Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/17 Analysis
Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: HES A SENSATION (10th)
Spot Play: LUTETIA SEMALU (9th)
Race 1
(2) FRIEND OR FOE moves into the Lalonde barn and posted a strong qualifier. He closed well and shows that he's capable of dropping more time. (3) STRIKING WAVE did all the work last week in this class before settling for second. (4) SOUTHWIND ALIVE raced well at The Red Mile with a good final quarter. He has top breeding and is capable of hitting the board in here.
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Race 2
(9) ANDRO MADI has a terrific record this season and just missed last week. (3) ST LADS ZENA draws inside, has a solid record this season and has won two of her last three. (5) KATHERINE B was a winner in her latest and moves up in class. She draws the same post as last week and gets Davis, Jr. back in the bike.
Race 3
(8) SWEETIE HEARTS is fresh of a win in a good time with a solid final quarter. She is lightly raced this season and been steadily improving. (5) MYSTICAL MELODY comes out of the Alagna barn and put in a sub-par effort last week. She raced much better the week prior and will look for a rebound effort. (4) HUNKOFBURNINLOVE draws inside and closed very well last week. He used a :28 4/5 final quarter and gets Waples in the bike.
Race 4
(3) D GS PESQUERO draws well and has won four straight. She's got a terrific record this season and comes from Canada's leading trainer in win percentage. (9) SKIPPIN BY is also fresh off a win and has hit the board in six of eight starts this season. (2) FINETUNE HANOVER draws inside, has won two straight and has yet to miss the board in three career starts.
Race 5
(10) J CS JAKE is a perfect one-for-one this season and will have to overcome post 10. He's versatile and even with the class jump, he's a top threat. (5) MIYAGI HANOVER will look for a better effort compared to last start, but is very capable. He comes out of Henriksen's barn and certainly has the speed. (1) GEORGIA BABY gets the rail and comes out of Bax's barn. She hasn't won yet this season and should provide a high price.
Race 6
(8) FRESH LOOK certainly has the speed, comes out of Alagna's barn and continues to improve. She's versatile and gets Zeron in the bike. (6) NOBLE JILLY finished second in this class last week with a :26 4/5 final quarter. She has the speed for this class despite being winless in nine starts. (7) BRESCIA SEELSTER won in her latest and has been much better in her last three starts.
Race 7
(6) MARCO DE VIE is overdue for his first win this season. He's displayed the speed to win multiple times and it may come this week. (10) SURPRISE HANOVER finished second in a narrow margin in both his last two starts. He draws outside, but has gate speed. (7) LITTLE BEN will make his first career start and qualified very well. He used a :26 3/5 final quarter and appears capable of dropping more time.
Race 8
(5) HOBOKEN HANOVER comes out of the Shepherd barn, has a good record this season and won in this class last week as the favorite. (6) PERFECT ESCAPE finished second in this class last week behind HOBOKEN HANOVER. He's had some time off and should be even better this week. (10) BARE NECESSITY will have to overcome post 10, but he's fresh off a win and comes out of Moreau's barn.
Race 9
(4) LUTETIA SEMALU finally draws inside after three straight outside post positions. She's winless this season from 12 starts and has posted four straight sub-:28 final quarters. (6) SENTIMENTAL LADY has a good record this season and is a good option for the exactor. He has the speed and is versatile. (1) SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP gets the rail and finished third in this class last week. She should be in store for a ground saving trip.
Race 10
(7) HES A SENSATION won in this class last week with ease. He's lightly raced, has high speed and will likely be the favorite. (1) ALITTLEAINTENOUGH draws inside and has won three of his last four starts. He comes out of Johnson's barn and has a good record this season. (8) DERBY DYLAN won by a nose in this class last start and may offer a fair price. He gets Jamieson back in the bike and is versatile.
Race 11
(9) LOST IN PANSLATION gets Jamieson in the bike and has a good record this season. This is a wide-open tilt and he may provide a price. (1) THE DEPUTY IS HOME draws inside and comes from a high percentage barn. He's versatile and drops in class. (6) DOCS HOSS added Lasix for the first time last start. He closes very well and is classified accordingly once again.
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