Woodbine Harness: Friday 12/11 Analysis

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,5,7/1,6/1,6/3,5,8/3 = $7.20

EARLY PICK 4: 3,5,8/3/3,4,5,6/1,5,10 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,5,10/1,2,4,5/3,7/7,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 137 - 420 / $719.00 BEST BETS: 21 - 38 / $73.20

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 38 / 105.80

Best Bet: MUCH ADOO (5th)

Spot Play: OLE JACK MAGIC (2nd)

Race 1

(7) MACHET ROCKET set a strong pace and almost lasted a week ago. This isn't a tough group; she could lead these throughout. (5) MAPPOS MOENHAY faces easier and should be driven more aggressively here. (3) DAZZLE N DELIGHT showed some life late in here mile last week and is on the improve.

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Race 2

(1) OLE JACK MAGIC had a tightener against a winner who has since repeated vs. better. He could wake up here in a big way. (6) MUSCLE MATTERS also drops in class and should be tough if he can stay flat. (3) MUSICAL SPELL raced well from the worst post last time now moves inside. He could upset with the right trip.

Race 3

(2) BETIT TO GETIT makes this condition only by averaging $2377 per start in earnings the past two years with the threshold being $2400. The race looks like it is between her and (1) MS MAC N CHEESE, who only makes the class as a three-year old. (3) MARLEE B is in great form but seems to need a perfect trip to win.

Race 4

(8) ADAYMER SEELSTER faces a really week group here and should get sent hard early by Saftic. (3) NINETTE B also faces easier and looks like the main threat to the choice. (5) ST LADS PENNY LANE faced better mares most of the year and is in with a shot here too.

Race 5

(3) MUCH ADOO sat the pocket last week and was victimized by a 1:01 3/5 middle 1/2. I doubt Henry will stay put if those same circumstances arise here; top call. (6) DUSTYLANE MSVICKIE set some quick splits last week but showed the rust of missing five weeks action late in the mile. She can improve here. (8) PINKY TUSCADERO raced very well in the Autumn series and will be passing rivals down the lane here.

Race 6

(5) SHOW SOME LEG raced okay in the Autumn series and should be prominent throughout here. (4) LICULIA A goes for top connections here and will be placed near the front early which gives her a good shot of taking this. (6) LITTLE MISS SPORTY should be closer early here moving in a few posts.

Race 7

(5) ALL B OVER closed well in his Woodbine debut last week. The connections of this one have been doing well recently; top call. (10) DEMAND AN ANSWER has been sharp for several weeks and merits inclusion, even from out there. (1) LOVE HUNTER faced a very tough winner in the autumn series final and should be close here at the finish.

Race 8

In one of the most contentious races of the meet, I'll give (5) OUR HOT MAJORETTE a slight nod based on her rapid improvement in her last two starts. (2) HIGH FASHION MEL took a new life's mark in her first start for new connections and is another that is improving rapidly. (1) OCEANVIEW BINDI has won 3 of her last 4 and can't be dismissed.

Race 9

(7) SANTO DOMINGO drops to face easier here and Zeron drives him for the third week straight. He should leave better and move earlier. (3) GAME ON HANOVER waited too long to move last week but was closing well late; using. (8) QUIT SMOKING NOW looks best of the rest but the post hurts.

Race 10

(8) BLACK WIDOW BABY made a winning move last week but was overtaken vert late in the mile. She looks good here but is win-shy like many of her rivals. (7) PRINCESS KATIE drops out of the Autumn series and should do well here. (2) CAMPS BAY has a shot here if she can start her move earlier. (4) HOT SPOT HANOVER wasn't far behind the choice last time and should share here. (6) BOOZER BRUISER could grab a share returning to a 7-day cycle.

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