Woodbine Harness: Monday 1/11 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,6/1,2,3/1,2/1,2,7/2,4 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,7/2,4/1,3,4/2,4,6,9 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 2,4,6,9/4,9/1,3/4,8,9 = $48
MEET STATS: 185 - 553 / $997.30 BEST BETS: 29 - 50 / $100.30
SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 50 / $167.60
Best Bet: HUNCH MAN (8th)
Spot Play: RETAIL (10th)
Race 1
(5) LADY PING closed with good energy late last week which should have her primed for a top try here in this opening leg of the Lifetime Dream series. (3) PISCEAN should have a good shot if making front early here which would make her a win threat. (2) LUAU HANOVER missed almost a month before last week's even effort. She should improve sharply here.
Race 2
(2) ASPEN CALIFORNIA was a powerful winner leading up to this series opener and the short field should help her here. (3) DOMEDOMEDOME closed belatedly behind a strong winner last time and is obviously one of the best ones in here. (1) TYMAL FIREITUP has done her best racing with Filion piloting and he returns here.
Race 3
(1) CHICAGO HANOVER blitzed similar last week and will be tough right back. (2) CHEYENNE FORD was a strong winner off the claim and looks like the main foe. (6) UFDRAGONS ROCKET has held strong form for several weeks and fits well here.
Race 4
(7) GANACUS SEELSTER is the first foal to race from a well-bred unraced dam. His qualifier was a sharp effort; top call. (2) RAKIN IT IN raced decently behind a runaway winner in his debut; using. (1) SHOOTIN TO KILL may not have like the slop last time; don't dismiss lightly.
Race 5
(4) THE BIG YEAR got scorched last week trying to make the front early and paid a steep price. He should get a better trip here; top call. (2) COOL ROCK was flying late last week in his first start in six months. He's the main danger. (1) TWOMICKEYTRIP will be blasting from the inside and could take these a long way.
Race 6
(1) STORMONT WIZARD raced evenly in his first start in three weeks last time now returns quicker which gives him a better chance here. (3) ALL B OVER was a sharp winner last time but now has missed close to a month; mixed signals. (8) IN SECRET was chasing a late pace that wasn't slowing last time and couldn't close. There is no Musical Rhythm in here.
Race 7
(9) ETRUSCAN HANOVER unleashed an impressive kick in the back half to win last week. He is at the top of his game, but, history also shows that doesn't typically last long for him. (2) BIG RICH adds trotting hopples which should keep him flat and make him a top contender. (4) KINETIC KING drops back down here and is another of many contenders in with a decent chance.
Race 8
(4) HUNCH MAN drops again and Henry could send him right down the road here. (9) MACH PRIDE has faced much tougher recently and is another that will probably get aggressive early. (7) BLISSFUL YEARS closed quickly in his qualifier and moves into a potent barn; beware.
Race 9
(3) CHARLIE IS A JOKER and (1) MURMUR HANOVER both face much easier here. Slight nod to the former based on post relief but use both in the late Pick 4. (2) JUSTICE JET was an impressive winner last time but the top two are much tougher than the company he beat there.
Race 10
(4) RETAIL was claimed by a cagey trainer and could take these all the way first time out for the new connections. (9) JUST HENRY faced better and now drops into a claimer. He could be a square price from out there, too. (8) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT stopped last week but can rebound here with Drury driving. (10) BROADIES SONG enjoyed the drop into claimers last week and should share here back in with similar. (6) JAC SPADE raced well off a break and can better this placing.
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