Woodbine Harness: Monday 2/26 Analysis
Best Bet: XTERNAL (8th)
Spot Play: CHARMBO ORBIT (10th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 3,4,7/2,3/2,3,5/4,5,6/1,3,4,7 = $43.20
EARLY PICK: 4,5,6/1,3,4,7/2,4,5/4,7 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 4,7/1,5/1,4,6/1,5 = $24
MEET STATS: 201 - 652 / $1,222.00 BEST BETS: 28 - 63 / $113.80
SPOT PLAYS: 22 - 63 / $190.10
Race 1
(7) POP I had no shot chasing a 1:52 4/5 winner last time, but he projects to get a better trip racing on or near the lead here; slight nod. (4) O NARUTAC PERFETTO will likely go favored here and he is the one to fend off on the big class drop. I'm just not into taking what should be odds-on considering his past gait issues. (3) BUZZ finished ahead of the choice last time in a solid effort and he's not out of this. (6) ABSOLUT SEELSTER brings great form in from the B tracks. He should hit the ticket racing from close range.
Race 2
(2) NINOSCREDIT drops back into a claimer and it appears he should control things here and take a breather when needed; top call. (3) E L WILD SPIRIT passed several horses in a mile that was very fast for the conditions and the winner came back to romp again Thursday night. The short field helps him; using. (4) BADSTORMANYPORT can get a good trip near the front here. He's a threat. (1) JACK RACKHAM gets a driver switch here and maybe Henry can wake him up; consider using underneath.
Race 3
(2) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN drops again and one of these weeks he will get sent early and go down the road. I'll stick with him one more time. (3) ERLE DALE N and (5) APHRO STAR have similar profiles, coming off solid closing effort on Thursday night. I think both need to be included in the Pick 5. (4) PAR INTENDED will be closing late for a slice.
Race 4
(4) KINGSLEY B couldn't threaten a runaway winner last week, but that one stepped up three days later and destroyed conditioned foes. This is a good spot for Kingsley B. (5) PLAY IT AGAIN SAM raced tough and just failed to last in a sharp effort. I'll use him and the gelding that beat him that night (6) COBALT MAN in multi-race bets. Both are sharp and dangerous. (3) TOMY TERROR drops back down to the level he won at two back, but he may not get the trip he needs here with a couple of other leavers signed on; small share predicted.
Race 5
(4) SUNDAY POKER is one of several starting for new barns in a race with several possibilities. He was terrible two starts back, but better last time so maybe Weller will get him over the top here. (7) MYBROTHERGEORGE flew late to get up right on the wire and he could get a good setup here; using. (1) INTENDED STYLE goes back to a trainer who has done well with him in the past and it appears he bought him for himself in a private sale; beware! (3) JEFFERSON TARE races better off a helmet and he may get tripped out here, so, he's another possibility.
Race 6
(5) ADVERSITY fits well in this class and he can be raced effectively from anywhere; slight nod. (4) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO does well for Jamieson and the short field helps him. I'll use him in the early Pick 4. (2) OPTIMA KEMP got pounded at the windows, then tracked quick fractions and took over late. Moreau and Roy are so hot right now that they are hard to leave out. (6) HEAD TURNING JAG can close late for another small share here.
Race 7
(7) TREASURED TEE can roll up late and beat these if he is within striking range at the 3/4 pole. (4) ASA ONAMISSION has been solid in two starts at the track and McClure chose him over the 1 horse; using. (3) REGAL MAGICIAN is erratic but capable. I wouldn't take a low win price on him, but I also won't get knocked out of the Pick 4s by him, either. (5) KUIL DEVA has 14 slices in 19 starts. She'll win for the second time at some point, but there is no way to predict when that will be.
Race 8
(1) XTERNAL was so good in his return race that I'll stick with him here. (5) BIG YELLOW also comes off an impressive win and he is clearly on the upswing. He's the other one that I'll use on Pick 4 tickets. (4) FREDDY BEAR was live last time, but he was no match for the winner late. He should share here again. (6) KAZIMOTO was sharp in victory off the shelf, but these are tougher; use underneath.
Race 9
(4) DUNBAR HALL is too sharp right now for me to go against; next stop, the Preferred. (6) JANGONE closes a storm every start. If things fall apart late, he'll pick up the pieces. (1) FREE WILLY HANOVER will take action on the class drop, but I'll play against him in the win pool here if he is close to chalk. (7) WARRAWEE SHIPSHAPE is on a good roll and he should take at least a piece of the purse here.
Race 10
(5) CHARMBO ORBIT should lay closer here and he projects to get a good setup; top call. (1) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ beat most of these last time while starting from the same post. He's hard to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (9) PRINCE GIOVANNI was a solid 2nd from the outer post last time. He can be right there again. (3) NEEDLECREST and (4) BET ON ART are good ones to use to fill out Tris, Supers and High 5's.
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