Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/19 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 1,4,7/5,6,7/4/1,7,8,10/1,7 = $19.20
EARLY PICK 4:1,7,8,10/1,7/1,2,3/1,3,7,9 = $96
LATE PICK 4:1,3,7,9/1,4,5/2,3/2,3,4,6 = $96
MEET STATS: 85 - 293 / 433.70 BEST BETS: 14 - 26 / $46.80
SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 26 / $85.00
Best Bet: MATZA MAN (3rd)
Spot Play: EVERGREEN ARTIST (10th)
Race 1
(1) BADSTORMANYPORT raced okay in the Matron Consolation now faces much easier. He should wake up in this spot. (4) ROLLING ROCK was an easy winner in this class last week and is the one to upend. (7) CENTURY CHURCHILL paced his own third 1/4 in 27 2/5 on a track rated three seconds slow in his debut. He could beat these if asked for his best.
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Race 2
(6) PRINCESS ELSA debuts for Hudon and has a couple of miles on her card at Vernon that make her a contender in this wide-open maiden dash. (5) ARNIE has disappointed thus far but faces a weaker group here and should be respected. (7) PRINCE OF MINTO debuts for Team Ballargeon and is a full-brother to Summers Jewel who was a 7 1/2 length winner in her debut. Toss him on your Pick 5 tickets.
Race 3
(4) MATZA MAN was outstanding last week and looks to sweep this series here. On paper, he is simply the fastest of this group. (6) GONNA FLY roared home to finish a strong 2nd to the choice two back then broke last week. He looks like the only real threat to the choice but needs a trip. (5) PUKKA should share if he can stay flat throughout the mile.
Race 4
(10) NEEDLECREST is in top form and could take another if he can avoid a bad trip starting from out there. He could be a square price here due to the post; call to repeat. (7) CHARLOTTES COLONY couldn't reach the choice last week but was well clear of the rest. (8) JULERICA lost all hope at the start last week but could rebound here if he behaves.
Race 5
(1) PRINT MEDIA was a winner last week if he didn't lock wheels with the leader nearing the wire; call to upset here in the Autumn Series Final. (7) CONTINUAL HANOVER was a predictable winner at short odds and is the one to knock off here. (8) BIG BANG BOOM was lucky to hang on last week. His unbeaten record is in serious jeopardy here.
Race 6
(3) DEMAND AN ANSWER exploded for a huge win in this class last week and is a likely repeater at a short price here. (1) FLEET BUMBLEBEE ships in for a trainer that typically gets immediate positive results at this meet; beware. (2) PISCEAN qualified well over an off track and could share here in her first start back from a break.
Race 7
(1) ARIZONA SEELSTER has been lights out over London in two starts now goes for trainer Montini in her Woodbine debut; top call. (3) WARAWEE RAP wasn't far back last time when closing off excess cover. She is in with a good chance vs. this group. (7) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE exits the Autumn Series to face easier which should produce a better result.
Race 8
(5) MOONWARDS HANOVER cut some fast splits in an open claimer at Flamboro last time. He should take this group a long way on the front end. (4) MIDNIGHT PLAY should sit a good stalking trip and is another to consider in a wide-open race. (1) BLUE LINE has gone some long trips at London and would be dangerous here if he can avoid taking too much air.
Race 9
(2) WHISTYS PARADISE has flown home to easily win her last two and faces many of the same mares here. She can take another. (3) CYNDALIANNE DUC has been 2nd to the choice in both of those miles and looks like the only threat again. (4) JENNA CASIMIR looks likely for third again where she has landed in 25% of her starts so far this year.
Race 10
(6) EVERGREEN ARTIST ships in for a dangerous outfit and looks as good as any here in the finale. (4) LITTLE CLAYT has been competitive vs. some decent conditioned foes at the B tracks all year. He fits here. (2) STEVES LEGACY needed room lacked room late last week; he is dangerous here. (3) LANCASTER PARK has hit his best stride in his past two starts and could better this placing. (9) VEGILANTE HANOVER sprung a massive upset last week in a strangely-run race. A repeat is unlikely here.
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