Woodbine Harness: Friday 11/3 Analysis
Best Bet: MIAMI (5th)
Spot Play: PARTY BEACH (10th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,5,10/2,3,8/1,2,6/4,5/3 = $10.80
EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/3/1,7,8/3,4 = $12
LATE PICK 4: 3,4/1,2,5,7,8,9/3,6,7,8/4 = $48
MEET STATS: 18 - 80 / $114.10 BEST BETS: 4 - 8 / $18.60
SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00
Race 1
(5) CALL ME RICHARD gets Roy back after two eventful miles and he could improve sharply and take this lackluster group all the way if he behaves. (10) KAMIKAZE LINDY drops and he fits well here. Waples should be sending. (1) DOMITIAN HALL is another that fits well in this class, but he needs a good start from the inside, which often is not a good starting point here. (3) KEN KAN WIN can close again for a minor share.
Race 2
(2) P L JASMINE made two moves to win last week, showing good speed both early and late; call to repeat. (3) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL was overtaken by the choice in the final stride last week. She is a top contender here racing from close range. (8) THATGIRLISONFIRE gets Roy back here and notice they combined to beat both of the top two choices on October 19th. (4) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE changes barns and comes up tagged returning from a break; mixed signals.
Race 3
(1) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL gets McNair back here and he has driven her to all three of her 2017 wins at odds of 9/1, 10/1 and 16/1. I'll give her the nod hoping to get a similar price. (6) WINDSONG MAGIC gets Jamieson back and notice that they almost won in this class on the lead two starts back; using. (2) FREE WILLY HANOVER finds a good spot here and he could win this with a decent trip. (4) LADY CATERINA is capable of hitting the ticket at a price racing near the front.
Race 4
(5) D GS PESQUERO looks ready off her lone qualifier and this is a field that she should beat; top call. (4) BAROCKEY drops and she should be the main threat. (1) CALL IT COURAGE can take a following trip and close for a slice. (6) JUSTABIT MEAN is another that can close late for a smaller share.
Race 5
(3) MIAMI should have no trouble with this field if he can duplicate his most recent effort. (1) NORTHERN MAJOR won with Roy two starts back and he returns here; using. (2) BLAMEITONTHEWHISKY should be much closer early leaving from a better post and he is a contender here. (9) ZLATAN can close late for a smaller share.
Race 6
(7) PEARL BLUE CHIP showed what she can do last time out when she was put into the race early; call to repeat. (1) YOU SHOULD BE HERE raced well twice straight. She'll get there soon. (8) FRANSCHOEK could take these a long way if she is sent hard at the start like she was last time. (2) INTREPID LADY can take a share racing near the front if she stays flat.
Race 7
(4) KAYS SHADOW likes this track and she may have tipped her hand in her latest start; slight nod. (3) MATTJESTIC TEMPO moves up off a sharp win and she would be no surprise to come right back and repeat. (5) DIXIE LULLABY brings decent form in from Flamboro and she has raced well here before; consider for exotics. (2) AINTSHEASWEETIE won at this class last week and she is another that is in the mix here, although others are preferred on the win end.
Race 8
(7) ROYAL CHARM changed tactics last time and it almost worked. She is sharp and should be tough here if she stays flat. (2) DEEP IMPACT should improve racing in this class; using in the late Pick 4. (5) FLYING ISA N is sharp and dangerous, but he has to avoid getting caught first up again. (1) YOURE MAJESTIC has the class to compete vs. these and she is another to consider for the late Pick 4.
Race 9
(3) TEARFUL OF HAPPY was an aggressive and game winner last week despite missing a month's action; call to repeat. (6) P L KAHLUAA fell just short to the choice and she looks like the main threat again here. (7) OSPREY BLUE CHIP and (8) ROLL WITH SPARKY are two sophomores in vs. older that are in with a shot here.
Race 10
(4) PARTY BEACH is on a good roll, winning using various racing styles. She can take another here. (7) MACH THE CUT tried to close from an impossible spot vs. the choice, but I wonder if she will end up in the same predicament here. (1) FADING SHADOW - third to the top two last time - has raced well at this track and she is in the mix here again. (3) BEACH GODDESS is talented, yet unpredictable. She could win this if she stays flat. (9) TRAFFIC JAM figures to close for a share here.
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