TimeformUS Speed Figure Report for week ending Jan. 28, 2018

Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.

Gulfstream

Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup S

1/2 146

1m 142

Fin 140

Top 3: Gun Runner 141, West Coast 137, Gunnevera 124

Note: Third consecutive TimeformUS Speed Figure of 140 or greater for Gun Runner; stellar performance breaking from post 10 with a short run to the turn, dueling with Grade 1 winner Collected (retreated and finished well back in seventh), and was drawing away from the field at the wire

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Grade 3 Fred W. Hooper

1/2 117

3/4 118

Fin 119

Top 3: Tommy Macho 119, Conquest Big E 118, Tale of Silence 112

Note: First win for Tommy Macho since taking the Grade 3 Hal’s Hope, another one-turn dirt mile at Gulfstream, over a year ago; 0 for 6 in the interim; runner-up was 20-1 despite having best last-race TimeformUS Speed Figure; good effort

Grade 3 La Prevoyante

1/2 157

10f NA

Fin 118

Top 3: Texting 118, Daring Duchess 117, Taralena 112

Note: Texting is a true distance horse, much better at 10 furlongs or longer; half-mile coded in red in TimeformUS PPs; Gulfstream doesn’t give a time for official second call in 12-furlong races

Grade 3 W. L. McKnight

1/2 131

10f NA

Fin 124

Top 3: Oscar Nominated 124, Nessy 123, Bullards Alley 122

Note: Winner matched lifetime best TimeformUS Speed Figure; the 2-3 finishers from two-mile H. Allen Jerkens ran third and fourth as the top two betting choices

Grade 3 Hurricane Bertie

1/4 135

1/2 116

Fin 112

Top 3: Jordan’s Henny 110, Curlin’s Approval 111, Rich Mommy 108

Note: Winner (59-1) had by far the top TimeformUS Late Pace rating in the field; well below average race for Grade 3 older females

Sam Houston

Grade 3 Houston Ladies Classic

1/2 132

3/4 124

Fin 114

Top 3: Tiger Moth 114, Actress 115, Martini Glass 115

Note: Third Grade 3 win for Tiger Moth, has yet to win in higher class - 0 for 6; Pace Projector missed on this race, predicted slow pace but was thwarted when the two longest shots in the field dueled on the front end through solid fractions; top two were trailing the field after six furlongs

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Grade 3 John B. Connally Cup

1/2 149

10f 127

Fin 124

Top 3: Bigger Picture 124, Some in Tieme 123, Chicago Style 122

Note: Fractions red in TimeformUS products - hot pace; 7-year-old Bigger Picture also won this race last year

Aqueduct

Grade 3 Toboggan

1/4 152

1/2 141

Fin 127

Top 3: Great Stuff 127, Vulcan’s Forge 122, Takaful 130

Note: Vicious speed duel (all fractions red per TimeformUS) between Takaful and Green Gratto set it up for the closers; top two were running in the last two positions after the opening half-mile