Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 10/14

Meet Stats: 562 - 1709 / $2,835.60 (-$582.40)

Best Bets: 84 - 157 / $285.70 (-$28.30)

Spot Plays: 44 - 160 / $300.70 (-$19.30)

Best Bet: HORIZONTAL (4TH)

Spot Play: OH LINA (1ST)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,8/1,4,7/2,8,9/4,8/1,7 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 2,3,7/2,5,10/2,5/2,4/2,5 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 4,8/1,7/2,3,7/2,5,10 = $36

Late Pick 4: 2,4/2,5/3,4,5/2,4,7,9 = $48

Race 1: NW $3,000 L5 or $11,400 L8 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) OH LINA has been racing decently lately but she had the misfortune of facing streaking The Prince four times in a row. I'll give her the nod to upset tonight. (8) AUSSIE LOVER came to life two starts back and he can beat these if he is close enough at the 3/4 pole. The wide post is a bit of a concern for me. (1) SOMBRE was right there vs. similar last week and I could see him getting the jump on the choice tonight. He is the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (9) CROSSFIT raced okay vs. tougher here on Monday night and he can be part of the exotics here.

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Race 2: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $10,000 LT

(4) SWEET AMIRA should have a big shot tonight facing maidens for the first time and she gets top call here. (1) FRONT PAGE STORY is the other dropper that will improve by default facing maidens; using. (7) SOVEREIGN was in a bad spot trying to come first up into an accelerating late pace last week. She can be closer here. (2) STORYBOOK BELLA was 2nd to the choice in the qualifier and she has yet to miss the board racing for a purse; using underneath.

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Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $40,000

(8) SPORTY M THREE raced well in a fast Grassroots final and I think McNair gets him involved earlier tonight; top call. (2) THE BOSS SAID took a lot of action last week and he closed well, but no one was beating the razor-sharp winner. Drawing inside here makes him a threat. (9) ALLADIN was in tight quarters down on the inside in the lane last week. He can get a good trip racing near the front here and he is in with a chance. (7) PARTYINTHESHADOWS can close for a small share in this spot.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT - Pick 4

(4) HORIZONTAL is sure to improve dropping out of Grand Circuit company and she should be tough racing on or near the lead. (8) ONE LAST WISH was a confident winner from the rail last week and her good gate speed makes her dangerous here; using. (9) BEYOND THE SEA exits some tough Kentucky Sires Stakes races but I prefer to use her underneath here starting from a wide post. (3) IM ON THE EDGE should pass a few of these late to take another share here.

Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $9,650 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $5,500 or less L3

(7) MISS ROCKADALI faces easier here and I can see her leading all the way. (1) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N had an impossible trip last week parked most of the way. I think she sits and rallies tonight. (10) TWIN B TIPSTER got picked off right on the line by a mare that followed her cover last week. From post 10, I'll use her underneath. (3) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY should be good for another share at this level.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,00 - Pick 5

(7) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON has won the last two times she faced conditioned foes and Hudon is driving her with a lot of confidence. She can take another here. (2) GOT SEXY SCARS just failed to last against the choice last week and she should be the one to catch again. (3) CHELSIS CHOICE faces easier here and she will likely get put into this race earlier. (5) IPANEMA HANOVER is improving but facing tougher here means she probably takes a small share.

Race 7: NW $2,450 L3

(5) PRINCESSPARTYPANTS took all the action last week on the driver change to McClure but she made an uncharacteristic break. She can make amends here. (2) SO NOT COOL stayed in again last week but he probably got as much as he could racing against a strong winner and runner-up. He could do in this spot tonight; using. (10) HAWAII is worth using on the class drop tonight because she will offer a square price starting from post 10. (7) ON THE ROPES flashed speed racing in the slop now he adds Lasix. He should be in the exotics mix in this field.

Race 8: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $22,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or les L8 or OPT CLM $60,000

(2) BEACH MOMENT was a good 3rd here last week while lacking room in the lane. I'll try her at a price over (5) SNOW SHARK, who raced well to finish ahead of her in that race. (4) SPORTY TORI was a strong winner last week and she should be in the exotics mix here despite moving up. (8) JUST DAISY was first up against a strong leader last week that would be favored if she were in this race. She can land in the Tri or Super at a price here.

Race 9: FILLIES and MARES OPEN - Pick 4

(2) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN started the season 0 for 18 but she has won 3 of her last 6 starts with two of her losses coming to the top aged pacing mare on the continent. The time might be now to try her to dethrone perennial queen (4) SO MUCH MORE. The latter is remarkably consistently excellent and she is the one to beat, as usual. (3) WESTERN WISH has finished in the money four times in a row at this level and that streak should continue here. (6) VOELZ DELIGHT likely closes for another share here.

Race 10: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(5) JOELSSY HANOVER doesn't have to face any Powertrains in here and he figures to get a good trip racing on or near the lead; top call. (2) PETIPOU gets post relief after pacing a 53 2/5 back 1/2 last week. He should be the main danger here; using. (6) COLIGNY HANOVER, 2nd in the Grassroots final, likely closes for a share here. (9) KAPORAL popped and stopped last week. Tonight, he likely rallies from the back for a small share.

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Race 11: F&M NW $6,400 L5 or $13,500 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $10,000 or less L3

Pacing a 27-flat second 1/4 did (3) TRAFALGAR’S chances in last week. She can win here if she gets an easier trip. (4) BETTER BE DONNA N was also part of that early pace and she rallied past the choice late. She should be a threat here. (5) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL got an impossible trip two starts back but last week she slid out at the right time on live cover and got up for the win. She can take a slice in this tougher spot tonight. (1) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP likely gets far back early here and rallies for a slice.

Race 12: NW $3,000 L5 or $10,000 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $9,000 or less L4

(7) HERVEY HANOVER is in much easier here and he expended little energy last week when facing tougher from a worse post; top call. (9) CAPITANO ITALIANO was a big winner at this level with Macdonald driving from a wide post two starts back and he is the one to fear tonight. (4) LETS GET PICKLED was part of an impossibly fast early pace last week and he understandably tired late. He can be right there with a trip tonight and he will offer a square price. (2) RESPECT OUR FLAG is another in with a shot but he could get overbet and he is far from a standout. (5) GRAND POOBAH was bet like he couldn't lose last week but he got hung out. He is in the exotics mix here.