Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/14 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 7,8,10/3,8,9/3,5/3,6/2,5,9 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 3,6/2,5,9/5,10/5,7,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 5,7,9/7,9/4,7,10/6,9
MEET STATS: 138 - 430 / $723.20 BEST BETS: 21 - 39 / $73.20
SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 39 / 110.00
Best Bet: BIG RICH (8th)
Spot Play: FEARLESS MAN (3rd)
Race 1
(8) COUNTRY PROPHET raced much better last time which could mean a winning effort is coming tonight; top call in the opener. (7) P L INDYANACA picked up checks in every leg of the Autumn series now switches to Menary's barn; using. (10) ASPEN CALIFORNIA is in top form but will need to work out a trip from out there.
Race 2
(3) SHOOTIN TO KILL moves into Nixon's barn, picks up Lasix and finished well in his qualifier. There are plenty of angles to like here. (8) HES GONE BAD looks like a top contender here, but doesn't he always? It seems like a slice is always more likely for him. (6) SILVERADO drops back to face maidens and should be much closer against this group.
Race 3
(5) FEARLESS MAN was motoring late last week. He should be fit enough now to try to wire these and he could be third choice here; Spot Play. (3) IL SOGNO DREAM has owned this class recently and is obviously the one to beat. (2) BURNIN MONEY has never been better and should get a good trip close to the front here.
Race 4
(6) TYLERS BEACH BOY was on bad cover last week yet still finished quickly without threatening. That tightener should have him ready for a top try. (3) PRINCESS DIAMOND took a ton of action last week and raced tough on the front end. He's the one to beat. (2) MACHERATI steps up off a perfect-trip win but can share here.
Race 5
(2) IDEAL JET made a big move last week to grab the lead turning home then tired late. A better-timed drive gets it done here. (9) WINDSONG LIGHTNING drops out of the Autumn series to face weaker and should wake up here. (5) HAIL THE TAXI was driven hard and set some big fractions then tired last time. Jamieson will likely look to trip him out here.
Race 6
(5) EXCUSE ME PLEASE gets a big driver change here which should lead to a strong showing. (10) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE takes a class plunge here and is very dangerous despite the post. (4) GIRL DRAMA reached up for the win very late last time but looks more in line for a smaller share here.
Race 7
(7) DIGGIN IN was a sharp winner last week and his excellent late speed makes him a big threat to repeat. (9) DOJEA SOLO raced decently vs. better in his first start over this track now returns quicker; using. (5) SANTANNA STAR blasted early, gave up the lead then re-emerged late only to be overtaken by the choice. He should get a good piece of this.
Race 8
(9) BIG RICH is too sharp to go against, even from out there. (7) COVERT OPERATIVE trotted a 27 3/5 third 1/4 last week and still continued to close ground late. He is coming up to a top effort. (4) STORMONT KATE continues to grind out earnings for her owner/trainer/driver and should make the ticket here.
Race 9
(7) J CS JAKE got started up too late last week and couldn't reach a strong winner. He looks best here. (4) KINETIC KING gets off the rail which should mean better positioning early and a better result. (10) BROADWAY PRINCE has produced an impressive late kick in his past two and merits inclusion on late Pick 4 tickets.
Race 10
(9) FIRST IMPRESSION has been racing well for weeks at Pocono and should get sent hard here early; top billing in the finale. (6) ALWAYS THERE was out the route last time and kept coming. He's the one to knock off. (10) SPARTACUS JIM can produce high speed early and may stick around for a piece here. (7) BUCKSHOT AUSTIN comes in from Flamboro with a sharp conditioned win in tow. He should share. (1) PASSIONATE PETE can follow along and grab a smaller share leaving from the inside.
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