Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/9 Analysis

Best Bet: STEALTH BOMBER (9th)
Spot Play: DANCING SHADOWS K (7th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3,7 / 2,7 / 3,7 / 1,2,4,5,6 / 1,5,6,7 = $32
EARLY PICK 4: 4,5 / 1,5,6,7 / 1,4,9 / 5,7 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 5,7 / 6,8 / 5 / 1,4,6 = $12
MEET STATS: 154 - 595 / $951.50 BEST BETS: 24 - 55 / $86.40
SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 53 / $81.20
Race 1
(3) HOMEGROWN HONEY had some good late pace to offer in her debut, but the sharp winner was long gone. She should go forward here and has a post advantage over the other obvious contender, (7) HEATHER LOVES NY. The latter improved again last week and with McNair sticking here, she will likely get more aggressive earlier in the mile. (6) OK JEWEL was first up vs. better last time. She’s worth a look here at a price. (4) CONNIE MACH can grab a share dropping down from non-winners of two.
Race 2
(2) DONNA PARTY races best for Henry, who handled her aggressively when winning last week. She can take another. (7) CASE DISMISSED goes for Moreau off the claim and she is capable of producing more early speed than she has shown in her previous two starts. She is the main threat to the choice. (6) ALEXAS HOPE didn’t fire last time, but her form at London was very good before that race. She can share here. (5) HEX can also pass horses in the back 1/2 and take a share.
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Race 3
(3) MAN OF DESTINY got going too late last week. He looks best here and should be tough. (7) SUMMIT CITY TURBO is fast enough to challenge the choice if he can stay trotting this time. (6) ZORGWIJK ROCKET showed some promise last year and he can improve here making his 2nd start of the year. (2) CARMENS FLUKE showed late interest in his qualifier. He can trot up late for a slice.
Race 4
(5) BLUE FOX has already won a class higher and he should be tough in here along with (4) EMPTYTHETILL, who also drops down from the non-winners of three class. The latter was beaten by the choice on February 16th, but trip played a big part in that win. (2) RED DOG SALOON was hopelessly buried in the lane last week. He could pop here, but he may be over bet if his trip gets shown on the pre-game show. (1) GET DECKED was patiently driven to break his maiden, but he will find the top two tougher here; minor share predicted.
Race 5
(5) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER raced three days apart and exploded late for an impressive win. I’ll go right back to him. (6) JOSHUA MY BOY drops to the bottom where he should wake up with a better effort. (7) INTENDED STYLE had no chance with the trip he had last time at London. He’s won here many times before; using. (1) CUNDALINI is another that had a hopeless trip last time. He has a better chance to trip-out here.
Race 6
(1) BUSTINGATTHESEAMS – an $85K Harrisburg sale purchase – won’t find an easier spot on this circuit to make her debut. I’ll give her the nod despite starting from a tricky post. (4) QUEEN ADJALA is the only winner in the race. On that angle alone, I’ll use her. (9) FORTE – bought for $45K initially – makes his pari-mutuel debut for Henriksen and he’s worth a look on the barn change. (7) ROAD LIGHT is starting to have the look of a professional maiden at this point.
Race 7
(7) DANCING SHADOWS K has raced well in both starts for Waples and he should be a square price here starting from the outside; slight nod. (5) ALEXAS LUCK steps up off a sharp maiden win and she should be prominent throughout again. (3) QUEEN IDEAL showed some promise last year and she wouldn’t be a big shocker if she popped in her seasonal debut. (4) I WISH YOU WELL missed a month between starts and now returns quicker. She should improve.
Race 8
(8) DARK ROAST comes up tagged after experiencing an equipment break last time. Roy will likely roll him early and try to bottom these out. (6) ELDORADO OF GOLD S simply went too fast early last time and he paid the price for that exertion late. He can rebound with a better effort here if driven more patiently. (2) SILENCE SON fits okay in this class. He can take another slice here. (4) ABRAS MOMENTUM has been on a good roll out of town, but these are tougher.
Race 9
(5) STEALTH BOMBER could be any kind and he is 10 lengths the best here on paper. Take the free square and move on. (4) TWICE DRAFTED looks next best and he will likely complete a chalky exacta. (6) SILVERSMITH is in solid form and he can make the Tri or Super. (1) GO LIKE A PRO could make the ticket off an inside following trip.
Race 10
(6) MAC RAIDER never had a chance for a breather last week and still took the field a long way on the lead. A slightly easier trip here gets the job done. (1) WEATHERLY faces easier here and merits serious consideration. (4) PRINT MEDIA paced an improved mile last time and he can find a good spot near the front early. (2) K D OVERDRIVE can close for a smaller share again. (9) IMSPORTY will be winding up from far back turning for home and he can pass a few of these down the lane.

