Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/17 Analysis
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2/3,5,7/1,4,6,7/1,4,8/1,9,10 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8/1,9,10/4,6,8/2 = $27
LATE PICK 4: 2/1,5,6,7/2,3,4/1,3,8 = $36
MEET STATS: 296 - 938 / $1541.60 BEST BETS: 47 - 88 / $168.90
SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 88 / $218.80
Best Bet: BLUEBERRY WILL (7th)
Spot Play: CLASSIC COMEDY (1st)
Race 1
(2) CLASSIC COMEDY had an impossible trip from the outermost post at Flamboro on Sunday night and still finished 3rd to a blowout winner. She should be very tough in here in her second start for Auciello. (7) LUCKY COCKTAIL has been racing well for several weeks and is the one to knock off here. (1) SHEZ A GOLD MINE drops into a claimer for the first time and is sure to be heard from.
Race 2
(3) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP gets a better post to work with here and should be up near the pace early, which gives him a shot to notch that maiden score. (7) DAYLIGHT RUSH finished quickly in his qualifier and has faced better. He should be a threat here. (5) BETTER TO BELIEVE closed a good gap late last time but was nailed late by a rival that passed them all from the back. He has some upside and isn't out of this.
Race 3
(6) BEACH SCENE showed massive improvement to win in a dead-heat last week in her 4th lifetime start. She retains MacDonald and could have further improvement to offer. (4) BETTYS BAY left hard from the 10-hole then lacked room late. She will likely take plenty of action here and is a threat. (7) ORCH VICKY finished on even terms with the choice and will be closing again, but will likely need to pass them all to get the job done; minor share predicted.
Race 4
(8) XPERT BAYAMA has shown promise in both his starts although the gaps in between starts are a bit concerning; slight nod. (1) BIG PETES STYLE made a big chalk work for the win down the lane last time in a good effort. He figures here if he can produce something close to that mile. (4) NEW STANDARD roared up late aided by a slowing pace to get the job done last week. He is hard to love on top because of where he comes from, but you know he will be passing most of them in the final 1/4.
Race 5
(10) HP BLACK SHADOW was an easy winner last time when claimed by trainer Johnson; call to repeat, even from out there. (9) REGAL FAME raced better for Moreau and should be a threat again. (1) EINHORN should get a strong early pace to chase but needs to stay flat to have a chance.
Race 6
(6) WANAKA closed strongly last week, but the winner was already long gone. That was following a month off and she should be even sharper here returning to a 7-day cycle. (8) APRIL BREEZE ON BY finished just behind the choice and should be prominent again here. (4) CROWN CLASSIC broke when the driver whipped her just after making front at the 1/2 last time. She is capable vs. these and the teamster likely learned something from that event.
Race 7
(2) BLUEBERRY WILL has been impressive while reeling off three straight wins to start the year and she should be tough here, albeit at a low price. (8) IN THE SHADOWS has improved in Moiseyev's care and will get there one of these weeks. (6) DOCS DIVA steps out of maidens and will likely find some of these much tougher.
Race 8
(7) CALIFORNIA RACHEL couldn't get close to a very sharp winner last week but did race well first-up herself. She can get the job done here with a decent trip. (6) KADDY went too long of a trip in that same mile and should be closer here with the improved post. (1) JAYPORT ON TH EDGE finally broke his maiden and his good early speed makes him a threat here.
Race 9
(3) WHERE ARE WE raced tough first-over in her season debut and should be able to build off that effort; slight nod. (2) NEVER ANY DOUBT ships in for a Hall of Fame trainer that starts many off at the 'B' tracks. This one surely has more speed to offer. (4) STONEBRIDGE MEDUSA wasn't far back in her debut and should improve with that experience in tow.
Race 10
(1) MARKATHY dropped several seconds in her first start off the claim and looks as good as any here. He could be a square price, too; top call. (9) LOVES A CHALLENGE is usually tough at this level and goes first off the claim for a hot outfit; using. (3) SOS MACH XTREME has closed rapidly in the final 1/4 in his last two starts and isn't out of this. (7) KABLOOIE is a strong earner and should hit the ticket again here. (10) JAC SPADE will likely be last early but can pass many of these late and make the top 5.
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