Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/6 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
EARLY $1 PICK 4:
1,6,8 / 5,6,8 / 8,10 / 1,2 = $36
MEET STATS: 42 - 124 / $239.10 BEST BETS: 5 - 12 / $25.40
SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 11 / $43.50
Best Bet: RUBIS PRESCOTT (8th)
Spot Play: DIALAMARA (1st)
Race 1
(6) DIALAMARA was purchased privately for $85K by Lamers from the Maritimes last year and had some moderate success vs. OSS Gold competition. A 28 3/5 final quarter on a track rated two seconds slow in his most recent qualifier should have him ready to roll here in the opener of the Count B Series. (3) CONVERSATION BOY was handled much more aggressively when dropped into NW2 company as expected and was an easy winner. These are a bit tougher but he will be a factor. (1) NEWBIE hasn't missed the board in 4 starts this year and should get a great trip from the rail.
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Race 2
(2) EXQUISITE GLIDE made an incredible move late in the lane last time to extend his winning streak, passing a rival that had looped him and pinned him in. We're sticking with him despite the class rise; he is just that sharp. (4) SAMIRA HANOVER and (7) JCS JAKE both faced much better in their most recent and are the obvious dangers here.
Race 3
(6) CAMVICTED put up a big first 1/4 and 1/2 then held on to win his 2nd start in as many tries. Catch him to greet the photographer. (3) HIS BOY ELROY comes into this off several races where he drew outer posts and had long trips. He has some ability and if was ever moved early in a mile to clear could be long gone; beware. (7) SOUTHWIND SID was called to upset in his debut Monday night but scratched. These are tougher but he could grab a slice. His dam won first out and produced several that were fast early.
Race 4
Despite missing almost a month's action it's hard to imagine (6) BAROCKEY not being able to handle these as she plunges in class. The addition of lasix might explain her latest poor effort. (1) MACHLEEN also drops in class and moves inside; some things to like here. (8) ADAYMER SEELSTER traditionally does well in the winter months and her most recent start when 2nd behind a tripped-out winner may have tipped her hand that she is coming up to a win. Don't sell her too short.
Race 5
(6) PUREFORM OLYMPIA blasted out and put up some big fractions then just held on. These aren't much tougher. Call to repeat. (8) WALK THE PLANK reversed tactics unsuccessfully last time and is likely to revert to his more potent closing style here. If he can replicate the late speed shown in his penultimate start he could upset at a price here. (5) HIE BENNY was sent right down the road by Henry last week but is likely to sit a pocket and look to get by the choice late here; don't discount.
Race 6
(10) ARTISTIC FUSION was dominant throughout the Blizzard Series and comes into the opening leg of the Ontario Girls at the top of her game. The 10-hole is tough, but so is she; top call. (8) BET YA was one of the better OSS 3YO fillies last year and looks ready to roll for Moiseyev. She looks like the main danger. (7) KISS ME OR NOT has shown nice improvement the past couple of starts and should share again here. (6) MEA LILLEY MARK could threaten for the top spot with a better trip and steer.
Race 7
(2) O NARUTAC PERFETTO trotted a winning mile and was just picked off very late by an ultra-sharp rival (chosen above to win race 2). He can take these. (1) ENTRANCED had some traffic issues in the same mile and is a contender here. (5) BIG PACKAGE reeled off his 3rd straight easy win Monday night and was taken by trainer Maxwell who brings him back quickly. These are tougher but he will be a factor. (4) CAL CHIPS BROTHER had too much cover last time but still closed well for a piece. Keep him on your tri and super wagers.
Race 8
(2) RUBIS PRESCOTT was stepped up way over her head into the Mares Preferred last week but missing a check enables her to drop back into a class where she won easily two back. Tough to go against her here. (3) TRAUMA UNIT continues to show improvement and went a big trip only to be picked off by a streaking mare. She is the main danger. (5) LANESIDE LEXUS had good cover and couldn't capitalize. She continues to be an in-and-outer; tough call.
Race 9
(9) GRANDE DIABLO hasn't done anything of note on the racetrack for a long time but the owner moves him into Moreau's barn after getting a clean line on him last week. We'll take a stab here in a weak bunch. (3) MIDFIELD MAGIC finally put it all together last week but is hardly the reliable type. Beware taking a short price on the win end. (5) RACER X ships in from Dover and moves to a high % barn. This group looks like a step down in class for him so keep him on your pick 4 tickets.
Race 10
(1) MARQUISE DE SARAH moved when ready last week and took her 4th in this top class in the last 5 tries. She's tough to go against in her current form. (4) BAZOOKA TERROR is an interesting newcomer from Buffalo that has hit the exacta in almost 60% of her starts the past two seasons. She looks fast enough to contend and picks up Filion. (8) WAASMULA got identical opening :29 quarters and still couldn't hold off the choice. Minor awards seem to be her ceiling in this class.
Race 11
(1) TOTAL LEE left hard and got hung the mile. She showed her grit by hanging in there to lose by just two lengths. She moves in 6 starting slots here and Zeron will look to trip her out. (9) ARTISTIC MADISON has been on fire since joining Waxman's barn and is the obvious one to beat. (7) A FILLY AFFAIR blew the toteboard up while getting up late to win her 2015 debut. She can share here. (8) A FEARLESS AFFAIR was just a bit late with her charge down the lane. She is always around the money at the wire. (4) DOUBLE JOY continues to be kept in during the middle stages but is a great bet for the bottom of tris, supers and high 5's.
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