Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/12 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,5/2,6,7/1,4/3,4,6/3,5,9 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,6/3,5,9/2,3,7/6,10 = $54
LATE PICK 4: 6,10/2,3/2,3/2,5,6 = $24
MEET STATS: 69 - 251 / 318.50 BEST BETS: 12 - 22 / $41.90
SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 22 / 54.10
Best Bet: CONTINUAL HANOVER (3rd)
Spot Play: NEEDLECREST (7th)
Race 1
(3) PRINT MEDIA made a bold first-over rush last week and went on to victory over some of these. She has returned from a short break in sharp form and can double up here. (4) BIG BANG BOOM is still unbeaten but seems to tire right near the wire in her miles. She may be ripe for the taking here. (2) SECRECY raced well to be 2nd to the choice and is a factor here again.
Race 2
(6) P L ICABOD almost lasted in his most recent start and his late speed was much better; top call here. (7) STRIKING CHEETAH left hard then followed the choice home in a decent effort. She's in with a shot here with her improving form. (2) ARNIE looks best of the rest in this weak group.
Race 3
(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER may have moved a bit too late last week but was still closing at the winner at the wire in a good effort. He should get a more aggressive steer here. (1) GOTTI was overtaken in a quick third 1/4 but held on well the rest of the way. He is a contender from close range here. (5) JACK RACKHAM will be passing rivals late for a smaller share.
Race 4
(4) WARAWEE RAP was too far back last week and on too much cover to factor. She should move earlier here. (3) TREASURED MOMENTS had a good debut and will likely take a lot of action here. (6) SOUTHWIND GLORIA debuts in a decent spot and can make an impact right away vs. this group.
Race 5
(9) ARAZI had much better late speed in his 2nd start for Moreau. He should be all systems go here. (4) SURF REPORT drops and could pop here; using. (5) SPORTS FEVER was no secret last week when he went off as favorite and won despite bringing so-so form with him from Kawartha Downs. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets.
Race 6
(2) MATZA MAN is razor-sharp and will be tough to knock off here. (3) GONNA FLY was a good 2nd to the choice while showing sharp improvement last week and is the main danger. (7) ULYSSES BI took advantage of some crazy fractions and closed late to win but he is unlikely to see the same setup here.
Race 7
(6) NEEDLECREST suffered an extremely long trip last week and raced great, considering. He can beat these with a slightly better trip. (10) JULERICA should get a great setup for his late charge with so many leavers signed on; using. (3) DEETZY is another deep closer that is in with a shot here, likely at a big price.
Race 8
(3) COUNTRY PROPHET showed a new dimension closing rapidly to win last week and looks solid here. (2) DEMAND AN ANSWER went a long way on the front last week after a quick 3rd 1/4 brush and looks like the main threat. (1) HALO EFFECT chased down a tiring leader late but the top two will be tougher here.
Race 9
(3) CRAZY BLUE raced okay from the 10-hole last week now moves inside and should be able to work out a better trip here. (2) KADDY makes her 2nd start back from a layoff and can improve sharply here. (1) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE figures on paper but his 1 for 39 win record doesn't inspire a ton of confidence.
Race 10
(6) SIR GALAHAD is a half-brother to 3 winners that have raced so far from the dam including speedy 13-time winner Avatartist, who took a mark of 1:50. This colt looks ready to roll. (2) STARCASTIC has had two rough trips since shipping in and is due for some better luck. (5) KG CHEYENNE debuts in a soft field and should be able to contend right away. (3) ROLLING ROCK is a good one for the bottom of vertical wagers. (10) NO TROUBLE HERE showed improved speed last week and is another that could grab a minor share.
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