Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/26 Analysis
Best Bet: ON FIRST (9th)
Spot Play: ST LADS CAPTAIN (10th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,3,4/1,3,4/1,2,3/8,10/1,4,7 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 8,10/1,4,7/2,3,5/2,4 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 2,4/2,5/7/2,4,9 = $12
MEET STATS: 2-10 / $14.20 BEST BETS: 0-1/ $0.00
SPOT PLAYS: 0-1 / $0.00
Race 1
(3) SUP HANOVER roared home last time, but he was simply too far back. Driver Hudon - who has been on fire at the start of this meet - should get this gelding involved earlier here; top call. (4) SOUTHWIND MOROCCAN made a big move last time but he was overtaken late. He fits well here and he should be right there. (2) CENTURY ENDEAVOR comes in off a sharp qualifier and McNair continues to run hot; using. (10) TREMENDOUS PLAY can share, but at 0 for 21 coming in, he is unlikely to win from the 10-hole.
Race 2
(3) PEARL BLUE CHIP is obviously the best in here, but she goes for a barn that tends to show patience with their young stock, so beware taking too low a price. (1) BIDFORA HUG paced a 55 4/5 back half last time and she is likely to show more early speed soon. (4) COLD CREEK LACEY drops from non-winners of three and she merits consideration on that angle alone. (7) LETTUCE ROCK had an okay debut and she could sneak onto the Super here off that initial effort.
Race 3
(3) SNEEKER HANOVER - a $14K Harrisburg buy - could turn out to be a bargain based on the way she finished in her lone qualifier. I'll give her the nod here. (1) COUSIN RICKARD is the obvious one to beat exiting sires stakes company where he took a couple of decent checks. (2) SPARK A DREAM also faces easier and he should be heard from here. (5) MISS JUBILEE HILL had broken equipment last time. She can show more at a price.
Race 4
(8) INTENDED STYLE couldn't reach the longshot winner who led throughout last time, but that was a game effort and he looks best here. (10) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER was re-claimed by Cullen last week and with his recent form, he can threaten here. (7) TEA WITH MS MCGILL has improving form and a hot driver; consider for exotics. (4) INDEPENDENT SPIRIT is worth a look coming up tagged and adding Lasix.
Race 5
(7) STORMONT ROYALTY blasted off from the 7-hole and went all the way last time. She steps up a level but these are within her scope; call to repeat. (4) MORE THAN MAJESTIC adds Lasix and gets a good post; using. (1) MR SHANAHAN blew up at the start last week, losing all hope. He can challenge these if he stays trotting. (6) ZORGWIJK ROCKET makes the board about 1/3 of the time. He can share at a price.
Race 6
(5) ROLLAROUNDTHEWORLD gets Henry back here, which should mean a change of tactics; slight nod. (2) OSBORNE SEELSTER took a new life's mark the first time McNair drove last week. He should be in the thick of this despite rising one class. (3) RICHARD HILL gets a much better post and he should wake up. (8) HOMEY JOE can fly late, but he is often not in range to pass them all; small share predicted.
Race 7
(4) COOL MUSCLE brings a 2 for 2 record to the big track, and although he will need to shave some time off here, he has upside and this isn't the toughest spot. (2) NOBLE PRIZE was 2nd to a strong winner last time and he fits here. (3) KUIL DEVA keeps coming close and she will get there one of these times, but it is hard to accept a short price on her. (1) MASS PSYCHOLOGY is now 0 for 18, but she should take another share.
Race 8
(2) DOCS SAUSALITO drops back to the level where she won two starts back and McNair should be sending her; top call. (5) NINETTE B takes a big class drop here and she should be heard from. (8) JORDIES HOPE won and was claimed in this class on October 5th, then showed nothing twice vs. better. She fits here. (6) MYSTICAL WONDER figures for another smaller share.
Race 9
(7) ON FIRST raced okay in the OSS Superfinal and he should find this group more to his liking. He can wire these. (3) NORTHERN STARLIGHT knows where the wire is when she stays flat. She can threaten here if she behaves. (2) KAMERAN HANOVER is always around the money and he should hit the ticket. (5) BRED FOR GREATNESS was a strong winner two back and he could be a threat here if he gets a better start.
Race 10
(4) ST LADS CAPTAIN was in an impossible spot for most of the mile last time, boxed in at the back of the pack, and once free he closed well. He can beat this with a better trip. (9) ARTOFFICIAL FLAVOR is on a roll and he is obviously the one to beat. (2) OLLIESTRIKESFAME has improved sharply in his last two and he can make the ticket. (6) JAYDENS PLACE figures to take a share racing from close range. (1) TUXEDO BAY figures to finish on the fringes again.
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