Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/26 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
EARLY $1 PICK 4 TICKET:
1,3/5,6/3,4,5/4,6 = $36
MEET STATS: 116 - 363 / $624.40 BEST BETS: 16 - 35 / $88.00
SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 34 / $59.20
Best Bet: MAKE WAY (10th)
Spot Play: CANADIAN EDITION (6th)
Race 1
(1) PASSED DAT POINT debuts for high % trainer Tyrrell off the claim after several good efforts out of town; top call here. (5) BLUSH AND CRUSH made all the pace last time and was nailed late by the pocket-sitter. He has shown good improvement racing in this class and should break through soon. (7) JAYPORT SUNRISE was the benefactor of that trip and might be able to work out a similar journey here; dangerous.
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Race 2
(6) JORDIES HOPE was called to win last week and was aggressively driven only to come up just short. She could take this group with a bit easier trip. (4) SLY VELOCITY took a lot of action at the windows and justified it with a late rush to win. She's the one to beat. (3) HAPPY ENDING GAL started her career with a nice win then went off the rails a bit vs. better. She should improve here.
Race 3
(4) OHO DIAMOND got caught behind some bad cover that backed up abruptly last time as the pace accelerated. She can get back on track here. (5) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE was farther back following the same cover and also felt the effects. He should go much better here. (6) COOL CREEK VALLEY finally broke her maiden but she showed much-improved speed on the end of the mile; using.
Race 4
(3) BLACK QUEEN showed good speed both early and late in her debut last week when losing to a good one; top call here. (1) FRANNEY LOVE DAT shakes the dominant Maplelea here and is a major contender vs. these. (5) WARAWEE QUALLY hasn't missed the board yet and probably won't here but continues to be a bad win bet.
Race 5
In a dash where it appears virtually anything can happen, we'll try (5) OLIVER SLIK who showed improvement first time Jamieson drove last week from the 9-hole now moves to the middle of the gate. (6) CHEQUE THE MAGIC showed good late speed in his qualifier and may be much better now than he was in his 2YO season. (1) ONTHEROAD DE VIE should be able to break his string of fifth-place finishes here from the rail.
Race 6
(5) CANADIAN EDITION missed almost a month, returned to Puddy's barn and was passively driven first out. He should be a 'go' here with Henry driving. (4) BIG TURN ON was pressured the entire way on the lead and came up just short in a big effort; the main foe. (3) CLICK BOOM sat the pocket throughout and chased down the one above late. He is a contender but the same trip is unlikely.
Race 7
(4) THE ONLY ONE made a move to the front early in quick fractions then came under immediate assault. He can go better here with a different trip at a nice price. (6) CAL CHIPS BROTHER wasn't that far out of 2nd as they were all chasing a dominant winner. He will be closing late as usual, this time likely for a piece of the tri. (7) BROADWAY PRINCE has shown dramatic improvement the past two and is a contender here in this weak group.
Race 8
(8) PACIFIC WINE has faced better her past two starts and wasn't far back at the wire. These should be more to here liking and she does have enough speed to get position early; top call. (4) DAPPLE APPLE was 2nd behind a dominant winner but there wasn't much behind her that night. She should share here, though. (5) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN didn't get out fast enough to secure the pocket as she normally does. She should be able to get out better here and threaten for the win.
Race 9
(8) PL GYRO has faced better recently and remains sharp. He needs a good start from out there but Christoforou should be able to beat a few off the gate. (6) LITTLE QUICK makes his 2nd start out of the Johnson barn and is a contender but often falls victim to pace. (4) P L CAMMANDER made a couple of moves in the 2nd half and parlayed them into a nice win. These are slightly tougher.
Race 10
(1) MAKE WAY went a bit too fast in the third 1/4 last time but seems to hold a major pace advantage on these; High-5 single on top. (10) CALL ME MAYBE drops back into a claimer after a big closing effort last week. The 10-hole poses problems for this one and she may start 10th but should be passing most of them. (4) BELLA NOCHE also drops back into a claimer and looks sharp enough to share. (3) FROSTY DELIGHT is one of few that shows consistent sub :29 last 1/4s here and should leave near the front and stay for a share. (7) BELLA MASTER got too far back last time but did win in this class in February and can grab a piece of this.
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