Woodbine Harness: Monday 3/3 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: ROCKIN WITH DEWEY (1st)
Spot Play: SI SEMALU (6th)
Race 1
(7) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY has won three straight and remains at the same level. (6) PHOTO MASS has been racing very consistently this season, comes from a top barn and will offer a low price. (5) LETS LEAVEM is fresh off a win, draws well and is capable of the class jump.
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Race 2
(4) PASSIONATE KISSER went to the back last week as the heavy favourite and wasn't a threat. He draws better this week and hopefully gets a better drive. (5) ROYAL RECEPTION draws inside, comes out of McIntosh's barn and put forth a solid effort last week. (1) MEDWAY TOWER draws inside, is fresh off a win and comes out of Menary's barn. Burke's own this youngster, which caught me by surprise.
Race 3
(7) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT did put forth the best effort last week and will look to rebound. He gets Jamieson in the bike and will look for his first win this season. (6) AMIGO DE GRANDE has been racing at his best in recent weeks and drops in class. He's a major contender once again. (2) COOL GUY has excellent gate-speed, draws inside and gets Davis, Jr. back in the bike. I like his chances for the triactor.
Race 4
(7) WARRAWEE PHOENIX will make his sophomore debut after a pair of qualifiers. He's a half-brother to Warrawee Needy and comes from Menary's camp. (9) DRAGON SEELSTER just missed last week in his season debut. He'll have to overcome post 10, but certainly has proved to be a threat. (3) MONTEZUMA BLUECHIP draws inside and has raced very well in his last two. I expect him forwardly-placed off the gate.
Race 5
(4) DUKESTER gets post relief and finished first and second in his two prior starts in this class. (7) MOPEY COREY was wicked gate-speed to be positioned early. He's probably been racing at his best in his career. (5) MARABOU has been racing very consistently and hit the board in this class last week. He's versatile and may offer a price.
Race 6
(6) SI SEMALU posted a very encouraging qualifier. He raced super last season considering his limited campaign and looks poised to start 2014 off right. (8) SO BAD IM GOOD is a top threat if he's put into the race. He's got the speed and record in his favour. (7) CONFLICT DIAMOND certainly has the speed for this level. He has excellent gate-speed, gets Drury in the bike and just missed last week as the favourite.
Race 7
(10) LIBERTYS BEST STAR has been claimed in his last two starts and remains at this same class. He's a top threat and will need to use his gate-speed to overcome post 10. (9) MR BIG HEAD lit up the tote board last week under an aggressive steer from Davis, Jr. A repeat effort makes him a top contender. (4) SHINY MACH will offer a price, but draws well and comes from a high percentage barn. He's hit the board in his last two of three starts.
Race 8
(3) MIRACLE MATTS was hard-used to earn the front last week and tired late. Perhaps with a cleaner trip, he can get the job done. (7) WOODROCK NATION has been knocking on the door in his last two of three. He's a trip oriented horse. (6) RED MAGICIAN has excellent gate-speed, comes out of Auciello's barn and should offer a fair price.
Race 9
(4) SLIP INTO GLIDE won this event last week in comfortable fashion. He comes from a top trotting barn and likely will be the favourite. (7) ZEUS LIGHTNING has back class in his favour along with a top three performance in four of his last five. (2) SIM BROWN draws inside, has excellent gate speed and likely will get an aggressive steer.
Race 10
(8) ACCOUNT ROLLOVER went an impressive mile last start considering it was just his second start on this circuit. He's the horse to beat in here. (7) IDEAL SHADOW got the job done last week, but was rough-gaited. He fought off a late challenge after a tough trip and refused to lose. (3) WHY DON'T YOU STAY draws inside and will offer a price. With an inside trip, he can be a part of the triactor and won on this circuit late last year.
Race 11
(5) BURLESQUE got the jump on his rivals last week en route to victory. Perhaps the same tactics will be used again at this same level. (6) FIRSTCLASSFLIGHT comes out of Menary's barn and has finished second in each of his last two. (8) ST LADS MORGAN is always a threat at this bottom class. She has the speed and is very versatile.
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