Woodbine Harness: Thursday 1/7 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 5/2,4/1,4,8/2,4/1,4,5,7 = $9.60
EARLY PICK 4: 2,4/1,4,5,7/2,6/3,5,8 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,8/3/2,4,7/1,4 = $18
MEET STATS: 180 - 543 / $978.30 BEST BETS: 28 - 49 / $98.20
SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 49 / $167.60
Best Bet: AMAZING CONTROL (1st)
Spot Play: DOUBLE OLIVES (8th)
Race 1
(5) AMAZING CONTROL faces much easier here than she did in the Niagara series and likely kicks off the Pick 5 as a big chalk. (2) BOOZER BRUISER could trip out behind the choice and complete the exacta. (1) HAMMER DOWN has more ability than her last three charted lines suggest and should wake up with a better performance here.
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Race 2
(2) BAD AS LEADER was asked for little and produced the same last time from the 10-hole. She will be asked for a lot more early here from a better slot and should be right there. (4) NAUGHTY LADY B has shown great improvement in her last two and is the one to fear most. (6) MATTJESTIC TEMPO returns from a break for a trainer that sends those types to the gate ready quite often.
Race 3
(1) KILMER ROAD was nailed by one that repeated and looks much the best here, but has now been off almost a month. Top call and using in the Pick 5 but beware a short price in the win pool. (8) WANAKA closed rapidly in the final quarter last time and looks like the only other real contender. (4) MIAMI MAGIC brought $45,000 at the Harrisburg sale and likely has a lot more speed to offer than what you can see in her qualifying lines.
Race 4
(4) IWILLNOTBEMACHED moved first-over but couldn't sustain his bid Saturday night and now faces claimers here; should be prominent from the outset. (2) R U MACHIN ME also figures highly vs. claimers; check his line three back. (3) ANTAR PHIL should get a share as the morning line chalk.
Race 5
(7) MONEY MAGIC raced well first off the shelf and was only nailed late by one that swept the field. That was her best start to date and she rates highly here. (5) ZEALOUS SEELSTER was first-up in the same race and the 28 1/5 third quarter took its toll on her late. A better trip could bring an upset. (1) SANDY DE VIE was a nice debut winner in Ottawa but will need to drop several seconds here to challenge the top two.
Race 6
(6) VICS ROYAL LADY got hung the route from a worse post last time. She should trip better from the middle of the gate; slight nod. (2) AMITYVILLE LINDY was too far back after a slow half last time but still made some late headway. He should get a more aggressive drive here. (9) TYMAL WIZARD is an infrequent winner but raced well from the 10-hole last time and fits here.
Race 7
(8) AMBROSIA SEELSTER gives every indication that she is a nice filly and looks best here but will need an alert start from the outside post. (5) WHITEGLANCE motored by them all late last time and her improved late speed makes her a threat. (3) WEEKLY SPECIAL was a winner two back but broke with a big lead. After getting a clean line and now moving inside she is dangerous again.
Race 8
(3) DOUBLE OLIVES has beaten better and should be on the move earlier here racing against much weaker. (6) SHEZ A GOLD MINE stopped abruptly last time but her two previous starts would make her a contender. (2) BLACK WIDOW BABY is a great one for the bottom of vertical wagers but hard to like on the win end considering her record.
Race 9
(4) TWIN B INSPIRING looks like he can get an easy lead early here which may be all it takes for him to convert; top call. (7) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE should also be leaving and could upset if he can land in the choice's pocket and ride his cover to the lane; using. (2) STEVES LEGACY comes off a sharp win and should be used in the late pick 4.
Race 10
(4) REGAL FAME was a gritty winner two back then did nothing from the 8-hole out of town. Expect him to revert to the form of his penultimate start. (1) MAN OF MANY ARTS got stung in the third quarter vs. the choice but still finished third. He's in with a shot here. (8) ARNOLD DICK was 2nd to the choice but hung late; minor share predicted. (2) ALEXAS PRAYER is likely for the bottom of the Super or High-5. (7) ROCK THE DREAM drops back to a spot where he can grab a slice.
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