Woodbine Harness: Saturday 10/28 Analysis
Best Bet: BEACH BOOGIE (2nd)
Spot Play: IDEAL JET (5th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,5,7/1/3,7/1,2/2,4,5 = $7.20
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2/2,4,5/4,5/1,4,5,7 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5,7/5,7,9/3,4,6/2,3 = $72
MEET STATS: 9 - 40 / $77.90 BEST BETS: 1 - 4 / $10.00
SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00
Race 1
(5) ONYOURMARKNATAVA drops, moves inside and gets Hudon after the trainer drove last time. Considering all those changes. I'll give her top call. (2) MATTJESTIC TEMPO gets Roy back and three starts back they fell just short; using. (7) CRACKLIN ROSIE paced a 27 2/5 third 1/4 last time which could be an indicator of a bigger effort coming; (3) SR BEACH BABE drops Lasix and picks up driver Henry. She can make the Super here.
Race 2
(1) BEACH BOOGIE was sensational in his Woodbine debut, breaking the 1:50 mark off an aggressive trip; call to repeat. (2) MACH DEJA VU goes to Moreau off a solid win from the 10-hole. He looks like the main danger. (5) EAST END set some wild fractions and almost survived. He can share here. (6) BILLS FELLA should be closing late and picking up some pieces.
Race 3
(7) P L JILL has turned into a first-over machine lately and she couldn't be going any better. A threepeat looms. (3) HILL OF A COLT will take plenty of action here exiting a failed Breeders Crown attempt and he is an obvious threat. (4) CATCH THE DREAM drops slightly and he should pass some rivals late to take a share. (2) ODDS ON AMETHYST is talented but unpredictable. He certainly is good enough to threaten at this level if he behaves.
Race 4
(1) REGAL LUCK was beat by a very sharp mare last time at Flamboro and she was close at this level three and four starts back. Expect an aggressive try here. (2) VOODOO CHARM was closing in late last time and while she fits here, she will likely be overbet. (3) WILDCAT MAGIC drops, but she is an infrequent winner that I also wouldn't take a short price on. (9) DANGEROUS PRECEDENT raced tough first up last time and she is worth a look here at a price.
Race 5
(2) IDEAL JET raced tough last out in a quick mile. He should be prominent throughout here. (5) SHADOW PLACE took a new life's mark last time despite having missed three weeks. He could be even sharper here. (4) PAPARAZZI HANOVER can get a good trip near the front here; consider for Tri and Super bets. (1) BALLERAT BOOMERANG can take a smaller share off a following trip.
Race 6
(4) BRILLIANT STRIKE N had no chance last time after getting buried early leaving from the inside post. Moving off the pylons gives him a better chance, and the price likely goes up here. (5) TRACEUR HANOVER was a winner in this class two back when he left much harder. Expect aggression here. (6) HES A SENSATION has been racing well for several weeks and he should be a threat here. (7) CHAMPAGNE PHIL is usually around the money when racing at this level; consider for exotics.
Race 7
(1) CHESTNUT SCHOFIELD has been like a new horse since joining the Hensley barn. These are tougher, but I'll stick with him. (4) LEAN HANOVER continues to finish quickly and he could get a great pace setup here; using. (7) JANGONE went a crazy long trip last time and didn't fade badly. He is another to consider for multi-race tickets. (5) YO YO MASS faces better here, but he has been so consistent that he is hard to toss.
Race 8
(7) ROYAL CHARM woke up with a much-improved effort last time. I'll take a stab with her in this spot, hoping for a price. (5) WILL TAKE CHARGE steps up off a loss, but he rates highly in here as a speed threat. (9) CLASSIC VENTURE comes off a sharp first-over score and he can't be dismissed here, despite his post. (3) TOTALLY RIPPED also steps up off a score but a smaller share seems likely for him with the double jump in class.
Race 9
(6) JINS SHARK could get a slowing late pace to close into here if the typical leavers blast off looking for the front; slight nod. (3) PRESCOTTS HOPE loves Woodbine and he is in top form; using. (4) EASY LOVER HANOVER has been racing against better south of the border and he is another that can take this. (5) AMERICAN VIRGIN was on fire at this meet last year and into early 2017 and he appears to be coming back to form, although missing 3 weeks gives pause for thought.
Race 10
(3) P L JACKSON races at his lowest level in several weeks and he adds Lasix, too; top call. (2) MACH CODE raced tough last time at this level. He is the main danger. (5) DIALAMARA can take a smaller slice racing close to the lead. (4) THORN IN YOUR SIDE rode a speed bias to victory on Monday and these are tougher; small share predicted. (8) SOUTHWIND MASIMO should be able to crack the exotics at this level using a closing approach.
[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Watch the Breeders Crown LIVE + get FREE Harness Eye PPs & real-time analysis.]