Woodbine Harness: Friday 3/17 Analysis
Best Bet: MUCH ADOO (7th)
Spot Play: AMAZING CONTROL (3rd)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,5,6/5,8,10/2,5/1,4,5/2,3,5 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,5/2,3,5/1,2,9/1 = $27
LATE PICK 4: 1/1,4,6,8/1,3,10/2,3,4,8 = $48
MEET STATS: 161 - 625 / $999.80 BEST BETS: 26 - 58 / $94.00
SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 55 / $86.20
Race 1
(6) THREE DREAMS has raced against much better for several starts since her last win on February 3rd. She looks best in here and she should be put into action early by Cullen. (1) HP SISSY had a productive campaign last year and this isn't the toughest spot to make her return; using. (5) LITTLE MISS SPORTY raced decently on Tuesday in London. She can be a factor here if she goes on short rest. (3) REGALLY READY should show more moving to an inside post here.
Race 2
(5) WINDSUN MISSILE appears to have the most speed of this group, but he needs to stay flat to show it; slight nod. (10) MEGO MOSS could fire a good mile racing fresh here and his good early speed should be an asset vs. these. (8) BELLA PALAZZO bears watching on connections alone in this weak field. (1) POWER MOVE has been racing better, but he's hard to like on top.
Race 3
(2) AMAZING CONTROL faced tougher and she wasn't disgraced last time she raced here and she gets a significant driver change for this. She should be tough racing on or near the lead. (5) TOPVILLE CHEETAH closed well last time but the winner was long gone. Filion sticks; use her in Pick 5 bets. (3) SHELLYSSILVERMOON isn't out of the equation racing in this class and she could surprise if she lands in the pocket early - which is a distinct possibility. (4) CALL IT COURAGE rarely wins, but she figures to take a slice here.
Race 4
(5) MISCHIEVIOUSGIRLS late kick should be more potent racing in this lower class and she can beat a few off the gate starting in the middle; top call. (1) SHOW SOME LEG gets Hensley back here and his aggressive style has played well at this meet; using. (4) NIPS BEACH GIRL dodges tough foe Jimbelina and she will have to be caught here. Don't leave her off multi-race tickets. (7) AINTSHEASWEETIE figures to rally for a smaller share again.
Race 5
(5) RUBIS PRESCOTT drops to a level lower than where she last won on January 28th. Expect an aggressive steer here. (3) VOODOO CHARM continues to race well and she will be charging late. (2) BAROCKEY has a good race/bad race pattern and if it holds, this should be a good race. (7) REQUEST FOR PAROLE is dangerous at this level and the Hensley barn had done well at this meet; consider for exotics.
Race 6
(2) ADVERISTY faces easier, moves inside and retains McNair. All those factors make him a strong contender here. (9) MUSCLES ALL OVER steps up off a couple of decent efforts and he should be a good price here; using. (1) P L JERICO is capable vs. these - especially if he is asked for speed at the start. I'll toss him in the Pick 4. (8) STORMONT WIZARD continues to be a good one to use only underneath until he shows he wants to win one.
Race 7
(1) MUCH ADOO missed a month between starts when returning last week and she raced evenly against better. McNair will likely try to grab control of this race early. (7) ONE HOT MAJORETTE should show more here dropping out of the same race and she should also get more aggressive handling. (5) TIMMYLYNN steps up off a sharp win which may bring another good price; consider. (3) PRETTY HOT went a tough trip last week and was caught late by the pocket-sitter who slid up the inside. She can make the ticket here.
Race 8
(6) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE was test-driven by Roy in her latest qualifier and she looks ready for the circuit's hottest barn; top call. (1) BERNADETTE can do some damage late here if she can avoid going first up this time. Starting from the inside will likely give her a good chance to catch some cover. (4) SAYITALL BB has been finishing quickly every week. She can threaten here is she is kept in range of the leaders. (8) WAASMULA figures to blast early here and if she makes front quickly she could take these all the way.
Race 9
(10) RAMAS LAST SON faces easier here and if the intent is there, he has the speed and ability to take this group all the way. (3) ESCUELA steps up off a win, but she could get another slowing back 1/2 to close into here; using. (1) BUZZ adds Lasix after stopping to a walk in the lane last time. He could last much longer here. (6) EXEMPLAR is in solid form and he isn't out of this, but, a slice seems more likely than a win.
Race 10
(2) CAYO LOCO roared home to beat similar last week and she should get a similar pace setup here; top call. (8) COTTONWOOD CREEK is a stout closer on her best day and she looks ready based on her March 9th qualifier; using. (3) MARVALOUS JET is another that will be passing horses in the back 1/2 that can take this with some racing luck. (4) IDEAL IN KISSES escapes the hot Jimbelina here and she can't be discounted. A better trip is also very likely this time for her. (6) EVANGELIN SEELSTER had some pace late in the mile last week. She can grab a piece of this.
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