Woodbine Harness: Saturday 2/25 Analysis
Best Bet: BRILLIANT STRIKE N (5th)
Spot Play: CODE WORD (4th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,5,6,7/ALL/1,2,3,4,6/8/5 =$32
EARLY PICK 4: 8/5/2,5,6/1,3,8 = $9
LATE PICK 4: 1,3,8/4,5,6,7/4,5/5,7 = $48
MEET STATS: 131 - 505 / $787.00 BEST BETS: 22 - 47 / $79.90
SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 45 / $72.50
Race 1
(1) POP GOES THEWEASEL projects to get a much better trip this time moving inside nine posts and she could take this contentious opener at a price. (6) AINSLEYNOELLE should get a good journey on or near the lead here and she is very good form. (5) SHEZAREALDEAL takes a big drop and has to be considered for the Pick 5. (3) BAROCKEY meets tougher here and she is likely to hang around for only a smaller share.
Race 2
(2) BUZZ gets McNair for the first time while making his second start for Auciello; top call. (7) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO was flying late last time and he will likely go off at a square price here; using. (8) FINISH LINE was motoring late last time but the winner was too good. He's in with a decent chance here. (4) ESCUELA will be looking to capitalize late in the mile here. Any early battling will play to his strength.
Race 3
(4) RESISTANCE FUTILE is in great from now and he could benefit from some early battling for command; slight nod. (3) THE WAYFARING MAN drops here and he is another that figures to get a good stalking trip. (1) DAYLIGHT RUSH is likely to push the rail early and try to go down the road. If he can get a breather, he will be tough. (6) P L JACKSON will be coming late and he is another to consider in another contentious dash.
Race 4
Million dollar earner (8) CODE WORD makes his first start for new connections following a private sale on February 14th. Look for a big effort here. (5) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE is likely to get a good trip near the front which makes him dangerous here. (2) DARCEE N seems to kick into gear too late each week. Another smaller share is likely for him here. (3) LONESOME ATTACK couldn't close on a winner that came back to repeat and destroyed the field. He figures for a piece here.
Race 5
(5) BRILLIANT STRIKE N closed impressively in his North American debut. He should get put into action earlier here which will make him tough to beat. (1) NIRVANA SEELSTER will look to control things with the class drop here and he is the main danger. (3) VEGAS ROCKS continues to race well. He should make the ticket again. (8) SHADOW MARGEAUX has hit his best stride and he is worth a look for exotic plays here despite the class jump.
Race 6
(5) P L JILL was an unlucky loser last time after providing perfect cover for the big favorite and she came very close to holding him off. A similar effort and a slightly better trip gets it done here. (6) NOON HOUR comes out of what is shaping up to be a key race; beware. (2) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH has already won in this class and could do here if provided with a good trip. (3) LIFE STRIKES can round out the Tri or Super here.
Race 7
(1) BLUE FOX was perfectly driven and tripped out to win last time. A similar trip and result is quite possible here starting from the inside again. (8) BIG YELLOW made a big move on the last turn to win last time. He is a danger right back here. (3) A BETTORS RISK moves up off a solid win and is another that can be a Pick 4 factor. (4) EAST END figures to close in late for a smaller slice.
Race 8
(7) DUNVEGAN DON returns from a break showing a rapid final 1/4 in his qualifier. If there is any early action in this race, he could mow these down late. (6) CUE HALL moves from the worst post to the best one for his second Woodbine start; using. (4) ABC MUSCLES BOY was a sharp winner a class lower and it's hard to leave anything from this barn off the ticket at the moment. (5) KEEGAN HO can threaten here if he is asked to get a spot near the front at the start.
Race 9
(5) NICKLE BAG went a tough trip to win last week. It's tough to predict this class from week-to-week, but maybe the grizzled veteran can double up here. (4) ALEXAS JACKPOT will show the way again and he has to be caught. (1) AUDREYS DREAM parlayed a perfect trip into a victory last week. He can take a smaller share here racing in the top class. (7) AMERICAN VIRGIN rates highly if he can stay pacing this time.
Race 10
(7) PAPARAZZI HANOVER drops back into the class where he best fits. Expect a big try here. (5) ASAP HANOVER also faces easier and is likely to be put into this race early; using. (8) ERLE DALE N came up against an invading monster last week and could only manage a fringe placing. He rates higher vs. these. (3) PAR INTENDED is worth a look for Tri and Super plays making his first start off the claim. (1) KOULTONS ROCKET can parlay an inside following trip into a slice here.
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