Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/19 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 4,8,9/1,2,6/1,8/1,2,4,5/2,7,8 = $$43.20
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,5/2,7,8/3,5,10/3,7 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 3,5,7/1,3,5,6/2/4,6,7 = $36
MEET STATS: 248 - 778 / $1319.00 BEST BETS: 41 - 72 / $146.80
SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 72 / $191.30
Best Bet: MS MAC N CHEESE (9th)
Spot Play: ARIZONA SEELSTER (5th)
Race 1
(8) KISS ME OR NOT drops to a level where she was sent to the front in 25 4/5 on Jan. 9. Expect similar aggression from her facing easier here. (4) DAZZLE N DELIGHT has improved sharply in her last two with McNair at the controls and she retains him here; using. (9) DILLY DALI finishes well just about every week and has a shot here at a price.
Race 2
(1) REGALLY READY closed with good energy last week but was too far back. The improved post gives her a good chance to beat these. (6) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE takes a big drop here and will likely be odds-on. She's the one to beat. (2) BACK YARD BABY has never been better but will need a perfect trip to take down the top two here.
Race 3
(8) WAR N MUNN overcame an early miscue to stay perfect in the series and will likely take this final if he stays flat the entire mile. (1) THREE TRUTHS didn't have much of a shot when the pace was slowed in the third 1/4 last week. He could get more pace to chase here. (7) NEW STANDARD will blow up the tote board one of these times when he is put into the race earlier; maybe tonight?
Race 4
(4) WILDCAT MAGIC was done in by a rapid third 1/4 last week. She looks like one of several needed for the start of the Pick 4 in a very contentious dash. (5) MACHET ROCKET has raced better for Byron and will likely be a good price here. (2) MAPPOS MOENHAY was shaded by a rival that had a better trip last time. She looks like a must-use on this Pick 4 ticket.
Race 5
(7) ARIZONA SEELSTER races much better up front and should be sent hard here in this series final. (2) WINDSUN GLORY was thwarted by a slow pace last week. I wouldn't expect her to sit behind a 58 2/5 opening half here. (8) CRACKLIN ROSE is obviously one of the best fillies in this series but her getting the outside post gives the two above a puncher's chance of knocking her off here.
Race 6
(5) VICS ROYAL LADY faced too much early competition for the front last week which killed her chances. She should get a better trip here. (10) FEDERAL has raced well in both Woodbine starts and retains Filion here. Maybe he can work out a trip vs. this weak group. (3) ASPEN CALIFORNIA has had a couple of rough trips recently. She is capable but susceptible to being overbet.
Race 7
(7) OCEANVIEW BINDI went a huge trip from the 10-hole last week to fall just short. She will likely fire out here and try to control things. (3) LIGHTS GO OUT drops off a good effort and should be very tough in here. (5) RUBIS PRESCOTT also drops and would be extra dangerous if she can land in the pocket, which is possible.
Race 8
(5) ADVERSITY switches barns from Henriksen to Moreau which is a move that worked previously; top call. (6) JETPEDIA ships north and has enough speed to beat these given the right trip. (1) SHOOT THE THRILL switches barns and adds Lasix. There are plenty of angles in play with this one.
Race 9
(2) MS MAC N CHEESE shakes a couple of her arch-rivals here and should be able to handle this group. (1) OUR HOT MAJORETTE wasn't far behind the choice last time and should get a good trip here. (4) WITCH DALI was a sharp winner in her return but has missed some time now and these are a bit tougher.
Race 10
(4) BEYONCES ROCKIN had a trip to get the kinks out last week now faces easier here. Expect sharp improvement. (7) OLIVIAS WAY made two moves and was a good 2nd. She is an obvious contender. (6) JENNA CASIMIR goes for Auciello off two big wins vs. lesser; don't discount. (1) B SANTANNAS LOVE moves out of claimers here but can grab a share. (2) PEPPERMINT PATTI will likely follow along on the inside throughout which means she can grab a share.
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