Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/26 Analysis
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4,6,8/2,4/6/3,5,7/1,3,9 = $14.40
EARLY PICK 4: 3,5,7/1,3,9/8,9/2,6,7 = $54
LATE PICK 4: 2,6,7/3/1,2,3,7,8/5,7,8 = $45
MEET STATS: 308 - 978 / $1607.10 BEST BETS: 50 - 92 / $181.10
SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 91 / $218.80
Best Bet: IDOLE DUHARAS (3rd)
Spot Play: MACH CODE (4th)
Race 1
(6) SHELLYSSILVERMOON has been racing well off a variety of different trips and will be a good price here stepping up; call to upset. (8) INVEST IN ART should go better here with a tightener under her belt and might be firing off the gate this time. (4) ROCK HER WORLD followed some wicked fractions then almost chased the tiring leader down late. She is a contender but may be overbet.
Race 2
(2) FLAHERTY has been showing rapid improvement and could get a great trip here behind likely favorite (4) MACH POWER, who hasn't impressed in his past two starts and is beatable at a short price here. Slight nod to the former based on expected odds. (3) SPORTY MERCEDES has improved his finishing speed in his past two starts and can close late for a piece of this.
Race 3
(6) IDOLE DUHARAS is one of the most consistent horses on the circuit and it's his ability to both start and finish rapidly that makes him a deadly foe most nights. He will be tough to beat in this short field. (5) UF BETTORS HANOVER continues to finish off his miles quickly and would be dangerous if he can latch onto decent cover here. (7) WOGGY ROCKS goes for a new barn off the claim and his good form should be respected.
Race 4
(7) MACH CODE was flying late at Flamboro when racing off a 3-week break last time. He can beat this group and might be a decent price. (3) STIMULUS SPENDING is in top form but needs to be closer turning home to have a shot at the win here. (5) IMKEEPNTHISGUY motored up late to beat non-winners of three types now gets into this non-winners of two class based on being under the earnings limit (as do other multiple winners). He is an obvious threat.
Race 5
(3) MUSICAL SPELL left hard last week but was forced to take a tuck in third then got shuffled. He stands a better chance of landing in the coveted pocket spot here and can convert from there vs. this group. (9) EXEMPLAR raced better last week now gets to face slightly easier. He is the main danger. (1) CREAMPUFF MACDADDY raced like a new horse for Vanderkemp and must be considered here, even with the class rise.
Race 6
(9) NICKLE BAG shoots for his sixth straight Preferred win here and based on how he has dominated is hard to go against. (8) NIRVANA SEELSTER comes off a sharp win a class lower last week and should be out there winging early again. (7) THE REV has been racing well but hasn't been able to threaten the choice. A minor award is likely his ceiling here.
Race 7
(6) TIGHTEN UP elected to stay in last week which didn't work out. Expect a more aggressive try second time in this class. (7) DIGGIN IN drops back to the level at which he was claimed two back and will likely be on a mission to bottom out this field. (2) SHIPPEN OUT showed uncharacteristic grit last week and has shown he fits this class well in his past two; using.
Race 8
(3) EASY LOVER HANOVER enters the Youthful Series on a roll and will be tough to beat here. The only concern - if there is one - might be the 19-day gap between races. (6) THE CATAMOUNT KID showed some promise in a brief campaign last year and this group is well within his reach if he is fully cranked up for this seasonal debut. (1) WAR N MUNN swept the Count B series and isn't without a shot here.
Race 9
(1) TRACK MASTER D could trip out here near the lead; slight nod in a wide-open race that demands wide Pick-4 coverage. (3) IDEAL JET races more effectively stalking the pace. A change in racing style could produce a better result here. (2) SING FOR ME GEORGE looks ready based on his two qualifiers and should get a quick early pace to chase here; using.
Race 10
(7) P L HEAVENLY made two moves and was nailed only late last week. There are several inside of him that don't leave so a good trip on or near the lead is likely here. (8) FOREVER JUST flew home last week but was too far back at the 3/4. This field is no tougher despite the class rise 'on paper' and he offers some exotics pool value. (5) MACHAL JORDAN is always tough in these lower classes and the one that beat him last week made a huge backstretch move then sustained it; using. (3) SHOCK N ROCK projects to get a good trip here and should be passing many of these late. (9) COOL ROCK will be closing for a minor share as is typical with him.
[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]