/15

Meet Stats: 303 - 879 / $1,654.90 (-$103.10)

Best Bets: 44 - 80 / $154.00 (-$6.00)

Spot Plays: 24 - 81 / $172.80 (+$12.80)

Best Bet: MAPPOS LION (10TH)

Spot Play: PARISIAN BLUE CHIP (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 3,7,8/2,3,6/2,8/1,2,8/1,5 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3,5,6/7/3/1,8,9/6 = $1.80

Early Pick 4: 1,2,8/1,5/3,5,6/7 = $18

Late Pick 4: 1,8,9/6/1,5/4,5,7,8 = $24

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) JUST DAISY raced huge from the 10-hole last week and dug in late to take the win. She has a good chance to repeat starting from a better post here. (8) MY ONLY SUNSHINE should get good position near the front again leaving the gate and she should be a threat tonight; using. (3) A BETTER GAME was Macdonald's choice over #8 and she should improve in this spot. She's another one to consider for the early Pick 5. (2) RACING FORTHE MARK was no match for the choice last week; small share predicted.

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Race 2: NW 3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $50,000) LT

(6) POWERFUL SPIRIT got the clean line that he needed last week and he finished with a flourish. He should be more aggressive tonight; top call. (3) HARRY fits much better in this NW3 race and he should be a threat racing close to the front throughout. Driver Macdonald has turned (2) ITSTIMETOGOHOME around and he is hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (7) ROWLEN should be good for another small share in this spot.

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Race 3: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $27,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(8) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP was denied a win last week when she caused interference while off stride. That she got back on gait and won easily was encouraging and she gets Macdonald back in the bike here; top call. (2) LYONS TILT HANOVER takes a big class drop here and she will be the one to fend off in the lane. (5) THIS DRAGON ROCKS suffered interference at the hands of the choice last time. She should be part of the exotics tonight. (4) WESTBEACH lacked room in the lane last week near the end of the mile. She is another that should be in the Tri or Super.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10 - Pick 4

(2) ACE BI was bet like he couldn't lose last week and Macdonell made sure he didn't by supplying an aggressive steer. He gets the call to repeat here. (1) BABIDIBOU was closing in on the leader last time and Roy sticks with him. He is in with a good chance here. (8) NEVER MIND N steps up off a win but this isn't much tougher. He's the third one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (5) VICTOR INVICTUS is worth using underneath on the class drop.

Race 5: NW $11,000 L5 or $22,500 L10 or NW $95,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(5) DEAN B HANOVER produced a 25 3/5 kicker and he still couldn't get past the leader last week. He is razor-sharp and the one to beat here. (1) FABRIZIO N raced hard first up in the same race and he should be the main danger tonight. (4) REAL WILLEY was flying late last week. I see him closing for another small share here. (7) ROCKME ROLLME is another that should be passing horses late; using underneath.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $80,000 LT - Pick 5

Everything went against (3) SETTN A PRECEDENT last week and she still almost won. She gets the call here starting from an inside post. Trip and pace similarly put (5) GAME OF SHADOWS up against it and a 26 1/5 kicker couldn’t even get her a check. She should be more aggressive here; using. (6) REALIZATION was good in her local debut. She can take another share here. (2) SPELLCHECK HANOVER should be close to the front again and I see her sticking around to take a share.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(7) JIMBELINA will be a big chalk here on the class drop and an aggressive steer is likely; top call. (6) WHISTYS PARADISE is capable at this level and her qualifier was okay; Exacta factor. (3) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY can be closer early here and that gives her a chance to share. (2) KAT is always a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri or Super.

Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(3) TREASURED TEE drops to the bottom conditioned level and he gets McNair back; down the road. (4) TT CONWAY also drops and I can see him riding the choice's pocket throughout to complete the Exacta. (6) ARCANUM should be better at this level. Use him on the bottom of the Tri and Super. (8) SHES GOT PIZAZZ should start alertly, get position and stick around for a share.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $31,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) THATLL BE SPORTY just took a new life's mark dominating and easier group of NW2 rivals and he should be tough to beat here. (1) ALL CHEDDAR was good here just three nights ago and he should be an Exacta factor right back racing off the Montini claim. (9) MR CHARISMA had an interesting trip when 2nd to the choice and he is worth using in the exotics despite drawing widest. (3) BELIEVE IN BRIAN was used up early last week. I can see him taking a share tonight.

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Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW3 or $55,000

(6) MAPPOS LION will get beat eventually, but I can't see it being in this spot. He will be 1 to 9 though. (2) MUSTANG BEACH will likely get plugged into the pocket early and ride that trip to complete the Exacta. (8) FOREFATHER is in easier here and he can enter contention for a share. (7) BEACH PARTY couldn't go with the choice late after stinging him going into the first turn. I see him taking a small share tonight.

Race 11: F&M NW $26,500 L5 or NW $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(5) MARLOE HANOVER is the class here and if she is sharp enough after missing a couple of weeks, she will be hard to beat. (1) LIT DE ROSE was 2nd to a monster last week. She is the obvious danger; using. (7) LADY ARTHUR is on a roll but these are tougher. I'd demand a price here. (6) KENDALL SEELSTER had no chance of closing the way the fractions were cut last week. She should be heard from late here.

Race 12: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10

(8) TWIN B TIPSTER was good last week but she ran into a filly that is racing on another level right now that will be one of the favorites in the Gold Super Final tomorrow night; top call. (5) TOWN DELINQUENT drops and gets McNair and she rates highly vs. these; using. I can see (7) FLOSSIE N improving with Macdonald taking the return drive; price look. (4) QUESO RELLENO is another dropper that is in with a shot in a race with a few options. (2) MY BABY GIRL was bet like she couldn't lose last week. You'll get a better price tonight if you like her. I prefer to use her underneath.