Woodbine Harness: Saturday 2/11 Analysis
Best Bet: SPORTSMANSHIP (10th)
Spot Play: REDONKULOUS (4th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,6,8/1,3,6/1,3/1,2,4/3,7,8 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4/3,7,8/1,2,6,7,8/1 = $45
LATE PICK 4: 1/1,3,4,5/2,3,4,8/1 = $16
MEET STATS: 108 - 425 / $630.90 BEST BETS: 18 - 39 / $65.10
SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 38 / 59.40
Race 1
(8) P L JILL was making a dangerous move on the turn when she broke last week. If she stays flat here, she could rebound at a better price. (2) FREE WILLY HANOVER goes for 6 straight and he will be a big chalk no doubt, but he looked a little soft at the end of his last mile and he could be beatable in this spot. (6) ABSOLUT SEELSTER finished quickly last time. She's worth considering for the Pick 5 here. (4) AMOUREUSE HANOVER should track close to the early leaders and stick around for a slice.
Race 2
(6) NOON HOUR ships north in great form and she should handle these if the time off doesn't have her a bit rusty. (3) LIFE STRIKES was a bit dull last time, but her race two back makes her a contender with these if she can replicate it. (1) SERGEANT SEELSTER has been on fire at London but he will need to find a bit more speed to beat these. (7) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH should compete for one of the smaller shares here.
Race 3
You won't get 27/1 on (1) JINS SHARK tonight, but he is a decent bet to repeat starting from the rail and others are likely to be bet more. (3) AMERICAN VIRGIN is an obvious player who is always right there at the wire; using. (6) THREE OF CLUBS is worth a second glance. (4) FINE DIAMOND comes off an upset score but he loses McNair and he missed a week; mixed signals with this one.
Race 4
(1) REDONKULOUS came with an impressive furious late rush to win last week. While these will be a bit tougher, he could be good enough right now to repeat. (4) REEL raced decently uncovered last time, but his best trip is saving a move for the lane. Watch for him late this time. (2) MAJOR HILL re-qualified well enough to suggest he can contend here. (8) SIR GALAHAD had no shot last time when hung the mile. He can share here off an expected easier trip.
Race 5
(7) STORMONT KATE should clear immediately here and there is a decent chance she could bottom out this field. (8) CLASS ME NICE got an aggressive steer from Henry that produced a win last time. If he can land in the choice's pocket at the start, he has a shot to repeat. (3) ESCUELA will be winding up with his closing move at the head of the lane and if her cover is decent, she could pass them all. (6) PRESQUILLE figures to close for a smaller share again.
Race 6
(2) MACH CODE drops back a class here and he could trip-out from this inner post. This is a race where at least five of them could win with the right trip; very slight nod. (6) THE REV should get a good trip near the front with McNair back; using. (1) VELOCITY DRIVEN is another that could trip-out on cover and pass them all late. (8) COMPANY MAN is yet another you should consider here in what should be a 'spread' leg of the Pick 4.
Race 7
(1) ROCKIN WIZARD fell just short in his return race when 2nd to a very sharp rival. He can turn the tables on (6) KOULTONS ROCKET here, but make sure you use both in Pick 4 bets. (3) DRAGON STRIKES is inconsistent, but his closing burst should be effective here. (4) IDEAL JET figures to take another smaller share.
Race 8
(3) FINISH LINE looked like a winner turning for home last week, but the long trip softened him up late. Look for him to try to control things early this time. (4) SHOOT THE THRILL should contend here starting form a better post; using. (1) BUZZ is worth including going first off the claim for Puddy/Henry here. (5) ODDS ON AMETHYST was flying late last time. He's not out of this and he can show much more early foot if asked to do so.
Race 9
(3) J EAGLE FEATHER was loaded with pace last week and once he got room, he exploded to an impressive win for his new connections; call to repeat. (4) CARACCI HANOVER comes off a sharp win and he looks like a must-use in the late Pick 4. (2) AUDREYS DREAM is sharp, but trip-dependent. If the race falls apart in the stretch, he is the most likely beneficiary. (8) ERLE DALE N drops and he will likely be blasting early here. He is another to consider in a contentious race.
Race 10
(1) SPORTSMANSHIP couldn't go by a tough leader last week, but that was a solid effort and he gets to drop again here. He should handle these. (10) SPIDER MAN HANOVER parlayed a perfect trip into a win last week. This will be tougher, but he is a contender here. (4) ARRIVED LATE should close for a smaller slice in this tougher field this week. (3) DARCEE N is another that is always closing late to finish on the fringes. (6) MACHAL JORDAN makes his third start back and drops in class. He could wake up and hit the ticket.
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