Woodbine Harness: Friday 2/17 Analysis
Best Bet: MARQUISE DE SARAH (4th)
Spot Play: MISCHIEVIOUSGIRLS (7th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,4,5/2,4,5,7/1,3/2,3/1,5,6 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 2,3/1,5,6/3,4,6/2,6,7,8 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 3,4,6/2,6,7,8/4,6/4,7 = $48
MEET STATS: 119 - 465 / $685.30 BEST BETS: 21 - 43 / $75.60
SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 42 / 59.40
Race 1
(2) STORMONT WIZARD raced great last week, but the rival that provided his cover was too good. He should win one soon; maybe tonight's the night. (5) FORK came to life for Moiseyev and he sticks here; using. (4) ABC MUSCLES BOY goes for hot connections and he's not out of this. He was racing higher when last seen here. (1) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE figures to close late for a smaller share.
Race 2
(2) CAYO LOCO paced a 27 2/5 third 1/4 uncovered last week and she stayed game. She can take these with a better trip. (7) COLLECTIVE WISDOM should be heard from exiting the Blizzard series. A Mac will likely blast and try to control things here. (5) TEMPUS SEELSTER is in a better spot here and she may get put into the flow which gives her a shot. (4) DOCS SAUSILITO makes her 3rd start for Auciello, who has been hot recently; consider.
Race 3
(3) WILLYORWONTHE was a winner at big odds the last time Macdonald took the reins. He should be tough here racing on or near the lead. (1) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR moves inside and this could be the night that he wakes up. (5) JUSTICE JET was dull last week when favored. Roy is likely to ask him for more leaving the gate here. (2) MUSICAL SPELL will be on or near the lead early. He can hang on for a slice vs. these.
Race 4
(3) MARQUISE DE SARAH should get a much better trip vs. a group she should handle here; top call. (2) J HIGH wasn't far back last time and she has responded well for Henry in the past; beware. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY will likely take another share off a following trip here. (5) AMAZING CONTROL has had a couple of rough trips in a row. She can share with a better journey.
Race 5
(5) DARK ROAST went too fast, too soon last week and she was picked off late. More careful rating gets the job done here. (1) ESCUELA was motoring late last time and she should be a threat here too if she can stay in range. (6) ADVERSITY should be a bigger threat here moving from the worst post to the best post. (3) AMITYVILLE LINDY is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical bets.
Race 6
(6) PASSION QUIZRACE got held up behind poor cover last time, but she did have pace to offer late. If she can get in a better flow here, she should be right there. (3) DONNA PARTY was an unlucky loser after doing most of the work last week. She is a must-use in the Pick 4 for me. (4) OLIVIAS WAY used an inside trip to roar up and win right on the wire last week. Her price drops here and it's hard to say if she could repeat if she has to do some of the heavy lifting. (9) NINETTE B is worth a look for the exotics dropping into a claimer.
Race 7
(7) MISCHIEVIOUSGIRLS showed some life last week for a trainer that has brought in several bombs here over the years; price play. (6) BETTYS BAY tired only late after a tough trip on the lead last time; using. (8) DAZZLE N DELIGHT woke up with a better effort for Cullen last week and he sticks; consider. (2) LADY JEN is another that could take this wide-open race that demands wide Pick 4 coverage.
Race 8
(1) STONEBRIDGE RICH was flying late last week off a good trip. He should get a similar good journey here and can pounce late. (4) FINISH LINE will be sent hard off the gate one of these weeks and when he is, he will be tough to catch. (5) STAR PHOTO is dangerous here back in against his own kind. (7) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY won last time she was in a similar class, but this test is tougher; small share predicted.
Race 9
(6) WAASMULA jogged last time she dropped to this class from the mares Preferred. She should be tough to beat here. (4) BERNADETTE is on a big roll and is hard to leave off the late Pick 4. (1) SAYITALL BB should take a share at a minimum and could upset with the right trip here. (2) RUBIS PRESCOTT is always good for a share racing in this type of class. She should round out the Tri or Super.
Race 10
(8) VOODOO CHARM was airborne late last time but she couldn't catch a rival that slipped up the inside in the stretch. She can take this group if she is close enough turning for home. (4) D GS PESQUERO drops again and will likely get an aggressive steer here. (7) MISS COCO LUCK is another class- dropper that figures here. (2) LIGHTS GO OUT should take a share racing from close range here. (5) REGALLY READY steps up but gets a better post and she can crack the High-5 ticket.
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