Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/5 Analysis
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,5,6/1,4,5/1,4/1,3/2,3,6,9 = $38.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3/2,3,6,9/4,5,7/6 = $24
LATE PICK 4: 6/1,5,8/2,5,6,8/5,8,9 = $36
MEET STATS: 273 - 858 / $1433.20 BEST BETS: 44 - 80 / $156.40
SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 80 / $205.60
Best Bet: DIGGIN IN (7th)
Spot Play: ROSSINI (5th)
Race 1
(6) TWIN B WRANGLER was 2nd behind a dominant winner last week and is in good form; very slight nod in a wide-open curtain-raiser. (2) TOPCORNERTERROR exits the same dash as the choice and should get pace to chase here. (3) HIT AND GIGGLE A can beat these if he can avoid another uncovered trip.
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Race 2
(5) DONTBRUISECARRIE has won 3 of her last 4 off various trips and her current good form should be respected here. (4) JORDIES HOPE provided perfect cover for the choice last time. She can turn the tables with a different trip here. (1) BAD AS LEADER hit her best stride in the Miss Vera Bars series and is another to consider for Pick 5 tickets.
Race 3
(4) MOHAWK WARRIOR was motoring late last week but fell just short. He looks like one of the best in this series and can take this opening division of the first leg. (1) CAJON LIGHTNING was out-tripped by the winner in the Ontario Boys final and should be a big threat here. (8) SHADES OF BAY had a useful tightener following a month break and could move forward here. Post is a concern, however.
Race 4
(1) SPORTSMANSHIP unleashed a furious rally last week to catch a game leader in the final stride. He is razor-sharp now and can take another. (3) RISE UP NOW takes a big plunge from the top class and is an obvious contender but he will be heavily bet and the choice offers more value here. (6) IDOLE DUHARAS is in excellent form but tests the deep end here taking on the two above; minor share predicted.
Race 5
(2) ROSSINI improved last time when coming off a 6-week break and he faced much better last year. He would be no surprise here. (3) SHOOT THE THRILL was flying late last time and looks like he has some issues sorted out now; using. (9) O NARUTAC PERFETTO finished strongly in his first start of the season and looks like a different horse now; beware.
Race 6
(5) EARLE DALE N, (7) PRESCOTTS HOPE and (4) THE REV all drop down here from the top class and escape the white-hot Nickle Bag. Slight nod to Earle Dale N who finished closest to that rival most recently but any of the three could take this.
Race 7
(6) DIGGIN IN faces much easier dropping into a claimer and is sure to be sent hard for the front here early. He should be tough to beat in this company. (3) STIMULUS SPENDING lost his cover on the turn last week but kept coming for 2nd. He should get a good piece of this. (8) READ THE PROPOSAL was a winner returning from a break last week but will likely face early heat from the choice which makes this task much tougher. He can stick around for a share, though.
Race 8
(1) D GS PESQUERO showed little when returning from a break in action last week but did flash good speed in the final 1/4. Facing easier here, she should be put into the race early. (5) TRUE REFLECTION gets post relief here and can be much closer early and a threat late. (8) RIDE AWAY SHARK beat better last summer at Mohawk and might be sent on a speed mission here. Keep her on your Pick 4 tickets.
Race 9
(2) BRINGHOME THE BLUE faces his easiest field in a while and should be prominent throughout here. (5) VELOCITY DRIVEN was too far out of it early last week. Starting from the middle of the gate this time gives him a better chance. (6) COOL ROCK takes a big drop and fits here. Don't be surprised if he is asked for a lot more speed at the start this time.
Race 10
(8) HOUSE OF TERROR paced a big mile last week only to be nailed in the final stride by a sharp closer. He can take these a long way. (5) SENIOR MARKET wasn't far behind the choice and would be dangerous if he landed in his pocket early here. (9) HALF A BILLION has improved the past few starts and should take a share here. (7) TIGHTEN UP fits in this class and should be passing many of these late. (2) SINGLE WHITE SOCK is one that can follow along and make the Super or High-5 at a big price.
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