Woodbine Harness: Friday 3/24 Analysis
Best Bet: LMC MASS OAK (3rd)
Spot Play: JUSTICE JET (6th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,2,7/2,3,7/7/1,2,3,5/2,5,9 = $$21.60
EARLY PICK 4:1,2,3,5/2,5,9/2,4/1,6,8 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 1,6,8/2,4/3,4,5,7/1,3,8 = $72
MEET STATS: 174 - 665 / $1,063.10 BEST BETS: 27- 62 / $99.00
SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 59 / $89.90
Race 1
(1) ROBOCALL HANOVER was out the route last week and still almost lasted when she was racing off a month break. It's reasonable to expect her to be sharper and get a better trip here and Roy sticks; top call. (2) XELENE BAYAMA closed a lot of ground in the back 1/2 last week. She does her best work when placed near the front. Expect a more aggressive drive here. (7) ART ANGEL BABY was really motoring late last week and while the shorter field helps here, she may get over bet off that eye-catching late burst. (5) CAYO LOCO continues to race well and she may be rated a tad low here, but she is reliant on the late pace slowing to pass them all.
Race 2
(3) HUBBY NUMBER ONE was in too tough in his past two starts, but notice he was a winner when last in this class on February 26th. He gets my nod with the reclassification. (7) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO has a sharp late burst on his best day, but he needs to be close enough to threaten the leaders. The small field should help him here. (2) SWEET ROYALTY looked good last week closing late for 2nd. She isn't out of this. (4) MEGO MOSS seems win averse, but he could take these a long way on the engine.
Race 3
(7) LMC MASS OAK's quick final quarters indicate he has retained his sharpness but he has just been in too tough recently. This group should be more to his liking. (4) CLASS ME NICE has a chance to upset here if he can land in the pocket early - see February 3rd's chart line, I'll use him in the Pick 5. (8) MADEWELL HANOVER was qualified all three times by Roy and he hinted at readiness in the most recent mile. Roy sticks here; consider. (6) VICS ROYAL LADY will be near the front early and she can hang around for a slice.
Race 4
(1) MISS MACHQUEEN improved sharply last week and she showed good speed both early and late. I'll give her the nod over (2) THREE DREAMS, who held on to beat her last week and should be the one to catch again here. (3) KATIES BEACH is an infrequent winner, but she is sharp and could get a sweet trip here just behind the speed; using. (5) DAZZLE N DELIGHT couldn't keep pace with a sharp winner late in the mile last week, but she could get a more favorable trip here and she's capable vs. these in a contentious opening leg of the Pick 4.
Race 5
(5) RUBIS PRESCOTT forced the pace in the third 1/4 last week and couldn't close the deal late. She races better off a helmet and she can take this with a slightly better trip. (9) MUCH ADOO had plenty off late pace to offer last time, but a 30 3/5 second quarter stolen by the leader left that rival with too much in the tank late. She could turn the tables here at a better price. (2) WANDA BAYAMA stole one on the front end last week, but, she can string several good miles together. She can't be dismissed here. (3) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK got burned up chasing a fast pace last time. She could hit the ticket at a nice price here.
Race 6
(4) JUSTICE JET produced a rapid final 1/4 last week and he also had a much better start. Those signs are encouraging and make him my top pick here. (2) BELLA PALAZZO is as consistent as they come and off her sharp win when shipping in last week she merits serious consideration here. (1) BUZZ lasted much longer with Lasix last week, but he will likely need to ramp up his final 1/4 speed to hold all of hos rivals off here. (8) WILD AND CRAZY GUY drops to a level where he is hard to leave off multi-race tickets here.
Race 7
(8) TOPVILLE CHEETAH overcame some serious interference and unleashed an impressive late kick to win last week after it looked like she had been taken out of contention. I'll go back to her off that impressive victory. (6) TIMMYLYNN goes for the hottest connections around off the claim; don't let her kill your Pick 4 tickets. (1) HOT should trip well here and she could win if she can stay covered up to the stretch. (4) AINTSHEASWEETIE is a good one to use on the bottom here.
Race 8
(4) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE was close in a similar class two starts back and he gets class and post relief here. I'll give him the nod in a race that is a bit of a head scratcher. (2) STEPPIN OUT races best for Jamieson and he returns here. He could trip her out and beat these. (7) WINZEL, the game veteran, is worthy of consideration shipping in as his early speed could play well in this field. (3) POWER MOVE has hinted at improvement but he doesn't appear to be quite there yet; minor share predicted.
Race 9
(5) VOODOO CHARM continues to fire home quickly and she should get a solid pace to chase here; slight nod. (3) OUR HOT MAJORETTE raced better last week now she steps back up for her third start back; using, likely at a square price. (4) JIMBELINA has form that is impossible to fault and she doesn't need the lead to win. She's another Pick 4 must-use. (7) DEUCES FOR CHARITY merits a look on connections alone.
Race 10
(1) BLACK WIDOW BABY has been finishing off her miles well and she may have found a good spot here to notch a rare win. (3) BETTYS BAY was taken out when the field jammed up last time but she recovered to nab third. She could trip out near the front. (8) TRILIFE raced okay vs. a class-dropping winner last time. She could vault past late if she can grab decent cover here. (4) SHELLYSSILVERMOON improved last week and she can take a smaller share here. (2) ARTISTIC MADISON gets her regular trainer back here which could produce a better result, but she has been in a serious funk lately and would be hard to love at a short price.
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