Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/27 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
EARLY $1 PICK 4:
1,3,5/1,3,4,8/1,2,4,6/10 = $48
MEET STATS: 74 - 220 / $406.40
BEST BETS: 10 - 21 / $43.10
SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $54.10
Best Bet: COVER UP HALL (8th)
Spot Play: CRACKER ZACK (9th)
Race 1
(3) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN got her trip last week and turned the tables on (5) ROLLTIDEROLL. It appears there is a very good chance that trip - and likely the result - will be repeated here. The latter seemed to lose something last week in the new barn but she will be the one to chase down again. (4) WHIPPEROSA showed good improvement in her last two at Flamboro and is a good bet to complete the triactor.
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Race 2
(7) MUSICAL SPELL showed some progression last week with a big back half but was victim to a slow 3rd quarter and could get no closer than third. He is sitting on a winning race now but needs get closer earlier. Teamster Christoforou bagged five winners here Monday night. (5) KIWI PRES went right down the road as expected in his season debut but has missed time due to cancelled cards as a result of extreme cold weather. He is still the one to beat but may be a bit rusty. (6) LUCK IS ALL I NEED continues to race one-paced but keeps earning checks. He is likely for another minor award.
Race 3
(3) HOPE FOR PADDY was called to win last week but was way too far out of it to have a chance late. She showed sharp late speed and gets a chance to compete in a shorter field here which greatly helps her chances. (5) MARQUISE DE SARAH has been on a forced vacation because there has been no Mares Preferred carded since Feb. 6 but she is obviously the one to beat at a short price. (2) BULLET POINT was raced where she is most effective last week - right on the point - and she produced a good win. She is likely headed for the front again.
Race 4
(3) ST LADS PENNY LANE showed some of her good late spark with a drop to this class last week and should be able to keep her 7 foes within her sights then vault past late here; top call. (1) MISS COCO LUCK class drops for the 4th consecutive race and should go much better here. (5) JET HOT STUFF races well virtually every time McNair drives and she is in with a shot here from a better post.
Race 5
(8) HEADSAREGONNA TURN had excellent late trot from way back first time Moiseyev drove last week. There appears to be enough early pace here to set up his late charge. (4) MEADOWVIEW VICKY drops out of a stakes series where she competed well against the boys and was a good third to the dominant series winner in the final. She is a must-use in the early pick 4. (3) RAMAS LAST SON tipped his hand with an improved finish in his penultimate start then converted with a wire-to-wire winning effort. He has missed a month's racing now though which makes him a tough one to call for the win.
Race 6
(2) NO LIES ships in from down south and debuts for 'O Sullivan/McNair who have been a potent team with these types in the past. She beat a decent group two back and should be formidable in this competitive dash. (1) LOTSA MATZAH has been on fire for Menary since shipping north and is the one to beat again here. (6) ARTISTIC MADISON closed rapidly but the winner was long gone. She benefits from any mid-race battling.
Race 7
(10) LIGHTS GO OUT hasn't raced at a level this low in a long, long time. She is a big threat in her second start of the year even if she leaves 10th, which is very possible. (2) MACHYNBYRD PRINCESS also drops to her lowest level in some time and should rebound with an improved effort. (7) REGALLY READY drops out of the Ontario Girls series and should be prominent throughout. A pocket trip could do wonders for her cause and is a good possibility here.
Race 8
(1) COVER UP HALL ships north and joins the white-hot Menary barn which makes her our top choice here. (4) CAST NO SHADOW has produced two excellent wins to start her 3YO campaign and figures highly again. (3) CONTATA has hit the exacta 15 times in 19 starts racing out of town and can get a good chunk of this.
Race 9
(4) CRACKER ZACK trotted a winning mile and was just picked off very late in a rapid final quarter. There is lots of speed to chase here and the likely increase in odds makes this one tonight's Spot Play. (7) BOURBON BAY dominated the General Brock series but may have also emptied his tank a bit in the process. He is beatable here at a short price. (8) O NARUTAC PERFETTO disappointed as a big chalk but likely grabs some cover while advancing in the second half here which is more his trip.
Race 10
(5) P L HURRICANE went first-over against Artistic Fusion in the Ontario Girls final and held on for a share in a good effort. This group is much easier, but she will have to contend with (1) PERFORMING ART who left hard and got into some traffic in the same mile while finishing just behind the choice. This filly looks like she is rounding back to her 2YO form when she took a life's mark of 1:52. (3) ONYOURMARKNATAVA continues to stay covered up and come on late for shares. She should make the ticket from an inside post. (8) JUSTABIT MEAN makes her season's debut off a decent enough qualifier to contend for a minor award. (9) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS was a clear third behind a dominant winner and can close for a piece again here.
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